UCF vs East Carolina Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Sunday, March 5, 2023

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiasset5m4tNZP Betsperts Media & Technology

The UCF Knights (16-13, 7-10 AAC) go up against the East Carolina Pirates (15-15, 6-11 AAC) at 2:00 PM ET on Sunday in AAC play. The matchup airs on ESPN+.

Sunday’s game between the Knights and the Pirates sees the Knights as a double-digit favorite by 11.5 points. The game’s over/under is 136.5.

UCF vs. East Carolina Odds

Point Spread for UCF vs. East Carolina

The spread for this matchup is set at 11.5 points, with sportsbooks listing UCF as the favorite.

UCF vs. East Carolina Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UCF has -720 odds to pick up the win, while East Carolina is listed at +498 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 136.5 points.

First Bet Offer on this game up to $1,000

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 5, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Orlando, Florida
  • Arena: Addition Financial Arena

UCF vs. East Carolina Betting Trends

Against the spread, UCF is 14-14-1 this season. The Knights have been favorites in 18 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (66.7%) in those contests. UCF has eclipsed the over/under in 53.3% of its opportunities this year (16 times in 30 games with a set point total).

In East Carolina’s 30 games this season, it has 18 wins against the spread. The Pirates have won 36.8% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (7-12). East Carolina has hit the over 53.3% of the time this year (16 of 30 games with a set point total).

FanDuel NCAAB Promo
No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000

UCF vs. East Carolina Key Players to Watch


Taylor Hendricks puts up 15.3 points and 6.6 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also posting 1.4 assists, shooting 48.4% from the field and 41.8% from beyond the arc with 1.9 made 3-pointers per game. CJ Kelly puts up a team-best 2.8 assists per game. He is also putting up 12.4 points and 3.6 rebounds, shooting 42.4% from the floor and 37.8% from beyond the arc with 1.9 made 3-pointers per game. Ithiel Horton is putting up 12.1 points, 1.4 assists and 3.6 rebounds per game. Darius Johnson puts up 10.2 points, 3 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game, shooting 37.8% from the floor and 29.4% from beyond the arc with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest.

East Carolina

Brandon Johnson is averaging a team-leading 8.3 rebounds per contest. And he is contributing 12.8 points and 2 assists, making 46.2% of his shots from the floor and 35.2% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 triples per game. RJ Felton leads the Pirates in scoring (13.9 points per game), and averages 4.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists. He also puts up 0.9 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Javon Small gives the Pirates 15.8 points, 4.8 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Jaden Walker paces the Pirates in assists (2.9 per game), and produces 7.1 points and 4.6 rebounds. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

DraftKings NCAAB Promo
Bet $5, Win $150

What you need to know about the UCF Knights

UCF is 7-9-1 ATS in conference games this season. This year, the Knights are averaging 71.6 points per game (184th-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 65.6 points per contest (55th-ranked). UCF ranks 226th in the nation with 31.1 boards per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 75th with 29.3 rebounds allowed per contest.

At home, the Knights are scoring 10.4 more points per game (76.8) than they are when playing on the road (66.4). With 8.9 treys per game, UCF is 39th in the nation. It sports a 36% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 80th in college basketball. The Knights are giving up 6.6 threes per game (100th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while allowing a 30.8% three-point percentage (34th-ranked).

The Knights have gone 3-7 over their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span. Six of UCF’s past 10 games have hit the over. UCF has seen a decrease in scoring lately, racking up 70.5 points per game in its last 10 outings, 1.1 points fewer than the 71.6 it has scored this year. UCF has been more porous on defense as of late, allowing 67.6 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 65.6 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2022-23 season.

Caesars NCAAB Promo
$1,250 bet on Caesars on this game

What you need to know about the East Carolina Pirates

East Carolina has put together a 9-6-2 record against the spread in conference action this year. The Pirates are 222nd in college basketball in points scored (69.8 per game) and 203rd in points allowed (70.8). On the glass, East Carolina is 66th in the country in rebounds (33.7 per game). It is 200th in rebounds conceded (31.5 per game).

At home, the Pirates score 72.2 points per game. Away, they average 63.5. Beyond the arc, East Carolina is 139th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (7.7). It is 309th in 3-point percentage at 31.8%. In 2022-23, the Pirates are 76th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (6.4 per game) and 117th in defensive 3-point percentage (32.9%).

The Pirates are 6-2-2 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their last 10 games. East Carolina has gone over the total in six of its last 10 contests. East Carolina has played better offensively over its previous 10 games, tallying 71.3 points per contest, 1.5 more than its season average of 69.8. In their previous 10 games, the Pirates are giving up 73.6 points per game, 2.8 more points than their season average (70.8).

UCF vs. East Carolina Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is UCF, and we predict that UCF will cover the spread (UCF -11.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 136.5 points.

BetMGM First Bet Offer up to $1000
First Bet Offer

How to bet UCF vs. East Carolina

You can bet on UCF vs. East Carolina at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UCF vs. East Carolina picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

Deals of the Day

See All