USC vs Arizona State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The USC Trojans (21-9, 13-6 Pac-12) hit the court against the Arizona State Sun Devils (20-10, 11-8 Pac-12) on Saturday at 11:00 PM ET in Pac-12 play, aiting on Fox Sports 1.

Saturday’s matchup between the Trojans and the Sun Devils sees the Trojans as 5.5-point favorites. The matchup has an over/under of 140.

USC vs. Arizona State Odds

Point Spread for USC vs. Arizona State

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with bookmakers listing USC as the favorite.

USC vs. Arizona State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, USC has -232 odds to pick up the win, while Arizona State is listed at +191 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 140 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Arena: Galen Center

USC vs. Arizona State Betting Trends

Against the spread, USC is 17-13-0 this year. The Trojans have come away with 16 wins in the 18 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. USC’s games this year have hit the over 16 times in 30 opportunities (53.3%).

In Arizona State’s 30 games this season, it has 13 wins against the spread. The Sun Devils have compiled a 6-4 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games). Arizona State’s games this year have hit the over on 16 of 30 set point totals (53.3%).

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USC vs. Arizona State Key Players to Watch

USC

Drew Peterson paces his squad in both rebounds (6.3) and assists (4.5) per contest, and also averages 14.3 points. At the other end, he puts up 1.1 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. Boogie Ellis paces his team in both points (17.8) and assists (3) per contest, and also averages 3.7 rebounds. Defensively, he puts up 1.4 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Kobe Johnson posts 9 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest, shooting 47.1% from the floor. Tre White posts 8.8 points, 5.1 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game, shooting 46.5% from the field.

Arizona State

Desmond Cambridge is No. 1 on the Sun Devils in scoring (13.7 points per game), and posts 3.5 rebounds and 2.3 assists. He also puts up 1.6 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. Frankie Collins is the Sun Devils’ top assist man (4.5 per game), and he delivers 10.3 points and 4.4 rebounds. Warren Washington is the Sun Devils’ top rebounder (6.6 per game), and he delivers 9.3 points and 1.5 assists. The Sun Devils receive 11.8 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game from DJ Horne.

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What you need to know about the USC Trojans

USC has won 12 games against the spread in conference play this season, while failing to cover seven times. The Trojans are averaging 73 points per game (150th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while giving up 67 points per contest (88th-ranked). USC is 168th in the nation with 31.9 rebounds per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 231st with 31.8 rebounds allowed per contest.

In home games, the Trojans are posting 8.5 more points per game (76.7) than they are away from home (68.2). So far this year, USC is sinking 6.5 threes per game (275th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 34.6% (166th-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Trojans rank 195th in college basketball with 7.3 threes allowed per game so far this year. Meanwhile, they rank 153rd with a 33.4% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Trojans have gone 7-3 over their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. USC has gone over the total in seven of its last 10 contests. USC has seen an uptick in scoring lately, racking up 76.4 points per game in its last 10 contests, 3.4 points more than the 73 it has scored this year. USC’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (68.3) is 1.3 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (67).

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What you need to know about the Arizona State Sun Devils

Arizona State has covered six times in 19 chances against the spread in conference action this year. At 70.9 points scored per game and 67.6 points allowed, the Sun Devils are 194th in college basketball offensively and 103rd on defense. In 2022-23, Arizona State is 102nd in college basketball in rebounds (33.1 per game) and 15th-worst in rebounds conceded (34.6).

The Sun Devils are putting up more points at home (71.1 per game) than away (69.8). In 2022-23, Arizona State is 175th in the country in 3-point makes (7.5 per game) and 314th in 3-point percentage (31.7%). In 2022-23, the Sun Devils are 249th in the nation in 3-pointers conceded (7.8 per game) and 161st in defensive 3-point percentage (33.5%).

The Sun Devils have gone 5-5 over their past 10 contests, with a 3-7 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, Arizona State has hit the over five times. While Arizona State is scoring 70.9 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that in its last 10 games, producing 67.7 points per contest. While the Sun Devils are ceding 67.6 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse in their previous 10 games, allowing 69.6 points per contest.

USC vs. Arizona State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is USC, and we project that Arizona State will cover the spread (USC -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 140 points.

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How to bet USC vs. Arizona State

You can bet on USC vs. Arizona State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s USC vs. Arizona State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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