UNLV vs Air Force Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, March 8, 2023

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The No. 7 seed UNLV Rebels (18-12, 7-11 MWC) will square off against the No. 10 seed Air Force Falcons (14-17, 5-13 MWC) in the MWC Tournament Wednesday at Thomas & Mack Center, tipping off at 4:30 PM.

Wednesday’s matchup between the Rebels and the Falcons features the Rebels as 5.5-point favorites. A 134-point total is set for the game.

UNLV vs. Air Force Odds

Point Spread for UNLV vs. Air Force

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with sportsbooks listing UNLV as the favorite.

UNLV vs. Air Force Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UNLV has -254 odds to pick up the win, while Air Force is listed at +206 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 134 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, March 8, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MW Network
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

UNLV vs. Air Force Betting Trends

UNLV has 15 wins against the spread in 29 games this season. The Rebels have won in 13, or 65%, of the 20 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. UNLV has eclipsed the over/under in 61.3% of its opportunities this year (19 times in 31 games with a set point total).

Air Force has played 31 games, with 17 wins, against the spread. The Falcons have been the underdog on the moneyline 20 total times this season. They’ve finished 6-14 in those games. Air Force has eclipsed the over/under 54.8% of the time this season (17 of 31 games with a set point total).

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UNLV vs. Air Force Key Players to Watch


Keshon Gilbert averages a team-high 3.2 assists per contest. He is also putting up 11.5 points and 3.9 rebounds, shooting 46.1% from the field. Luis Rodriguez paces the Rebels at 5.6 rebounds per game, while also putting up 1.2 assists and 10.9 points. David Muoka posts 4.7 points, 4.7 rebounds and 0.4 assists per contest, shooting 56% from the field.

Air Force

Rytis Petraitis paces the Falcons in rebounding (6.1 per game), and posts 10.2 points and 2.7 assists. He also puts up 1 steal and 0.7 blocked shots. Jake Heidbreder leads the Falcons in scoring (14.9 points per game) and assists (1.7), and averages 3.1 rebounds. He also puts up 0.6 steals and 0 blocked shots. Ethan Taylor tops the Falcons in assists (3.2 per game), and produces 7.3 points and 3.4 rebounds. He also puts up 0.9 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. The Falcons get 7.3 points, 2.2 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Camden Vander Zwaag.

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What you need to know about the UNLV Rebels

UNLV has put together an 8-10-0 conference record against the spread this season. On offense, the Rebels are putting up 74.1 points per game (122nd-ranked in college basketball). They are giving up 69.5 points per contest on defense (157th-ranked). So far this season, UNLV is grabbing 31.1 rebounds per game (227th-ranked in college basketball) and ceding 33.3 rebounds per contest (311th-ranked).

So far this year, UNLV is sinking 8 treys per game (103rd-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 34.4% (174th-ranked) from beyond the arc. With 8.7 three-pointers conceded per game, the Rebels are 332nd in the nation. They are giving up a 35.4% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 281st in college basketball.

The Rebels have gone 5-5 over their last 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span. Five of UNLV’s past 10 contests have gone over the total. UNLV has been scoring 69.4 points per game in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 74.1 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. UNLV’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (71.5) is two more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (69.5).

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What you need to know about the Air Force Falcons

Air Force’s conference games have hit the over 10 out of 18 times this season. The Falcons are 304th in the country in points scored (66.8 per game) and 77th in points conceded (66.7). In 2022-23, Air Force is -2-worst in the country in rebounds (26.9 per game) and 115th in rebounds allowed (30.1).

With 8.2 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 35.6% from beyond the arc, Air Force is 89th and 103rd in the country, respectively, in those categories. The Falcons are the sixth-best team in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (5.1 per game) and seventh-best in 3-point percentage defensively (29%).

The Falcons have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 2-8 overall in their past 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Air Force has gone over the total five times. While Air Force is averaging 66.8 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that in its past 10 games, tallying 64.2 points per contest. The Falcons are ceding 69.8 points per game over their past 10 games, which is 3.1 more points than they are allowing for the season (66.7).

UNLV vs. Air Force Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is UNLV, and we expect that Air Force will cover the spread (UNLV -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 134 points.

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How to bet UNLV vs. Air Force

You can bet on UNLV vs. Air Force at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UNLV vs. Air Force picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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