Utah State vs New Mexico Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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The No. 3 seed Utah State Aggies (24-7, 13-5 MWC) and the No. 6 seed New Mexico Lobos (22-10, 8-10 MWC) will look to advance in the MWC tournament on Thursday as they square off at 11:30 PM.

Utah State is a small 3-point favorite against New Mexico when the Aggies face off with the Lobos on Thursday. A 157.5-point total is set for the game.

Utah State vs. New Mexico Odds

Point Spread for Utah State vs. New Mexico

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with oddsmakers listing Utah State as the favorite.

Utah State vs. New Mexico Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Utah State has -168 odds to pick up the win, while New Mexico is listed at +144 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 157.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 11:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

Utah State vs. New Mexico Betting Trends

In Utah State’s 30 games this year, it has 19 wins against the spread. The Aggies have been favorites in 27 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (85.2%) in those contests. Utah State’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 61.3% of the time (19 out of 31 games with a set point total).

In New Mexico’s 31 games this year, it has 16 wins against the spread. The Lobos have won four of the eight games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (50%). New Mexico’s games this season have hit the over on 21 of 31 set point totals (67.7%).

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Utah State vs. New Mexico Key Players to Watch

Utah State

Max Shulga puts up 12.2 points, 4.5 rebounds and 4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Taylor Funk is putting up 13.1 points, 1.7 assists and 5.3 rebounds per contest.
Daniel Akin paces the Aggies at 6.8 rebounds per contest, while also putting up 0.9 assists and 12.1 points.

New Mexico

Jaelen House tops the Lobos in assists (4.8 per game), and puts up 17.1 points and 4 rebounds. He also posts 2.6 steals (sixth in the country) and 0.6 blocked shots. Morris Udeze is averaging a team-best 9.3 rebounds per game. And he is producing 16.4 points and 1.4 assists, making 61.3% of his shots from the field. Jamal Mashburn Jr. is the Lobos’ top scorer (19.5 points per game), and he posts 2 assists and 3.3 rebounds. Josiah Allick is posting 8.2 points, 7.3 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game, making 55.3% of his shots from the floor.

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What you need to know about the Utah State Aggies

In Utah State’s 18 MWC games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 11 times. The Aggies are scoring 79.1 points per game (28th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while ceding 70 points per contest (175th-ranked). Utah State is 108th in the nation with 32.9 boards per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 37th with 28.4 rebounds allowed per game.

Utah State has been thriving in terms of three-point shooting this year, ranking 19th-best in the country in threes per game (9.5) and third-best in three-point percentage (40.1%). The Aggies are ceding 7.2 treys per game (177th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 35.6% (291st-ranked) from downtown.

The Aggies are 8-2 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Utah State has gone over the total five times. Utah State’s offense has been worse over its last 10 games, putting up 76.4 points a contest compared to the 79.1 it has averaged this year. Utah State’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (66.2) is 3.8 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (70).

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What you need to know about the New Mexico Lobos

So far this year, 15 out of New Mexico’s 19 MWC games with an over/under have gone over the point total. The Lobos are the 13th-best squad in the country in points scored (81.4 per game) and 280th in points allowed (73.5). New Mexico grabs 33.8 rebounds per game and concede 31.1 boards, ranking 59th and 185th, respectively, in the country.

In 2022-23, New Mexico is 324th in the country in 3-point makes (5.8 per game) and 87th in 3-point percentage (35.9%). In 2022-23, the Lobos are 262nd in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (7.9 per game) and 112th in defensive 3-point percentage (32.8%).

The Lobos have gone 3-7 in their past 10 games, with a 4-5-1 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, New Mexico has hit the over eight times. While New Mexico is scoring 81.4 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that over its past 10 games, amassing 79.1 points per contest. The Lobos have performed worse defensively over their last 10 games, allowing 79.1 points per contest, 5.6 more points their than season average of 73.5.

Utah State vs. New Mexico Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Utah State, and we project that New Mexico will cover the spread (Utah State -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 157.5 points.

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How to bet Utah State vs. New Mexico

You can bet on Utah State vs. New Mexico at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Utah State vs. New Mexico picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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