Utah Valley vs Tarleton State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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The No. 2 seed Utah Valley Wolverines (24-7, 15-3 WAC) face off against the No. 7 seed Tarleton State Texans (17-15, 9-9 WAC) in the WAC Tournament Thursday at Orleans Arena, beginning at 9:00 PM. Both teams will look to get one step closer to securing an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

Utah Valley is a strong 6.5-point favorite against Tarleton State when the Wolverines take on the Texans on Thursday. The matchup’s point total is 136.5.

Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State Odds

Point Spread for Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Utah Valley as the favorite.

Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Utah Valley has -290 odds to pick up the win, while Tarleton State is listed at +234 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 136.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Paradise, Nevada
  • Arena: Orleans Arena

Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State Betting Trends

Against the spread, Utah Valley is 20-8-0 this season. The Wolverines have been favorites in 20 games this season and have come away with the win 17 times (85%) in those contests. Utah Valley’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 53.6% of the time (15 out of 28 games with a set point total).

Tarleton State has 13 wins against the spread in 28 games this year. The Texans are 5-13 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 27.8% of those games). Tarleton State’s games this season have gone over the total in 13 of 28 opportunities (46.4%).

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Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State Key Players to Watch

Utah Valley

Aziz Bandaogo is tops on the Wolverines at 10.5 rebounds per game, while also putting up 1.1 assists and 11.4 points. Trey Woodbury averages a team-leading 4.4 assists per contest. He is also averaging 12.6 points and 5.5 rebounds, shooting 42.9% from the floor and 36.8% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made 3-pointers per game. Le’Tre Darthard leads the Wolverines at 14.4 points per game, while also posting 1.5 assists and 3.5 rebounds. Justin Harmon posts 12.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and 3 assists per contest. Defensively, he puts up 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Tarleton State

Shamir Bogues is posting 9.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest, making 54.3% of his shots from the field. The Texans get 15.8 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game from Freddy Hicks. Shakur Daniel is the Texans’ top assist man (3 per game), and he delivers 7.9 points and 3.2 rebounds. Lue Williams is averaging team highs in points (10.8 per game) and assists (0.9). And he is delivering 3.1 rebounds, making 43.7% of his shots from the field and 40.4% from 3-point range, with 1.4 triples per contest.

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What you need to know about the Utah Valley Wolverines

Utah Valley is 14-4-0 ATS in conference games this season. This season, the Wolverines are posting 76.7 points per game (59th-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 67.6 points per contest (107th-ranked). Utah Valley ranks third-best in college basketball by averaging 37.6 boards per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranks 322nd in college basketball (33.7 allowed per contest).

Utah Valley is making 6.5 treys per game (278th-ranked in college basketball). It owns a 32.3% shooting percentage (284th-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Wolverines are surrendering 6.6 treys per game (102nd-ranked in college basketball) this year, while allowing a 31% three-point percentage (37th-ranked).

The Wolverines have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Utah Valley has gone over the total three times. Utah Valley has seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 76.3 points per game in its last 10 outings, 0.4 points fewer than the 76.7 it has scored this season. Utah Valley has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 68.3 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 67.6 it has conceded this season.

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What you need to know about the Tarleton State Texans

Tarleton State has put together an 8-10-0 record against the spread in conference games this year. The Texans put up 72.4 points per game and allow 67.6, ranking them 165th in college basketball on offense and 107th defensively. Tarleton State is the 15th-worst squad in college basketball in rebounds per game (28) and 96th in rebounds allowed (29.8).

Beyond the arc, Tarleton State is sixth-worst in the nation in 3-pointers made per game (4.9). It is ranked 185th in 3-point percentage at 34.1%. The Texans give up 7.8 3-pointers per game and concede 35.3% from beyond the arc, ranking 253rd and 277th, respectively, in college basketball.

The Texans are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their last 10 games. Tarleton State has hit the over in four of its last 10 outings. Tarleton State is tallying 74.6 points per game over its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 72.4. In their past 10 games, the Texans are ceding 67.6 points per game, the same number of points they are allowing per game this season.

Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Utah Valley, and we predict that Utah Valley will cover the spread (Utah Valley -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 136.5 points.

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How to bet Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State

You can bet on Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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