UC Riverside vs Cal Poly Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The Cal Poly Mustangs (7-23, 1-17 Big West) aim to snap an eight-game home losing streak when hosting the UC Riverside Highlanders (20-11, 13-6 Big West) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET.

The Highlanders are currently solid 7.5-point favorites over the Mustangs. The point total for the matchup is set at 128.5.

UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly Odds

Point Spread for UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly

The spread for this matchup is set at 7.5 points, with oddsmakers listing UC Riverside as the favorite.

UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UC Riverside has -350 odds to pick up the win, while Cal Poly is listed at +273 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 128.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: San Luis Obispo, California
  • Arena: Robert A. Mott Gymnasium

UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly Betting Trends

Against the spread, UC Riverside is 17-13-0 this season. The Highlanders have been favorites in 16 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (68.8%) in those contests. UC Riverside’s games this year have hit the over on 17 of 28 set point totals.

Against the spread, Cal Poly is 15-13-0 this season. The Mustangs have won two of the 21 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (9.5%). Cal Poly’s games this season have hit the over on nine of 28 set point totals (32.1%).

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UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly Key Players to Watch

UC Riverside

Flynn Cameron averages 12.8 points, 5.3 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game, shooting 42% from the field and 41.4% from downtown with 2.5 made 3-pointers per game. Lachlan Olbrich puts up a team-best 6 rebounds per contest. He is also posting 11.6 points and 1.5 assists, shooting 47.4% from the floor. Kyle Owens is posting 10.1 points, 0.9 assists and 5.6 rebounds per game.

Cal Poly

The Mustangs get points, 2 rebounds and assists per game from Noah Pick. Alimamy Koroma tops the Mustangs in scoring (10.3 points per game) and assists (0.4), and puts up 4.2 rebounds. He also delivers 0.4 steals and 0.9 blocked shots. Brantly Stevenson is averaging 9.7 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest, making 46% of his shots from the field. Trevon Taylor is the Mustangs’ top rebounder (4.8 per game), and he averages 8.6 points and 1.2 assists.

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What you need to know about the UC Riverside Highlanders

UC Riverside has covered 11 times in 19 games with a spread in conference play this season. The Highlanders are averaging 72.1 points per game (172nd-ranked in college basketball) this year, while surrendering 68.9 points per contest (139th-ranked). UC Riverside is 108th in the country with 32.9 boards per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 44th with 28.5 rebounds allowed per contest.

Offensively, the Highlanders have fared better when playing at home this season, putting up 75.7 points per game, compared to 68.9 per game in road games. This year, UC Riverside is draining 8.3 three-pointers per game (78th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 35.9% (84th-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Highlanders are allowing opponents to put up a 33.9% three-point percentage this season (186th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve thrived by giving up only 5.4 threes per contest (12th-best).

The Highlanders have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, UC Riverside has gone over the total five times. UC Riverside has been scoring 71.9 points per contest in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 72.1 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. The past 10 games have seen UC Riverside give up 1.2 more points per game (70.1) than its season-long average (68.9).

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What you need to know about the Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly has put together a 9-9-0 ATS record so far this season in conference action. On offense, the Mustangs are the -1-worst squad in the nation (59.7 points per game). Defensively, they are 55th (65.6 points allowed per game). In 2022-23, Cal Poly is 325th in the country in rebounds (28.7 per game) and 33rd in rebounds allowed (28.3).

In 2022-23 the Mustangs are averaging 5.8 more points per game at home (62.4) than on the road (56.6). In 2022-23 Cal Poly is 21st-worst in the nation in 3-point makes (5.5 per game) and worst in 3-point percentage (29%). The Mustangs give up 6.4 3-pointers per game and concede 34.6% from beyond the arc, ranking 76th and 236th, respectively, in the nation.

The Mustangs have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 0-10 overall over their past 10 games. Cal Poly has hit the over in four of its last 10 games. In its past 10 games, Cal Poly is tallying 54.5 points per game, compared to its season average of 59.7. The Mustangs have performed worse defensively in their last 10 games, ceding 66.1 points per contest, 0.5 more points their than season average of 65.6.

UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is UC Riverside, and we predict that UC Riverside will cover the spread (UC Riverside -7.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 128.5 points.

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How to bet UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly

You can bet on UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UC Riverside vs. Cal Poly picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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