Virginia vs Notre Dame Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, February 18, 2023

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The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-16, 2-13 ACC) will look to stop a nine-game road losing streak when squaring off against the Virginia Cavaliers (20-4, 12-3 ACC) on Saturday, February 18, 2023 at John Paul Jones Arena, airing at 12:00 PM ET on ESPN2.

The Cavaliers square off with the Fighting Irish in a game that Virginia is currently a sizable favorite by 12.5 points. The matchup’s over/under is 129.5.

Virginia vs. Notre Dame Odds

Point Spread for Virginia vs. Notre Dame

The spread for this matchup is set at 12.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Virginia as the favorite.

Virginia vs. Notre Dame Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Virginia has -818 odds to pick up the win, while Notre Dame is listed at +551 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 129.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, February 18, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Charlottesville, Virginia
  • Arena: John Paul Jones Arena

Virginia vs. Notre Dame Betting Trends

Virginia has played 24 games, with 10 wins against the spread. The Cavaliers have been chosen as favorites in 17 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (88.2%) in those games. Virginia’s games this year have gone over the total in 13 out of 26 opportunities (50%).

Notre Dame has played 26 games, with six wins, against the spread. The Fighting Irish have put together a 1-8 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 11.1% of those games). Notre Dame’s games this year have gone over the total in 14 of 26 opportunities (53.8%).

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Virginia vs. Notre Dame Key Players to Watch


Kihei Clark averages a team-best 5.9 assists per game. He is also averaging 11.7 points and 2.8 rebounds, shooting 43.6% from the floor and 40.0% from downtown with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest. Reece Beekman posts 9.7 points, 3.1 rebounds and 5.0 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Armaan Franklin posts a team-best 12.8 points per contest. He is also putting up 4.3 rebounds and 1.3 assists, shooting 43.0% from the floor and 40.5% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made 3-pointers per game. Jayden Gardner posts a team-high 4.9 rebounds per contest. He is also averaging 11.3 points and 0.5 assists, shooting 51.9% from the floor.

Notre Dame

Nate Laszewski is the Fighting Irish’s top scorer (14.5 points per game) and rebounder (7.1), and delivers 1.4 assists. Dane Goodwin gives the Fighting Irish 12.1 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Cormac Ryan is posting 11.6 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, making 41.7% of his shots from the floor and 38.0% from 3-point range, with 2.0 treys per game. JJ Starling is averaging 11.7 points, 3.0 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game, making 42.3% of his shots from the floor and 30.2% from beyond the arc, with 1.0 triples per game.

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What you need to know about the Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia has put together a 7-7-1 conference record against the spread this season. The Cavaliers have been lifted by their defense, as they rank 10th-best in the nation by giving up just 60.3 points per game. They rank 228th in college basketball in points scored (69.6 per contest). With 29.3 boards per game, Virginia is 301st in the country. It surrenders 28.5 rebounds per contest, which ranks 49th in college basketball.

The Cavaliers are averaging 69.4 points per game this year at home, which is 1.4 more points than they’re averaging away from home (68). This year, Virginia is making 7.4 three-pointers per game (181st-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 37.6% (28th-ranked) from three-point land. The Cavaliers rank 171st in the nation with 7.1 threes allowed per game this year. Meanwhile, they rank 236th with a 34.5% shooting percentage allowed from three-point land.

The Cavaliers have gone 9-1 in their last 10 contests, with a 6-3-1 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 contests, Virginia has gone over the total five times. Virginia has seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 69 points per game in its last 10 contests, 0.6 points fewer than the 69.6 it has scored this year. The past 10 games have seen Virginia allow 1.1 more points per game (61.4) than its season-long average (60.3).

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What you need to know about the Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Notre Dame has compiled a 4-11-0 ATS record so far this year in conference action. In 2022-23, the Fighting Irish are 195th in college basketball on offense (70.7 points scored per game) and 261st defensively (72.5 points conceded). Notre Dame grabs 28.6 rebounds per game and concede 32.3 boards, ranking 324th and 264th, respectively, in college basketball.

In 2022-23 the Fighting Irish are averaging 3.5 more points per game at home (72.9) than away (69.4). In 2022-23, Notre Dame is 30th in college basketball in 3-point makes (9.0 per game) and 57th in 3-point percentage (36.7%). In 2022-23, the Fighting Irish are 155th in the nation in 3-pointers conceded (7.0 per game) and 265th in defensive 3-point percentage (35.0%).

The Fighting Irish have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 2-8 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Notre Dame has gone over the total six times. Notre Dame has played better offensively in its last 10 games, scoring 73 points per contest, 2.3 more than its season average of 70.7. While the Fighting Irish are surrendering 72.5 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse in their previous 10 games, allowing 77.7 points per contest.

Virginia vs. Notre Dame Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Virginia, and we expect that Virginia will cover the spread (Virginia -12.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 129.5 points.

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How to bet Virginia vs. Notre Dame

You can bet on Virginia vs. Notre Dame at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Virginia vs. Notre Dame picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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