Utah State vs Missouri Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 16, 2023

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The No. 10 seed Utah State Aggies (26-8) and the No. 7 seed Missouri Tigers (24-9) meet on Thursday at 1:40 PM in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. The contest airs on TNT.

Thursday’s matchup between the Aggies and the Tigers features a tight line of Utah State -1.5. The over/under is 155.5 points for the matchup.

Utah State vs. Missouri Odds

Point Spread for Utah State vs. Missouri

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Utah State as the favorite.

Utah State vs. Missouri Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Utah State has -127 odds to pick up the win, while Missouri is listed at +106 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 155.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Sacramento, California
  • Arena: Golden 1 Center

Utah State vs. Missouri Betting Trends

Utah State is 21-12-0 against the spread this season. The Aggies have been chosen as favorites in 29 games this year and have walked away with the win 25 times (86.2%) in those games. Utah State’s games this year have hit the over on 20 of 32 set point totals.

In Missouri’s 32 games this year, it has 16 wins against the spread. The Tigers have gone 6-8 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 42.9% of those games). Missouri’s games this season have hit the over on 17 of 32 set point totals (53.1%).

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Utah State vs. Missouri Key Players to Watch

Utah State

Max Shulga posts 12.1 points, 4.4 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Taylor Funk puts up 13.3 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest, shooting 45% from the floor and 37.8% from beyond the arc with 2.4 made 3-pointers per game.
Daniel Akin leads the Aggies at 6.9 rebounds per game, while also putting up 0.9 assists and 12 points.


Kobe Brown tops the Tigers in scoring (15.8 points per game) and rebounding (6.3), and puts up 2.5 assists. He also delivers 1.5 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. D’Moi Hodge gets the Tigers 14.8 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He also puts up 2.6 steals (sixth in the country) and 0.5 blocked shots. The Tigers receive 9.5 points, 4 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Noah Carter. Nick Honor is posting a team-best 2.8 assists per contest. And he is contributing 8 points and 1.6 rebounds, making 40.8% of his shots from the floor and 39.7% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per game.

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What you need to know about the Utah State Aggies

With 78.6 points per game on offense, the Aggies are 31st in the nation. At the other end of the court, they surrender 69.7 points per contest, which ranks 161st in college basketball. With 33.2 boards per game, Utah State is 89th in college basketball. It allows 28.9 rebounds per contest, which ranks 52nd in college basketball.

Utah State is playing well when it comes to three-point shooting, as it ranks 22nd-best in college basketball in treys (9.4 per game) and fifth-best in shooting percentage from three-point land (39.3%). The Aggies rank 126th in the country with 6.8 treys allowed per game this season. Meanwhile, they rank 234th with a 34.5% shooting percentage allowed from three-point land.

The Aggies have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall over their past 10 contests. Four of Utah State’s last 10 outings have gone over the total. Utah State has seen a decrease in scoring lately, racking up 74.2 points per game in its last 10 contests, 4.4 points fewer than the 78.6 it has scored this season. The last 10 games have seen Utah State concede four fewer points per game (65.7) than its season-long average (69.7).

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What you need to know about the Missouri Tigers

On offense, the Tigers are the 23rd-best squad in college basketball (79.5 points per game). Defensively, they are 307th (74.6 points conceded per game). In 2022-23, Missouri is sixth-worst in the nation in rebounds (27.7 per game) and 21st-worst in rebounds allowed (34.2).

In 2022-23 Missouri is 22nd-best in the country in 3-point makes (9.4 per game), and it ranks No. 74 in 3-point percentage (36.1%). Defensively, the Tigers are 20th-worst in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed per game at 8.9. They are 280th in 3-point percentage conceded at 35.4%.

The Tigers are 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 contests. Five of Missouri’s past 10 outings have gone over the total. Over its past 10 games, Missouri is putting up 73.9 points per contest, 5.6 fewer points than its season average (79.5). While the Tigers are giving up 74.6 points per game in 2022-23, they have bettered that mark in their past 10 games, allowing 74 points per contest.

Utah State vs. Missouri Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Utah State, and we project that Utah State will cover the spread (Utah State -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 155.5 points.

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How to bet Utah State vs. Missouri

You can bet on Utah State vs. Missouri at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Utah State vs. Missouri picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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