UConn vs Arkansas Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 23, 2023

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The No. 8 Arkansas Razorbacks (22-13) ready for a Sweet 16 matchup against the No. 4 UConn Huskies (27-8) on Thursday at 7:15 PM as the NCAA Tournament continues live from T-Mobile Arena and airing on CBS.

The Huskies match up against the Razorbacks in a game that UConn is currently a modest favorite by 3.5 points. The over/under for the game is set at 140.

UConn vs. Arkansas Odds

Point Spread for UConn vs. Arkansas

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with sportsbooks listing UConn as the favorite.

UConn vs. Arkansas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UConn has -183 odds to pick up the win, while Arkansas is listed at +155 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 140 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 23, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: T-Mobile Arena

UConn vs. Arkansas Betting Trends

UConn is 22-12-0 against the spread this season. The Huskies have been victorious in 23, or 76.7%, of the 30 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. UConn’s games this year have gone over the total in 19 out of 35 opportunities (54.3%).

Arkansas is 17-16-2 against the spread this year. The Razorbacks have won three of the 10 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (30%). Arkansas has gone over the point total 40% of the time this year (14 of 35 games with a set point total).

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UConn vs. Arkansas Key Players to Watch


Adama Sanogo paces his squad in both points (17.3) and rebounds (7.5) per game, and also averages 1.2 assists. Defensively, he puts up 0.8 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. Tristen Newton puts up a team-leading 4.7 assists per contest. He is also averaging 10.1 points and 4.2 rebounds, shooting 37.8% from the floor and 36.9% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per contest. Jordan Hawkins posts 15.9 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. Defensively, he delivers 0.7 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Andre Jackson is averaging 6.8 points, 4.4 assists and 6.3 rebounds per contest.


Anthony Black is putting up a team-high 4.0 assists per contest. And he is contributing 12.6 points and 5.1 rebounds, making 45.4% of his shots from the floor. Ricky Council IV is putting up team highs in points (16.1 per game) and assists (2.3). And he is contributing 3.6 rebounds, making 43.6% of his shots from the floor. The Razorbacks get 11.1 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Davonte Davis. Makhi Mitchell is posting a team-leading 5.5 rebounds per contest. And he is contributing 7.1 points and 1.1 assists, making 67.3% of his shots from the floor.

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What you need to know about the UConn Huskies

With 78.5 points per game on offense, the Huskies are 31st in the country. At the other end, they give up 64.7 points per contest, which ranks 38th in college basketball. In terms of rebounding, things are clicking for UConn, who is grabbing 36 boards per game (12th-best in college basketball) and allowing 26 rebounds per contest (second-best).

UConn ranks 30th in the country with 9.1 three-pointers per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 68th with a 36.2% shooting percentage from three-point land. When it comes to defending three-pointers, it’s been a dominant stretch for the Huskies, who are allowing 5 treys per game (third-best in college basketball) and a 30.3% shooting percentage from three-point land (21st-best).

The Huskies have an 8-2 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 contests, UConn has hit the over three times. UConn has been scoring 75.6 points per game in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 78.5 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. UConn’s defense has been tougher lately, as the team has given up 63.8 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 64.7 points per game its opponents average this season.

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What you need to know about the Arkansas Razorbacks

Offensively the Razorbacks are the 115th-ranked squad in the country (74.3 points per game). On defense they are 98th (67.4 points allowed per game). With 32.6 rebounds per game and 29.3 rebounds allowed, Arkansas is 117th and 67th in college basketball, respectively.

Beyond the arc, Arkansas is ninth-worst in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (5). It is ranked 324th in 3-point percentage at 31.3%. The Razorbacks are the sixth-best squad in the nation in 3-pointers conceded (5.1 per game) and 27th in 3-point percentage defensively (30.6%).

The Razorbacks have a 5-4-1 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall in their past 10 games. Five of Arkansas’ past 10 outings have gone over the total. While Arkansas is posting 74.3 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that over its past 10 games, tallying 73.8 points per contest. Over their last 10 games, the Razorbacks are surrendering 71.5 points per contest, 4.1 more points than their season average (67.4).

UConn vs. Arkansas Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is UConn, and we project that UConn will cover the spread (UConn -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 140 points.

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How to bet UConn vs. Arkansas

You can bet on UConn vs. Arkansas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UConn vs. Arkansas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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