Arizona vs UCLA Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, March 11, 2023

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The No. 2 seed Arizona Wildcats (27-6, 14-6 Pac-12) will look to secure the Pac-12 championship along with a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket when they play the No. 1 UCLA Bruins (29-4, 18-2 Pac-12) on Saturday at 10:30 PM.

The Wildcats are currently slight 1.5-point favorites against the Bruins. The over/under is 147.5 points for the matchup.

Arizona vs. UCLA Odds

Point Spread for Arizona vs. UCLA

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Arizona as the favorite.

Arizona vs. UCLA Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Arizona has -127 odds to pick up the win, while UCLA is listed at +106 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 147.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: T-Mobile Arena

Arizona vs. UCLA Betting Trends

Arizona has played 33 games, with 16 wins against the spread. The Wildcats have been favorites in 31 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (83.9%) in those contests. Arizona’s games this year have gone over the point total 18 times in 33 opportunities (54.5%).

UCLA has 19 wins against the spread in 33 games this year. The Bruins have been the underdog on the moneyline three total times this season. They’ve gone 1-2 in those games. UCLA’s games this year have hit the over on 16 of 33 set point totals (48.5%).

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Arizona vs. UCLA Key Players to Watch


Azuolas Tubelis leads his squad in both points (19.8) and rebounds (9.1) per contest, and also averages 2.1 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. Oumar Ballo averages 14.2 points, 8.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. Defensively, he puts up 0.8 steals and 1.3 blocked shots. Pelle Larsson averages 10.2 points, 4.3 rebounds and 3 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Kerr Kriisa puts up a team-leading 5.4 assists per game. He is also averaging 10.2 points and 2.5 rebounds, shooting 37.6% from the floor and 36.9% from downtown with 2.4 made 3-pointers per contest.


Jaime Jaquez Jr. is No. 1 on the Bruins in scoring (17.5 points per game) and rebounding (8.1), and puts up 2.3 assists. He also puts up 1.5 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. The Bruins receive 13 points, 6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Jaylen Clark. Tyger Campbell is No. 1 on the Bruins in assists (4.7 per game), and puts up 13.5 points and 2.5 rebounds. He also delivers 1.2 steals and 0 blocked shots. The Bruins get 7.8 points, 5.4 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game from Adem Bona.

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What you need to know about the Arizona Wildcats

Arizona has compiled an 11-11-0 ATS record in conference games so far this year. The Wildcats sport a top-25 offense this season, ranking fourth-best in college basketball with 83.3 points per game. Defensively, they rank 234th with 71.9 points allowed per contest. Arizona is allowing 30.3 rebounds per game this season (130th-ranked in college basketball), but it has thrived by grabbing 36.1 rebounds per contest (11th-best).

With a 38.4% three-point percentage this season, Arizona is 15th-best in the nation. It ranks 53rd in college basketball by making 8.7 treys per contest. The Wildcats are allowing 8.2 treys per game (291st-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 33% (119th-ranked) from downtown.

The Wildcats are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests. Seven of Arizona’s last 10 outings have hit the over. On offense, Arizona has increased its output slightly over its last 10 games, scoring 83.5 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 83.3 it has put up over the course of this season. Arizona’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (72.7) is 0.8 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (71.9).

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What you need to know about the UCLA Bruins

UCLA has won 12 games against the spread this season in conference play, while failing to cover or pushing 10 times. The Bruins are 118th in college basketball in points scored (74.4 per game) and sixth-best in points conceded (60.3). In 2022-23, UCLA is 120th in the nation in rebounds (32.6 per game) and 55th in rebounds conceded (29).

UCLA makes 6.2 3-pointers per game and shoots 35.2% from beyond the arc, ranking 300th and 121st, respectively, in the nation. Giving up 6.5 3-pointers per game and conceding 31.1% from beyond the arc, the Bruins are 84th and 41st in the nation, respectively, in those categories.

The Bruins have gone 10-0 in their past 10 games, with a 6-3-1 record against the spread during that span. UCLA has hit the over in five of its last 10 contests. UCLA has fared worse offensively in its previous 10 games, tallying 73.7 points per contest, 0.7 fewer points its than season average of 74.4. The Bruins are allowing 60.3 points per contest in their last 10 games, the same number of points they’re allowing per game for the season.

Arizona vs. UCLA Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is UCLA, and we project that UCLA will cover the spread (Arizona -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 147.5 points.

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How to bet Arizona vs. UCLA

You can bet on Arizona vs. UCLA at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Arizona vs. UCLA picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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