Vermont vs UMass-Lowell Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline - Saturday, March 11, 2023

The top-seeded Vermont Catamounts (22-10, 14-2 America East) is set to play the No. 2 seed UMass-Lowell River Hawks (26-7, 11-5 America East) in the America East Tournament Championship with an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket up for grabs. The matchup on Saturday at Roy L. Patrick Gymnasium begins at 11:00 AM.

Saturday’s matchup between the Catamounts and the River Hawks sees the Catamounts as a solid, 6.5-point favorite. The over/under is 141 points for the matchup.

Vermont vs. UMass-Lowell Odds

Point Spread for Vermont vs. UMass-Lowell

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Vermont as the favorite.

Vermont vs. UMass-Lowell Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Vermont has -279 odds to pick up the win, while UMass-Lowell is listed at +225 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 141 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
Game Time: 11:00 AM ET
TV Channel: ESPN2
Location: Burlington, Vermont
Arena: Roy L. Patrick Gymnasium

Vermont vs. UMass-Lowell Betting Trends

Vermont has played 31 games, with 18 wins against the spread. The Catamounts have been chosen as favorites in 24 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (83.3%) in those games. Vermont’s games this year have gone over the total in 18 out of 31 opportunities (58.1%).

Against the spread, UMass-Lowell is 20-11-0 this season. The River Hawks have been the underdog on the moneyline four total times this season. They’ve gone 2-2 in those games. UMass-Lowell’s games this season have gone over the total in 18 of 31 opportunities (58.1%).

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Vermont vs. UMass-Lowell Key Players to Watch

Vermont

Robin Duncan paces his squad in both rebounds (7.3) and assists (4.5) per game, and also posts 7.8 points. Defensively, he delivers 0.9 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. Finn Sullivan posts 11.8 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest, shooting 43.4% from the floor and 33% from beyond the arc with 1.9 made 3-pointers per game. Dylan Penn leads his team in both points (13.2) and assists (2.2) per game, and also averages 3.1 rebounds. Defensively, he puts up 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Aaron Deloney averages 11.7 points, 2.4 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game. At the other end, he posts 0.7 steals and 0 blocked shots.

UMass-Lowell

Everette Hammond is averaging team highs in points (13.8 per game) and assists (2.4). And he is producing 4.8 rebounds, making 45.8% of his shots from the floor and 45.2% from 3-point range, with 1.7 triples per contest. Abdoul Karim Coulibaly tops the River Hawks in rebounding (7.7 per game), and produces 11.5 points and 0.7 assists. He also posts 0.9 steals and 0.9 blocked shots. Max Brooks gives the River Hawks 8.4 points, 5.5 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game. He also averages 0.8 steals and 1.8 blocked shots. Ayinde Hikim leads the River Hawks in assists (3.8 per game), and posts 10.8 points and 2.8 rebounds. He also delivers 1.2 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Vermont Catamounts

Vermont has put together a 12-5-1 ATS record in conference games so far this year. The Catamounts rank 141st in the country with 73.1 points per game so far this season. At the other end, they rank 78th with 66.8 points allowed per contest. Vermont is grabbing 29 rebounds per game (315th-ranked in college basketball). It is ceding 30 rebounds per contest (105th-ranked).

The Catamounts are posting 80.6 points per game when playing at home. On the road, they are averaging 69.2 points per contest. Vermont is 57th in college basketball with 8.6 treys per game this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 77th with a 36.1% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. The Catamounts rank 178th in the nation with 7.2 treys allowed per game so far this year. Meanwhile, they rank 302nd with a 35.8% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.

The Catamounts have gone 10-0 over their last 10 contests, with a 7-2-1 record against the spread during that span. Vermont has gone over the total in seven of its past 10 contests. Vermont has seen an uptick in scoring lately, putting up 80.9 points per game in its last 10 outings, 7.8 points more than the 73.1 it has scored this season. Vermont’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (65.6) is 1.2 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (66.8).

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What you need to know about the UMass-Lowell River Hawks

In UMass-Lowell’s 18 chances this season in America East play, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 12 times. The River Hawks put up 78.6 points per game and allow 65.8, ranking them 32nd in college basketball on offense and 58th on defense. In 2022-23, UMass-Lowell is 21st-best in college basketball in rebounds (35.6 per game) and 16th-best in rebounds allowed (27.5).

The River Hawks average 83.1 points per game at home, and 73.9 away. UMass-Lowell is 222nd in the country in 3-pointers made (7 per game) and 13th-best in 3-point percentage (38.6%). Giving up 6.2 3-pointers per game and conceding 33.6% from beyond the arc, the River Hawks are 51st and 166th in the nation, respectively, in those categories.

The River Hawks have gone 9-1 in their past 10 games, with an 8-2 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 games, UMass-Lowell has hit the over six times. UMass-Lowell is putting up 80.3 points per contest over its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 78.6. The River Hawks have fared better defensively over their past 10 games, ceding 63.6 points per contest, 2.2 fewer points than their season average of 65.8 allowed.