UConn vs Saint Mary’s (CA) Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, March 19, 2023

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The No. 4 seed UConn Huskies (26-8) will look to secure a place in the Sweet 16 in an NCAA Tournament second round matchup against the No. 5 seed Saint Mary’s Gaels (27-7) on Sunday at MVP Arena, starting at 6:10 PM.

The Huskies square off against the Gaels in a game that UConn is currently a moderate favorite by 4 points. The point total for the matchup is 125.

UConn vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Odds

Point Spread for UConn vs. Saint Mary’s (CA)

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with sportsbooks listing UConn as the favorite.

UConn vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UConn has -190 odds to pick up the win, while Saint Mary’s (CA) is listed at +160 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 125 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 19, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Albany, New York
  • Arena: MVP Arena

UConn vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Betting Trends

In UConn’s 33 games this year, it has 21 wins against the spread. The Huskies have been chosen as favorites in 29 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (75.9%) in those games. UConn has gone over the point total in 57.6% of its opportunities this year (19 times over 33 games with a set point total).

Saint Mary’s (CA) is 18-13-2 against the spread this season. The Gaels have won 25% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (1-3). Saint Mary’s (CA)’s games this year have gone over the point total 16 times in 33 opportunities (48.5%).

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UConn vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Key Players to Watch


Adama Sanogo posts 17.1 points and 7.4 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also averaging 1.2 assists, shooting 60.2% from the floor. Tristen Newton leads his team in assists per game (4.6), and also puts up 10 points and 4.2 rebounds. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Jordan Hawkins averages 16 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 40.1% from the field and 37% from beyond the arc with 2.8 made 3-pointers per contest. Andre Jackson is posting 6.8 points, 4.4 assists and 6.3 rebounds per game.

Saint Mary’s (CA)

Mitchell Saxen is averaging a team-leading 7.8 rebounds per game. And he is producing 11.8 points and 1.8 assists, making 55.3% of his shots from the field. Alex Ducas is averaging 12.6 points, 4.4 rebounds and 1 assists per game, making 42.9% of his shots from the field and 41.1% from 3-point range, with 2.5 triples per contest. Aidan Mahaney gets the Gaels 14.1 points, 2.2 rebounds and 2 assists per contest. He also posts 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the UConn Huskies

Offensively, the Huskies are averaging 78.7 points per game (28th-ranked in college basketball). They are giving up 65 points per contest at the other end of the court (41st-ranked). UConn has been shining when it comes to rebounding this season, ranking 11th-best in the country in rebounds per game (36.1) and fourth-best in rebounds allowed per contest (26.1).

With 9.1 three-pointers per game, UConn is 30th in the country. It owns a 35.9% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 86th in college basketball. The Huskies are dominating in terms of defending against three-pointers, as they rank third-best in college basketball in threes allowed (5 per game) and 21st-best in three-point percentage allowed (30.4%).

The Huskies are 8-2 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their last 10 contests. UConn has hit the over in four of its past 10 contests. UConn’s offense has been worse over its last 10 games, putting up 77.3 points a contest compared to the 78.7 it has averaged this season. UConn’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has given up 65.5 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 65 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.

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What you need to know about the Saint Mary’s Gaels

In 2022-23, the Gaels are 190th in the nation offensively (71.1 points scored per game) and fifth-best defensively (59.9 points conceded). In 2022-23, Saint Mary’s (CA) is 127th in college basketball in rebounds (32.5 per game) and second-best in rebounds conceded (26).

At 7.6 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 36.6% from downtown, Saint Mary’s (CA) is 149th and 54th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories. The Gaels are the 10th-best team in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (5.3 per game) and 106th in 3-point percentage defensively (32.6%).

The Gaels have a 4-5-1 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Saint Mary’s (CA) has hit the over six times. In its last 10 games, Saint Mary’s (CA) is putting up 70.7 points per game, 0.4 fewer points than its season average (71.1). The Gaels have performed worse defensively in their past 10 games, giving up 66.2 points per contest, 6.3 more points their than season average of 59.9.

UConn vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is UConn, and we predict that Saint Mary’s (CA) will cover the spread (UConn -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 125 points.

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How to bet UConn vs. Saint Mary’s (CA)

You can bet on UConn vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UConn vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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