Omaha vs UMKC Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 3, 2023

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The No. 10 seed Omaha Mavericks (8-22, 4-14 Summit) will head into the Summit Tournament against the No. 7 seed UMKC Kangaroos (11-20, 7-11 Summit) on Friday at Denny Sanford Premier Center, tipping off at 9:30 PM.

Friday’s matchup between the Mavericks and the Kangaroos features the Mavericks as slim 2-point favorites. A 133-point total has been set for the game.

Omaha vs. UMKC Odds

Point Spread for Omaha vs. UMKC

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with sportsbooks listing Omaha as the favorite.

Omaha vs. UMKC Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Omaha has -133 odds to pick up the win, while UMKC is listed at +112 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 133 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 3, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
  • Arena: Denny Sanford Premier Center

Omaha vs. UMKC Betting Trends

Omaha has played 29 games, with 15 wins against the spread. The Mavericks have come away with three wins in the four contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Omaha’s games this year have gone over the total in 17 out of 29 opportunities (58.6%).

Against the spread, UMKC is 13-16-0 this year. The Kangaroos have won six of the 18 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (33.3%). UMKC’s games this season have eclipsed the over/under 14 times in 29 opportunities (48.3%).

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Omaha vs. UMKC Key Players to Watch


Frankie Fidler posts 14.6 points and 5.7 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also posting 2.7 assists, shooting 42.9% from the field. JJ White leads his team in assists per game (4), and also puts up 9.8 points and 2.8 rebounds. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 0.1 blocked shots. Marquel Sutton posts 10.2 points, 5 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game, shooting 45.2% from the field. Luke Jungers is posting 7.3 points, 0.5 assists and 2.7 rebounds per game.


Shemarri Allen is putting up a team-best 2.7 assists per contest. And he is producing 17 points and 5 rebounds, making 41.4% of his shots from the field. Rayquawndis Mitchell is posting team highs in points (17.4 per game) and assists (1.6). And he is contributing 3.8 rebounds, making 34.8% of his shots from the floor and 30.5% from 3-point range, with 2.5 treys per game. Allen David Mukeba Jr. tops the Kangaroos in rebounding (7.5 per game), and posts 9.4 points and 1.6 assists. He also posts 1.1 steals and 1.1 blocked shots. Jeff Ngandu is putting up 5.5 points, 5.9 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game, making 55% of his shots from the floor.

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What you need to know about the Omaha Mavericks

So far this season, 12 out of Omaha’s 18 Summit games have hit the over. The Mavericks rank 259th in the country with 68.8 points per contest, but their defense has been less effective, ceding 77.1 points per game (18th-worst in college basketball). Omaha is pulling down 29.8 rebounds per game (286th-ranked in college basketball). It is ceding 32 rebounds per contest (247th-ranked).

While Omaha ranks in the bottom 25 in the nation in three-pointers per game with 5.6 (23rd-worst), it ranks 216th in college basketball with a 33.7% three-point percentage. The Mavericks are 327th in college basketball with 8.6 three-pointers allowed per game so far this season. Meanwhile, they rank 328th with a 36.5% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Mavericks are 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall in their past 10 contests. Six of Omaha’s last 10 outings have gone over the total. Omaha’s offense has been improved over its last 10 games, scoring 69 points per contest compared to the 68.8 it has averaged this year. Omaha’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has given up 78 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 77.1 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.

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What you need to know about the UMKC Kangaroos

UMKC has covered eight times in 18 games with a spread in conference play this year. In 2022-23, the Kangaroos are 21st-worst in the nation offensively (64.5 points scored per game) and 132nd on defense (68.6 points allowed). On the glass, UMKC is 82nd in the nation in rebounds (33.5 per game). It is 91st in rebounds conceded (29.6 per game).

In 2022-23 UMKC is 326th in college basketball in 3-point makes (5.8 per game) and -2-worst in 3-point percentage (28.1%). Defensively, the Kangaroos are 215th in the country in 3-pointers allowed per game at 7.5. They are 208th in 3-point percentage allowed at 34.2%.

The Kangaroos have covered the spread twice, and are 3-7 overall, in their past 10 contests. UMKC has hit the over in three of its last 10 outings. In its previous 10 games, UMKC is posting 60.5 points per contest, compared to its season average of 64.5. The Kangaroos have performed worse defensively over their last 10 games, allowing 71.5 points per contest, 2.9 more points their than season average of 68.6.

Omaha vs. UMKC Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is UMKC, and we expect that UMKC will cover the spread (Omaha -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 133 points.

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How to bet Omaha vs. UMKC

You can bet on Omaha vs. UMKC at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Omaha vs. UMKC picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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