UCLA vs Arizona Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The UCLA Bruins (26-4, 17-2 Pac-12) will be attempting to build on a 13-game home winning run when squaring off against the Arizona Wildcats (25-5, 14-5 Pac-12) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at Pauley Pavilion. It airs at 10:00 PM ET on ESPN.

The Bruins are currently 5-point favorites over the Wildcats. A 148.5-point over/under has been set for the matchup.

UCLA vs. Arizona Odds

Point Spread for UCLA vs. Arizona

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with bookmakers listing UCLA as the favorite.

UCLA vs. Arizona Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UCLA has -227 odds to pick up the win, while Arizona is listed at +188 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 148.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Arena: Pauley Pavilion

UCLA vs. Arizona Betting Trends

Against the spread, UCLA is 16-13-1 this year. The Bruins have come away with 25 wins in the 27 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. UCLA’s games this year have gone over the total in 14 out of 30 opportunities (46.7%).

In Arizona’s 30 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread. This is the first game this season the Wildcats are playing as the moneyline underdog. Arizona’s games this season have hit the over on 16 of 30 set point totals (53.3%).

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UCLA vs. Arizona Key Players to Watch

UCLA

Jaime Jaquez Jr. leads his team in both points (17.3) and rebounds (7.9) per game, and also averages 2.4 assists. At the other end, he posts 1.5 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. Jaylen Clark averages 13 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. At the other end, he posts 2.5 steals (seventh in the nation) and 0.3 blocked shots. Tyger Campbell puts up a team-high 4.6 assists per contest. He is also putting up 12.7 points and 2.5 rebounds, shooting 38.7% from the floor and 35.2% from downtown with 1.5 made 3-pointers per game. Adem Bona averages 8 points, 5.3 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 1.6 blocked shots.

Arizona

Azuolas Tubelis tops the Wildcats in scoring (19.7 points per game) and rebounding (9.1), and posts 2 assists. He also posts 1.1 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Oumar Ballo is averaging 14.2 points, 8.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game, making 64.8% of his shots from the floor. The Wildcats receive 10.2 points, 4.3 rebounds and 3 assists per game from Pelle Larsson. Kerr Kriisa tops the Wildcats in assists (5.4 per game), and produces 10.6 points and 2.4 rebounds. He also posts 0.6 steals and 0 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the UCLA Bruins

UCLA is 9-9-1 ATS in conference games this season. The Bruins are scoring 73.9 points per game this season (126th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really thrived defensively, ceding only 59.7 points per contest (sixth-best). With 32.7 boards per game, UCLA is 118th in the country. It allows 28.7 rebounds per contest, which ranks 47th in college basketball.

The Bruins put up 77.6 points per game when playing at home, compared to 69.8 points per game in away games, a difference of 7.8 points per contest. UCLA is sinking 6.1 treys per game (310th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while owning a 35.2% three-point percentage (127th-ranked). With 6.5 treys conceded per game, the Bruins are 83rd in college basketball. They are ceding a 30.9% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 35th in college basketball.

The Bruins are 4-5-1 against the spread and 9-1 overall in their last 10 games. In its past 10 contests, UCLA has gone over the total five times. UCLA has been scoring 71 points per game in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 73.9 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. UCLA has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 59.5 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 59.7 it has surrendered per game this season.

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What you need to know about the Arizona Wildcats

Arizona has covered nine times in 19 chances against the spread in conference play this year. Offensively, the Wildcats are the fourth-best team in college basketball (83.5 points per game). Defensively, they are 226th (71.6 points conceded per game). Arizona is the 10th-best team in the nation in rebounds per game (36.5) and is ranked 143rd in rebounds allowed (30.5).

In 2022-23 the Wildcats are averaging 7.6 more points per game at home (85.2) than away (77.6). Arizona is 57th in college basketball in 3-pointers made (8.6 per game) and 26th in 3-point percentage (37.7%). In 2022-23, the Wildcats are 283rd in the nation in 3-pointers conceded (8.1 per game) and 121st in defensive 3-point percentage (33%).

The Wildcats have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. Seven of Arizona’s past 10 outings have gone over the total. Arizona is posting 83.8 points per game over its last 10 games, which is 0.3 more than its average for the season (83.5). Over their previous 10 games, the Wildcats are allowing 70.8 points per contest, 0.8 fewer points than their season average (71.6).

UCLA vs. Arizona Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is UCLA, and we expect that Arizona will cover the spread (UCLA -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 148.5 points.

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How to bet UCLA vs. Arizona

You can bet on UCLA vs. Arizona at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UCLA vs. Arizona picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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