UConn vs Gonzaga Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 25, 2023

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The No. 3 seed Gonzaga Bulldogs (31-5) take the court for an NCAA Tournament Elite Eight matchup with the No. 4 seed UConn Huskies (28-8) on Saturday at T-Mobile Arena, airing on TBS starting at 8:59 PM, with the winner moving on to the Final Four from the West Region bracket.

Saturday’s matchup between the Huskies and the Bulldogs features the Huskies as 3-point favorites. The matchup’s point total is 153.5.

UConn vs. Gonzaga Odds

Point Spread for UConn vs. Gonzaga

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with bookmakers listing UConn as the favorite.

UConn vs. Gonzaga Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UConn has -156 odds to pick up the win, while Gonzaga is listed at +133 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 153.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 25, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:59 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: T-Mobile Arena

UConn vs. Gonzaga Betting Trends

UConn is 23-12-0 against the spread this season. The Huskies have been favorites in 31 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (77.4%) in those contests. UConn’s games this year have hit the over 20 times in 35 opportunities (57.1%).

Gonzaga is 15-20-0 against the spread this season. The Bulldogs have put together a 3-2 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 60% of those games). Gonzaga has gone over the point total 60% of the time this year (21 of 35 games with a set point total).

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UConn vs. Gonzaga Key Players to Watch

UConn

Adama Sanogo leads the Huskies with 17.3 points per game and 7.5 rebounds, while also putting up 1.2 assists. Tristen Newton posts a team-leading 4.7 assists per game. He is also posting 9.9 points and 4.3 rebounds, shooting 37.7% from the floor and 37.7% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per game. Jordan Hawkins posts 16.1 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Andre Jackson averages 6.8 points, 6.3 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

Gonzaga

Drew Timme tops the Bulldogs in scoring (21.5 points per game), rebounding (7.5) and assists (3.1), shooting 62.3% from the field. He also posts 0.6 steals and 1 block. The Bulldogs get 11.3 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game from Anton Watson. Julian Strawther gives the Bulldogs 15.4 points, 6.3 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He also posts 0.9 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. The Bulldogs get 10.2 points, 1.9 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Rasir Bolton.

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What you need to know about the UConn Huskies

On offense, the Huskies are scoring 78.7 points per game (28th-ranked in college basketball). They are surrendering 64.7 points per contest on defense (38th-ranked). In terms of rebounding, everything is clicking for UConn, who is averaging 36.1 boards per game (11th-best in college basketball) and allowing 26 boards per contest (second-best).

UConn ranks 30th in the country with 9.1 three-pointers per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 62nd with a 36.4% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. In terms of defending three-pointers, it’s been a dominant stretch for the Huskies, who are allowing 5 three-pointers per game (third-best in college basketball) and a 30.3% shooting percentage from beyond the arc (20th-best).

The Huskies have gone 9-1 over their last 10 games, with an 8-2 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, UConn has hit the over four times. UConn’s offense has been improved over its last 10 games, racking up 79.1 points per contest compared to the 78.7 it has averaged this year. The past 10 games have seen UConn give up 64.7 points per game, equal to its season-long average.

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What you need to know about the Gonzaga Bulldogs

On offense, the Bulldogs are the best team in college basketball (87 points per game). Defensively, they are 268th (73.1 points allowed per game). In 2022-23, Gonzaga is 44th in the country in rebounds (34.3 per game) and 30th in rebounds allowed (28.2).

Gonzaga is 134th in the nation in 3-pointers made (7.7 per game) and 11th-best in 3-point percentage (38.6%). Giving up 8.2 3-pointers per game and conceding 34.8% from beyond the arc, the Bulldogs are 290th and 255th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories.

The Bulldogs have gone 10-0 over their past 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. Gonzaga has gone over the total in seven of its past 10 outings. Over its last 10 games, Gonzaga is putting up 88.9 points per contest, 1.9 more than its season average (87). Over their last 10 games, the Bulldogs are surrendering 70.9 points per game, compared to their season average of 73.1 points allowed.

UConn vs. Gonzaga Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Gonzaga, and we project that Gonzaga will cover the spread (UConn -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 153.5 points.

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How to bet UConn vs. Gonzaga

You can bet on UConn vs. Gonzaga at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UConn vs. Gonzaga picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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