Utah State vs Boise State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The Utah State Aggies (23-7, 12-5 MWC) will attempt to continue a four-game winning run when hosting the Boise State Broncos (23-7, 13-4 MWC) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum. This matchup is at 9:00 PM ET on MW Network.

The Aggies match up against the Broncos in a game that Utah State is currently a moderate favorite by 4 points. The over/under for the game is set at 143.5.

Utah State vs. Boise State Odds

Point Spread for Utah State vs. Boise State

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with bookmakers listing Utah State as the favorite.

Utah State vs. Boise State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Utah State has -184 odds to pick up the win, while Boise State is listed at +155 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 143.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MW Network
  • Location: Logan, Utah
  • Arena: Dee Glen Smith Spectrum

Utah State vs. Boise State Betting Trends

Utah State has played 29 games, with 18 wins against the spread. The Aggies have won in 22, or 84.6%, of the 26 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Utah State’s games this year have gone over the point total 62.1% of the time (18 out of 29 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, Boise State is 16-12-1 this year. The Broncos have won 66.7% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (6-3). Boise State’s games this season have gone over the point total 14 times in 29 opportunities (48.3%).

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Utah State vs. Boise State Key Players to Watch

Utah State

Max Shulga posts 12.2 points, 4.5 rebounds and 4 assists per contest. At the other end, he posts 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Taylor Funk puts up 12.8 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest, shooting 43.8% from the field and 37% from beyond the arc with 2.3 made 3-pointers per contest. Daniel Akin posts a team-high 7 rebounds per game. He is also posting 12.1 points and 0.8 assists, shooting 66.5% from the floor (ninth in the nation).

Boise State

Tyson Degenhart is putting up 14.3 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest, making 54% of his shots from the field and 33.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 triples per game. Max Rice is putting up a team-leading 14.4 points per game. And he is delivering 4.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists, making 45.5% of his shots from the floor and 42.3% from 3-point range, with 2.2 triples per contest. Marcus Shaver Jr. tops the Broncos in rebounding (5.9 per game) and assists (3.7), and posts 13.3 points. He also delivers 1.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Naje Smith is posting 9.9 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, making 51.6% of his shots from the field.

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What you need to know about the Utah State Aggies

Utah State and its MWC opponents have combined to hit the over 10 out of 17 times this season. So far this season, the Aggies are averaging 78.8 points per game (31st-ranked in college basketball) and ceding 69.9 points per contest (176th-ranked). Utah State is pulling down 33.1 rebounds per game (103rd-ranked in college basketball) this year, while allowing 28.3 rebounds per contest (33rd-ranked).

At home, the Aggies are scoring 5.9 more points per game (80.9) than they are in road games (75). When it comes to three-point shooting, everything is clicking for Utah State, who is making 9.6 treys per game (16th-best in college basketball) and shooting 40.2% from downtown (third-best). The Aggies are surrendering 7.2 treys per game (181st-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing a 35.6% three-point percentage (291st-ranked).

The Aggies have gone 7-3 in their past 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span. Five of Utah State’s past 10 games have gone over the total. In its last 10 games, Utah State has been racking up 75.3 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 78.8 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. The past 10 games have seen Utah State give up 2.5 fewer points per game (67.4) than its season-long average (69.9).

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What you need to know about the Boise State Broncos

Boise State is 8-8-1 ATS in conference action this year. The Broncos are 173rd in the nation in points scored (72.1 per game) and 25th-best in points conceded (63). Boise State is 80th in college basketball in rebounds per game (33.5) and 67th in rebounds allowed (29.2).

The Broncos are putting up more points at home (75.4 per game) than away (69.4). With 7.8 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 36.3% from downtown, Boise State is 132nd and 66th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories. The Broncos are 52nd in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (6.2 per game) and 18th-best in 3-point percentage defensively (30.1%).

The Broncos have two wins against the spread, and are 8-2 overall, in their past 10 games. Five of Boise State’s last 10 contests have hit the over. Boise State is putting up 69.8 points per contest in its last 10 games, which is 2.3 fewer points than its average for the season (72.1). While the Broncos are ceding 63 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their past 10 games, allowing 65.7 points per contest.

Utah State vs. Boise State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Utah State, and we predict that Boise State will cover the spread (Utah State -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 143.5 points.

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How to bet Utah State vs. Boise State

You can bet on Utah State vs. Boise State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Utah State vs. Boise State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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