Xavier vs Butler Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The Xavier Musketeers (22-8, 15-5 Big East) square off against the Butler Bulldogs (14-16, 6-14 Big East) on Saturday at 7:00 PM ET in Big East action, aiting on Fox Sports 1.

Saturday’s matchup between the Musketeers and the Bulldogs features the Musketeers as double-digit 13-point favorites. The over/under is 142 points for the game.

Xavier vs. Butler Odds

Point Spread for Xavier vs. Butler

The spread for this matchup is set at 13 points, with sportsbooks listing Xavier as the favorite.

Xavier vs. Butler Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Xavier has -1005 odds to pick up the win, while Butler is listed at +638 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 142 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Arena: Cintas Center

Xavier vs. Butler Betting Trends

Against the spread, Xavier is 17-12-1 this season. The Musketeers have come away with 18 wins in the 21 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Xavier’s games this year have gone over the point total 63.3% of the time (19 out of 30 games with a set point total).

Butler has 13 wins against the spread in 30 games this season. The Bulldogs have gone 3-14 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 17.6% of those games). Butler has gone over the point total 30% of the time this year (nine of 30 games with a set point total).

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Xavier vs. Butler Key Players to Watch


Jack Nunge averages 14.2 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 52.3% from the floor and 41% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Souley Boum leads his squad in points per game (17), and also posts 4.1 rebounds and 4.5 assists. At the other end, he puts up 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Colby Jones averages a team-high 4.6 assists per contest. He is also putting up 15.2 points and 5.2 rebounds, shooting 51.7% from the field and 40.6% from beyond the arc with 1.4 made 3-pointers per contest.
Zach Freemantle is tops on the Musketeers at 8.1 rebounds per game, while also posting 2.9 assists and 15.2 points.


Jayden Taylor is No. 1 on the Bulldogs in scoring (13.1 points per game) and assists (1.3), and puts up 3.8 rebounds. He also delivers 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Simas Lukosius is recording a team-high 2.9 assists per game. He’s also producing 11.3 points and 4.1 rebounds, making 42.8% of his shots from the floor, and 38.6% from 3-point range resulting in 1.8 treys per contest. Manny Bates is the Bulldogs’ top rebounder (5.6 per game), and he produces 11.8 points and 1.4 assists. Eric Hunter Jr. gets the Bulldogs 8.2 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest. He also puts up 1.3 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Xavier Musketeers

Xavier has covered 12 times in 19 games with a spread in conference action this season. The Musketeers are surrendering 74.8 points per game this season (309th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really thrived offensively, scoring 82.3 points per game (ninth-best). Xavier is 34th in the nation with 34.8 boards per game this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 85th with 29.5 rebounds allowed per game.

When playing at home, the Musketeers are scoring 3.5 more points per game (84) than they are in road games (80.5). With a 39.9% three-point percentage this season, Xavier ranks fifth-best in the country. It ranks 141st in college basketball by draining 7.7 threes per contest. So far this season, the Musketeers are allowing 7.7 treys per game (240th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 36.6% (331st-ranked) from downtown.

The Musketeers are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 games. Xavier has gone over the total in five of its past 10 outings. In its last 10 games, Xavier has been racking up 78.6 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 82.3 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Xavier’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (73.6) is 1.2 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (74.8).

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What you need to know about the Butler Bulldogs

Butler has covered six times in 19 chances against the spread in conference play this season. At 65.3 points scored per game and 67.3 points conceded, the Bulldogs are 328th in the country on offense and 98th on defense. On the glass, Butler is seventh-worst in college basketball in rebounds (27.8 per game). It is 288th in rebounds conceded (32.8 per game).

The Bulldogs average 69.4 points per game at home, and 60.6 away. With 6.6 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 33.4% from downtown, Butler is 267th and 230th in the nation, respectively, in those categories. The Bulldogs are 64th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (6.3 per game) and 78th in 3-point percentage defensively (32.1%).

The Bulldogs have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 3-7 overall in their last 10 games. In Butler’s past 10 games, it has gone over the total once. While Butler is putting up 65.3 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that over its past 10 games, tallying 57.9 points per contest. While the Bulldogs are allowing 67.3 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their previous 10 games, allowing 68.8 points per contest.

Xavier vs. Butler Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Xavier, and we expect that Xavier will cover the spread (Xavier -13). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 142 points.

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How to bet Xavier vs. Butler

You can bet on Xavier vs. Butler at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Xavier vs. Butler picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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