UConn vs Miami (FL) Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, April 1, 2023

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A Final Four battle features the No. 4 seed UConn Huskies (29-8) and the No. 5 seed Miami Hurricanes (29-7) meeting with a spot in the National Championship Game on the line on Saturday at NRG Stadium. The NCAA Tournament matchup begins at 8:49 PM.

Saturday’s game between the Huskies and the Hurricanes sees the Huskies as 5.5-point favorites. A 149-point total has been set for the game.

UConn vs. Miami (FL) Odds

Point Spread for UConn vs. Miami (FL)

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with oddsmakers listing UConn as the favorite.

UConn vs. Miami (FL) Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UConn has -252 odds to pick up the win, while Miami (FL) is listed at +204 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 149 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, April 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:49 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Arena: NRG Stadium

UConn vs. Miami (FL) Betting Trends

UConn is 24-12-0 against the spread this season. The Huskies have been victorious in 25, or 78.1%, of the 32 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. UConn has hit the over in 55.6% of its opportunities this year (20 times in 36 games with a set point total).

In Miami (FL)’s 36 games this season, it has 22 wins against the spread. The Hurricanes are 7-4 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 63.6% of those games). Miami (FL)’s games this season have hit the over 17 times in 36 opportunities (47.2%).

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UConn vs. Miami (FL) Key Players to Watch


Adama Sanogo averages 17.1 points and 7.5 rebounds per contest — both team highs. He is also posting 1.3 assists, shooting 60.2% from the floor. Jordan Hawkins is posting 16.3 points, 1.3 assists and 3.8 rebounds per game. Tristen Newton puts up 9.9 points, 4.3 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game. Defensively, he delivers 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
Andre Jackson is tops on his team in assists per contest (4.7), and also puts up 6.8 points and 6.4 rebounds. Defensively, he averages 1 steal and 0.5 blocked shots.

Miami (FL)

Norchad Omier tops the Hurricanes in rebounding (10.1 per game), and averages 13.3 points and 1.3 assists. He also posts 1.1 steals and 1.2 blocked shots. The Hurricanes receive 15.4 points, 6.1 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game from Jordan Miller. The Hurricanes receive 13.8 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game from Nijel Pack.

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What you need to know about the UConn Huskies

With 78.8 points per game on offense, the Huskies are 27th in college basketball. Defensively, they surrender 64.4 points per contest, which ranks 35th in college basketball. UConn has been shining in terms of rebounding this season, ranking 10th-best in the country in boards per game (36.3) and third-best in rebounds allowed per contest (26.3).

UConn is sinking 9.1 threes per game (30th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while owning a 36.3% three-point percentage (67th-ranked). When it comes to defending three-pointers, everything is clicking for the Huskies, who are ceding 4.9 three-pointers per game (second-best in college basketball) and a 29.7% shooting percentage from three-point land (12th-best).

The Huskies are 9-1 against the spread and 9-1 overall in their past 10 contests. UConn has gone over the total in four of its past 10 games. UConn’s offense has been better over its last 10 games, racking up 80.9 points per contest compared to the 78.8 it has averaged this year. UConn’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (64.6) is 0.2 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (64.4).

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What you need to know about the Miami Hurricanes

The Hurricanes are the 21st-best squad in college basketball in points scored (79.6 per game) and 236th in points conceded (71.9). On the glass, Miami (FL) is 147th in the nation in rebounds (32.2 per game). It is 59th in rebounds allowed (29.1 per game).

Miami (FL) makes 7.5 3-pointers per game and shoots 36.9% from beyond the arc, ranking 166th and 40th, respectively, in the country. Giving up 7.7 3-pointers per game and conceding 33.4% from beyond the arc, the Hurricanes are 240th and 149th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories.

The Hurricanes are 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Miami (FL) has hit the over six times. Miami (FL) is posting 81.1 points per game over its last 10 games, which is 1.5 more than its average for the season (79.6). The Hurricanes have fared worse defensively over their previous 10 games, ceding 75.6 points per contest, 3.7 more points their than season average of 71.9.

UConn vs. Miami (FL) Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is UConn, and we expect that UConn will cover the spread (UConn -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 149 points.

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How to bet UConn vs. Miami (FL)

You can bet on UConn vs. Miami (FL) at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UConn vs. Miami (FL) picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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