Virginia vs NC State Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Tuesday, February 7, 2023

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The Virginia Cavaliers (17-4, 9-3 ACC) will host the NC State Wolf Pack (19-5, 9-4 ACC) after winning five home games in a row. It starts at 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 7, 2023.

Tuesday’s matchup between the Cavaliers and the Wolf Pack features the Cavaliers as solid 7-point favorites. The over/under is 133.5 points for the matchup.

Virginia vs. NC State Odds

Point Spread for Virginia vs. NC State

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with bookmakers listing Virginia as the favorite.

Virginia vs. NC State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Virginia has -319 odds to pick up the win, while NC State is listed at +253 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 133.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, February 7, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Location: Charlottesville, Virginia
  • Arena: John Paul Jones Arena

Virginia vs. NC State Betting Trends

Virginia has played 21 games, with eight wins against the spread. The Cavaliers have come away with 12 wins in the 14 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Virginia has hit the over in 50% of its opportunities this year (12 times in 24 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, NC State is 11-11-2 this season. The Wolf Pack have won 50% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (4-4). NC State’s games this season have hit the over on 13 of 24 set point totals (54.2%).

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Virginia vs. NC State Key Players to Watch


Kihei Clark puts up a team-leading 6.0 assists per contest. He is also putting up 11.6 points and 2.8 rebounds, shooting 42.5% from the floor and 40.0% from beyond the arc with 1.3 made 3-pointers per game. Reece Beekman posts 10.0 points, 3.2 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game, shooting 43.9% from the field and 43.1% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Armaan Franklin paces his squad in both points (12.7) and assists (1.3) per contest, and also posts 4.4 rebounds. At the other end, he delivers 1.0 steal and 0.5 blocked shots. Jayden Gardner leads his squad in rebounds per game (5.1), and also posts 11.2 points and 0.5 assists. Defensively, he puts up 1.0 steal and 0.4 blocked shots.

NC State

The Wolf Pack receive 16.2 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game from Jarkel Joiner. Casey Morsell gives the Wolf Pack 12.6 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1.0 assists per game. He also posts 1.2 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. D.J. Burns is No. 1 on the Wolf Pack in rebounding (5.0 per game), and puts up 12.1 points and 1.6 assists. He also puts up 0.7 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia has compiled a 5-6-1 conference record against the spread this season. The Cavaliers have a top-25 defense this season, ranking 10th-best in college basketball with 60.9 points allowed per game. On offense, they rank 213th with 70.3 points scored per contest. With 27.7 rebounds allowed per game, Virginia is 23rd-best in college basketball. It ranks 284th in college basketball by averaging 29.9 boards per contest.

Offensively the Cavaliers have fared better at home this year, putting up 70.0 points per game, compared to 68.9 per game on the road. Virginia is making 7.9 treys per game this year (122nd-ranked in college basketball), and it owns a 38.2% three-point percentage (21st-best). The Cavaliers rank 153rd in the country with 7.0 three-pointers allowed per game this season. Meanwhile, they rank 226th with a 34.3% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.

The Cavaliers have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games, with a 5-4-1 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, Virginia has hit the over seven times. On the offensive side of the ball, Virginia has increased its production slightly over its last 10 games, scoring 70.9 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 70.3 it has put up over the course of this season. The last 10 games have seen Virginia concede 2.5 more points per game (63.4) than its season-long average (60.9).

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What you need to know about the NC State Wolf Pack

NC State has covered five times in 13 chances against the spread in conference play this season. Offensively the Wolf Pack are the 27th-ranked squad in college basketball (79.6 points per game). Defensively they are 185th (69.5 points allowed per game). On the glass, NC State is 50th in the nation in rebounds (34.6 per game). It is 214th in rebounds conceded (31.6 per game).

At home, the Wolf Pack score 84.1 points per game. Away, they average 72.7. NC State is 75th in college basketball in 3-pointers made (8.4 per game) and 129th in 3-point percentage (35.3%). The Wolf Pack give up 5.8 3-pointers per game and concede 31.0% from beyond the arc, ranking 32nd and 51st, respectively, in the country.

The Wolf Pack are 5-5 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, NC State has hit the over five times. NC State is posting 78.1 points per contest in its last 10 games, which is 1.5 fewer points than its average for the season (79.6). While the Wolf Pack are ceding 69.5 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their past 10 games, allowing 72.3 points per contest.

Virginia vs. NC State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Virginia, and we predict that NC State will cover the spread (Virginia -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 133.5 points.

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How to bet Virginia vs. NC State

You can bet on Virginia vs. NC State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Virginia vs. NC State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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