UCSB vs UC Davis Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Thursday, March 2, 2023

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The UC Davis Aggies (17-12, 10-7 Big West) will welcome in the UCSB Gauchos (22-7, 13-5 Big West) after victories in four straight home games. It tips at 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, March 2, 2023.

The Gauchos match up with the Aggies in a game that UCSB is currently a moderate favorite by 2.5 points. The game’s over/under is 138.

UCSB vs. UC Davis Odds

Point Spread for UCSB vs. UC Davis

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with bookmakers listing UCSB as the favorite.

UCSB vs. UC Davis Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UCSB has -145 odds to pick up the win, while UC Davis is listed at +123 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 138 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Davis, California
  • Arena: The Pavilion at ARC

UCSB vs. UC Davis Betting Trends

In UCSB’s 27 games this season, it has 16 wins against the spread. The Gauchos have been chosen as favorites in 22 games this year and have walked away with the win 16 times (72.7%) in those games. UCSB’s games this year have hit the over on 15 of 27 set point totals.

In UC Davis’ 27 games this year, it has 12 wins against the spread. The Aggies have won two of the 11 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (18.2%). UC Davis has hit the over 51.9% of the time this season (14 of 27 games with a set point total).

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UCSB vs. UC Davis Key Players to Watch


Miles Norris is putting up 14.1 points, 1.3 assists and 6.3 rebounds per contest. Andre Kelly averages a team-best 6.5 rebounds per game. He is also posting 9.5 points and 1 assists, shooting 57.4% from the floor. Josh Pierre-Louis puts up 9.5 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game, shooting 53.6% from the floor.

UC Davis

Elijah Pepper paces the Aggies in scoring (22 points per game), rebounding (5.9) and assists (3.4), making 45.7% from the field and 33.7% from beyond the arc with 2.3 triples per game. He also puts up 1.5 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. The Aggies receive 14.6 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Ty Johnson. Christian Anigwe is averaging 12 points, 5.8 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game, making 48.8% of his shots from the floor. Kane Milling gives the Aggies 7.2 points, 4.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. He also puts up 0.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the UCSB Gauchos

UCSB has covered 10 times in 18 matchups with a spread in conference action this season. So far this year, the Gauchos are putting up 70.9 points per game (194th-ranked in college basketball) and ceding 64.9 points per contest (41st-ranked). UCSB is averaging 29.8 boards per game this season (285th-ranked in college basketball), and it has given up just 26.5 rebounds per contest (sixth-best).

The Gauchos put up 74.9 points per game in home games, compared to 68.1 points per game when playing on the road, a difference of 6.8 points per contest. UCSB has struggled to sink three-pointers, ranking 21st-worst in college basketball with 5.5 threes made per game. It ranks 183rd with a 34.3% shooting percentage from beyond the arc this year. With 5.9 treys conceded per game, the Gauchos are 30th in the country. They are ceding a 34.6% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 234th in college basketball.

The Gauchos are 4-5-1 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 games. Eight of UCSB’s past 10 outings have hit the over. In its last 10 games, UCSB has been scoring 70.6 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 70.9 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. The last 10 games have seen UCSB allow 5.7 more points per game (70.6) than its season-long average (64.9).

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What you need to know about the UC Davis Aggies

UC Davis has put together an 8-9-0 ATS record so far this season in conference play. The Aggies score 74.5 points per game and allow 69.8, making them 117th in the nation on offense and 175th defensively. At 33.6 rebounds per game and 29.1 rebounds allowed, UC Davis is 76th and 64th in college basketball, respectively.

At home, the Aggies average 78.2 points per game. On the road, they average 70.5. UC Davis makes 6.9 3-pointers per game and shoots 35.3% from beyond the arc, ranking 239th and 125th, respectively, in the country. The Aggies are 63rd in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (6.3 per game) and 24th-worst in 3-point percentage defensively (36.7%).

The Aggies have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall in their past 10 games. UC Davis has hit the over in four of its last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, UC Davis is averaging 71.3 points per game, 3.2 fewer points than its season average (74.5). While the Aggies are allowing 69.8 points per game in 2022-23, they have improved that mark over their past 10 games, allowing 67.3 points per contest.

UCSB vs. UC Davis Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is UCSB, and we project that UC Davis will cover the spread (UCSB -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 138 points.

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How to bet UCSB vs. UC Davis

You can bet on UCSB vs. UC Davis at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UCSB vs. UC Davis picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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