UConn vs San Diego State Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Monday, April 3, 2023

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The national championship will be decided when the UConn Huskies (30-8) and San Diego State Aztecs (32-6) square off in the final game of the NCAA Tournament on Monday at NRG Stadium, beginning at 9:20 PM.

Monday’s matchup between the Huskies and the Aztecs features the Huskies as strong 7-point favorites. The matchup has a point total of 131.5.

UConn vs. San Diego State Odds

Point Spread for UConn vs. San Diego State

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with sportsbooks listing UConn as the favorite.

UConn vs. San Diego State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UConn has -366 odds to pick up the win, while San Diego State is listed at +288 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 131.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, April 3, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Arena: NRG Stadium

UConn vs. San Diego State Betting Trends

Against the spread, UConn is 25-12-0 this year. The Huskies have been victorious in 26, or 78.8%, of the 33 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. UConn’s games this year have gone over the point total 20 times in 37 opportunities (54.1%).

San Diego State has 19 wins against the spread in 37 games this year. The Aztecs have a 3-2 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games). San Diego State’s games this season have gone over the point total 40.5% of the time (15 out of 37 games with a set point total).

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UConn vs. San Diego State Key Players to Watch

UConn

Adama Sanogo is tops on his team in both points (17.2) and rebounds (7.6) per contest, and also posts 1.3 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Tristen Newton averages a team-high 4.7 assists per game. He is also putting up 9.8 points and 4.3 rebounds, shooting 37.1% from the field and 36.7% from beyond the arc with 1.2 made 3-pointers per game. Jordan Hawkins averages 16.2 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 40.6% from the field and 38.6% from downtown with 3 made 3-pointers per game. Andre Jackson averages a team-leading 4.7 assists per game. He is also averaging 6.8 points and 6.3 rebounds, shooting 43.3% from the floor.

San Diego State

Matt Bradley is the Aztecs’ top scorer (12.7 points per game), and he delivers 2.1 assists and 3.8 rebounds. Lamont Butler is posting a team-leading 3.3 assists per contest. He’s also producing 8.7 points and 2.7 rebounds, making 42% of his shots from the field, and 33.6% from 3-point range resulting in 1 triples per game. Darrion Trammell is putting up 9.7 points, 2.4 rebounds and 3 assists per game, making 35.9% of his shots from the field and 31.4% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 triples per game. Nathan Mensah is the Aztecs’ top rebounder (5.9 per game), and he contributes 6.1 points and 0.6 assists.

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What you need to know about the UConn Huskies

The Huskies are averaging 78.6 points per game (30th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 64.3 points per contest (34th-ranked). When it comes to rebounding, things are clicking for UConn, who is pulling down 36.4 boards per game (10th-best in college basketball) and allowing 26.3 boards per contest (third-best).

With 9.1 three-pointers per game, UConn ranks 30th in the country. It owns a 36.3% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 67th in college basketball. When it comes to defending three-pointers, things are clicking for the Huskies, who are allowing 4.9 threes per game (second-best in college basketball) and a 29.8% shooting percentage from three-point land (15th-best).

The Huskies have gone 9-1 over their last 10 games, with a 9-1 record against the spread in that span. UConn has gone over the total in three of its past 10 outings. UConn has seen an increase in scoring recently, putting up 79.4 points per game in its last 10 outings, 0.8 points more than the 78.6 it has scored this year. UConn’s defense has been tougher lately, as the team has given up 63.6 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 64.3 points per game its opponents average on the season.

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What you need to know about the San Diego State Aztecs

The Aztecs are 182nd in the country in points scored (71.5 per game) and 25th-best in points conceded (63.1). In 2022-23, San Diego State is 79th in the country in rebounds (33.4 per game) and 41st in rebounds conceded (28.6).

San Diego State is 220th in college basketball in 3-pointers made (7 per game) and 122nd in 3-point percentage (35.1%). Defensively, the Aztecs are 51st in the country in 3-pointers allowed per game at 6.2. They are third-best in 3-point percentage conceded at 28.2%.

The Aztecs are 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall over their last 10 contests. San Diego State has gone over the total once in its past 10 contests. While San Diego State is averaging 71.5 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that over its previous 10 games, tallying 65.5 points per contest. The Aztecs are giving up 58.3 points per game over their past 10 games, which is 4.8 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (63.1).

UConn vs. San Diego State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is UConn, and we predict that San Diego State will cover the spread (UConn -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 131.5 points.

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How to bet UConn vs. San Diego State

You can bet on UConn vs. San Diego State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UConn vs. San Diego State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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