VCU vs Dayton Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Sunday, March 12, 2023

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The No. 1 seed VCU Rams (26-7, 15-3 A-10) square off against the No. 2 Dayton Flyers (22-11, 12-6 A-10) in the championship game of the A-10 tournament on Sunday at 1:00 PM. The winner will claim an automatic berth into the NCAA Tournament bracket.

The Rams face the Flyers in a game that VCU is currently a slim favorite by 1.5 points. The over/under is 124.5 points for the game.

VCU vs. Dayton Odds

Point Spread for VCU vs. Dayton

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with oddsmakers listing VCU as the favorite.

VCU vs. Dayton Moneyline

As for the moneyline, VCU has -135 odds to pick up the win, while Dayton is listed at +114 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 124.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 12, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Brooklyn, New York
  • Arena: Barclays Center

VCU vs. Dayton Betting Trends

VCU has 18 wins against the spread in 33 games this year. The Rams have been victorious in 23, or 85.2%, of the 27 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. VCU’s games this year have gone over the point total 14 times in 33 opportunities (42.4%).

Dayton is 16-17-0 against the spread this year. The Flyers have been listed as the moneyline underdog only two other times so far this season, and they split the games. Dayton’s games this year have hit the over 36.4% of the time (12 out of 33 games with a set point total).

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VCU vs. Dayton Key Players to Watch


Jalen DeLoach posts a team-high 6.9 rebounds per contest. In addition, he’s putting up 9.9 points and 1 assist, shooting 56.5% from the field. Brandon Johns Jr. averages 11.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 0.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 0.9 blocked shots. Jamir Watkins averages 9.5 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. Defensively, he delivers 1.2 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.


Daron Holmes leads the Flyers in scoring (18.1 points per game) and assists (1.8), and posts 7.8 rebounds. He also posts 0.8 steals and 1.8 blocked shots. Toumani Camara is the Flyers’ top rebounder (8.7 per game), and he produces 14.2 points and 1.8 assists. Mustapha Amzil is putting up 9.1 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game, making 43.9% of his shots from the floor and 37.3% from 3-point range, with 1.3 treys per contest. Malachi Smith is posting 7.9 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.8 assists per contest, making 41.5% of his shots from the floor.

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What you need to know about the VCU Rams

VCU and its A-10 opponents have combined to hit the over nine out of 20 times this season. The Rams have been carried by their defense, as they rank 25th-best in college basketball by giving up only 63.1 points per game. They rank 186th in college basketball in points scored (71.5 per contest). With 30.5 boards per game, VCU ranks 257th in college basketball. It cedes 30 rebounds per contest, which ranks 102nd in college basketball.

With 6 threes per game, VCU ranks 315th in college basketball. It owns a 34.4% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 171st in college basketball. With 6.1 treys conceded per game, the Rams are 44th in college basketball. They are giving up a 33% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 120th in college basketball.

The Rams have gone 9-1 over their last 10 games, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, VCU has gone over the total four times. VCU has seen an increase in scoring recently, putting up 74.1 points per game in its last 10 contests, 2.6 points more than the 71.5 it has scored this season. VCU has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 62.9 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 63.1 it has conceded per game this year.

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What you need to know about the Dayton Flyers

Dayton has put together an 11-9-0 record against the spread in conference action this season. The Flyers are 248th in college basketball in points scored (69 per game) and 10th-best in points allowed (60.8). In 2022-23, Dayton is 106th in college basketball in rebounds (32.9 per game) and 18th-best in rebounds allowed (27.6).

In 2022-23, Dayton is 260th in college basketball in 3-point makes (6.7 per game) and 165th in 3-point percentage (34.5%). The Flyers are 70th in the nation in 3-pointers conceded (6.4 per game) and fifth-best in 3-point percentage defensively (28.8%).

The Flyers are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 games. Dayton has hit the over twice in its past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Dayton is posting 67.3 points per contest, 1.7 fewer points than its season average (69). Over their previous 10 games, the Flyers are surrendering 59.9 points per game, compared to their season average of 60.8 points allowed.

VCU vs. Dayton Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is VCU, and we project that VCU will cover the spread (VCU -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 124.5 points.

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How to bet VCU vs. Dayton

You can bet on VCU vs. Dayton at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s VCU vs. Dayton picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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