Weber State vs Sacramento State Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Monday, March 6, 2023

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The No. 3 seed Weber State Wildcats (17-14, 12-6 Big Sky) square off against the No. 6 seed Sacramento State Hornets (14-17, 7-11 Big Sky) in the Big Sky Tournament Monday at Idaho Central Arena, tipping off at 10:00 PM. Both teams will try to get one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

Monday’s matchup between the Wildcats and the Hornets features the Wildcats as 2.5-point favorites. The matchup has an over/under of 124.5.

Weber State vs. Sacramento State Odds

Point Spread for Weber State vs. Sacramento State

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with bookmakers listing Weber State as the favorite.

Weber State vs. Sacramento State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Weber State has -144 odds to pick up the win, while Sacramento State is listed at +123 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 124.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, March 6, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Boise, Idaho
  • Arena: Idaho Central Arena

Weber State vs. Sacramento State Betting Trends

Weber State has 15 wins against the spread in 29 games this year. The Wildcats have been favorites in 11 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (63.6%) in those contests. Weber State’s games this year have hit the over on 15 of 29 set point totals.

In Sacramento State’s 29 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread. The Hornets have put together a 5-14 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 26.3% of those games). Sacramento State’s games this year have gone over the point total 15 times in 29 opportunities (51.7%).

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Weber State vs. Sacramento State Key Players to Watch

Weber State

Dillon Jones is tops on his team in points (16.6), rebounds (11) and assists (3.8) per game, shooting 48.6% from the field and 32.7% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Steven Verplancken Jr. puts up 13.1 points, 2.2 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 45.2% from the floor and 41.9% from beyond the arc with 2 made 3-pointers per game. Alex Tew posts 6.8 points, 3.8 rebounds and 0.8 assists per contest, shooting 55% from the floor. Junior Ballard posts 7.4 points, 1.4 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game. At the other end, he delivers 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

Sacramento State

Callum McRae is posting a team-leading 9.3 rebounds per game. And he is delivering 12.8 points and 2.4 assists, making 53.7% of his shots from the field. Zach Chappell is posting team highs in points (13.4 per game) and assists (2.2). And he is delivering 2.7 rebounds, making 41.1% of his shots from the field and 35.7% from 3-point range, with 1.8 treys per contest. The Hornets receive 9.6 points, 5.9 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game from Akolda Mawein. The Hornets receive 8.6 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Cameron Wilbon.

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What you need to know about the Weber State Wildcats

In Weber State’s 18 Big Sky games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 10 times. The Wildcats rank 288th in college basketball with 67.5 points per game this year. At the other end of the court, they rank 116th with 67.9 points allowed per contest. With 28.4 rebounds per game, Weber State is 331st in the nation. It cedes 30 rebounds per contest, which ranks 108th in college basketball.

Weber State is sinking 6.8 threes per game (244th-ranked in college basketball). It has a 34.3% shooting percentage (179th-ranked) from three-point land. The Wildcats rank 314th in college basketball by giving up 8.4 treys per game, but they are allowing a 37.4% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 14th-worst in college basketball.

The Wildcats have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Weber State has hit the over seven times. Weber State has been scoring 69.5 points per game in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly higher than the 67.5 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Weber State’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (70.8) is 2.9 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (67.9).

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What you need to know about the Sacramento State Hornets

Sacramento State and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine out of 18 times this season in Big Sky action. At 66.1 points scored per game and 67.7 points conceded, the Hornets are 318th in the nation on offense and 108th defensively. On the boards, Sacramento State is 101st in college basketball in rebounds (33.1 per game). It is ninth-best in rebounds allowed (26.7 per game).

Sacramento State makes 6.8 3-pointers per game and shoots 34.4% from beyond the arc, ranking 244th and 175th, respectively, in the country. In 2022-23, the Hornets are 43rd in the country in 3-pointers allowed (6.1 per game) and 279th in defensive 3-point percentage (35.4%).

The Hornets have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 2-8 overall over their last 10 contests. Seven of Sacramento State’s last 10 outings have gone over the total. Over its last 10 games, Sacramento State is scoring 63.6 points per contest, 2.5 fewer points than its season average (66.1). While the Hornets are surrendering 67.7 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their last 10 games, allowing 70.8 points per contest.

Weber State vs. Sacramento State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Weber State, and we expect that Weber State will cover the spread (Weber State -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 124.5 points.

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How to bet Weber State vs. Sacramento State

You can bet on Weber State vs. Sacramento State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Weber State vs. Sacramento State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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