USC vs Arizona State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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The No. 3 seed USC Trojans (22-9, 14-6 Pac-12) play the No. 6 seed Arizona State Sun Devils (21-11, 11-9 Pac-12) in the Pac-12 Tournament Thursday at T-Mobile Arena, starting at 11:30 PM. Both teams will try to get one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

The Trojans take on the Sun Devils in a game that USC is currently a moderate favorite by 4 points. The point total for the game is set at 138.

USC vs. Arizona State Odds

Point Spread for USC vs. Arizona State

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with oddsmakers listing USC as the favorite.

USC vs. Arizona State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, USC has -196 odds to pick up the win, while Arizona State is listed at +165 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 138 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 11:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: T-Mobile Arena

USC vs. Arizona State Betting Trends

USC has played 31 games, with 17 wins against the spread. The Trojans have been victorious in 17, or 89.5%, of the 19 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. USC’s games this year have gone over the total in 16 out of 32 opportunities (50%).

In Arizona State’s 32 games this year, it has 14 wins against the spread. The Sun Devils have put together a 6-5 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 54.5% of those games). Arizona State’s games this season have hit the over on 16 of 32 set point totals (50%).

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USC vs. Arizona State Key Players to Watch


Drew Peterson paces his team in both rebounds (6.3) and assists (4.5) per contest, and also posts 14.1 points. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Boogie Ellis averages a team-leading 18.1 points per contest. He is also putting up 3.7 rebounds and 3 assists, shooting 44% from the field and 39.1% from beyond the arc with 2.6 made 3-pointers per game. Kobe Johnson is posting 8.8 points, 2.5 assists and 4.8 rebounds per contest. Tre White is putting up 8.9 points, 1.1 assists and 5.1 rebounds per contest.

Arizona State

Desmond Cambridge is the Sun Devils’ top scorer (13.4 points per game) and assist man (2.3), and posts 3.5 rebounds. Frankie Collins paces the Sun Devils in assists (4.4 per game), and produces 10.1 points and 4.3 rebounds. He also puts up 1.4 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Warren Washington is putting up a team-best 6.9 rebounds per contest. And he is delivering 9.5 points and 1.5 assists, making 57.9% of his shots from the field. DJ Horne gives the Sun Devils 12.1 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest. He also delivers 1.2 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the USC Trojans

In USC’s 20 Pac-12 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 10 times. The Trojans are 154th in college basketball with 72.8 points per game so far this season. At the other end, they rank 85th with 66.9 points allowed per game. USC is grabbing 32.1 rebounds per game (157th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 32 rebounds per contest (244th-ranked).

This year, USC is draining 6.4 threes per game (286th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 34.4% (172nd-ranked) from three-point land. This year, the Trojans are allowing 7.3 three-pointers per game (195th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 32.9% (121st-ranked) from downtown.

The Trojans have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span. Six of USC’s last 10 outings have hit the over. USC has seen an increase in scoring recently, putting up 75.5 points per game in its last 10 outings, 2.7 points more than the 72.8 it has scored this season. USC has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 68.4 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 66.9 it has conceded this season.

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What you need to know about the Arizona State Sun Devils

Arizona State is 7-14-0 ATS in conference action this year. At 70.5 points scored per game and 67.3 points allowed, the Sun Devils are 203rd in the nation offensively and 97th defensively. In 2022-23, Arizona State is 88th in the nation in rebounds (33.3 per game) and 13th-worst in rebounds conceded (34.7).

With 7.3 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 31.1% from downtown, Arizona State is 192nd and 329th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories. Defensively, the Sun Devils are 227th in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded per game at 7.6. They are 124th in 3-point percentage allowed at 33%.

The Sun Devils are 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 contests. Arizona State has hit the over in four of its past 10 games. Arizona State has played worse offensively over its last 10 games, compiling 68.1 points per contest, 2.4 fewer points its than season average of 70.5. The Sun Devils have fared worse defensively over their previous 10 games, ceding 67.7 points per contest, 0.4 more points their than season average of 67.3.

USC vs. Arizona State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is USC, and we project that Arizona State will cover the spread (USC -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 138 points.

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How to bet USC vs. Arizona State

You can bet on USC vs. Arizona State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s USC vs. Arizona State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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