UC Davis vs Long Beach State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The UC Davis Aggies (17-13, 10-8 Big West) take the court against the Long Beach State Beach (17-14, 11-8 Big West) on Saturday at 4:00 PM ET in Big West action, aiting on ESPN+.

UC Davis is a moderate 2.5-point favorite against Long Beach State when the Aggies face off with the Beach on Saturday. The point total for the matchup is set at 157.

UC Davis vs. Long Beach State Odds

Point Spread for UC Davis vs. Long Beach State

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with oddsmakers listing UC Davis as the favorite.

UC Davis vs. Long Beach State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UC Davis has -149 odds to pick up the win, while Long Beach State is listed at +126 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 157 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Davis, California
  • Arena: The Pavilion at ARC

UC Davis vs. Long Beach State Betting Trends

UC Davis is 12-16-0 against the spread this year. The Aggies have come away with 13 wins in the 16 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. UC Davis’ games this year have gone over the point total 51.7% of the time (15 out of 29 games with a set point total).

Long Beach State has 12 wins against the spread in 29 games this season. The Beach have won 18.2% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (2-9). Long Beach State’s games this season have eclipsed the over/under 15 times in 29 opportunities (51.7%).

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UC Davis vs. Long Beach State Key Players to Watch

UC Davis

Elijah Pepper paces his squad in points (22.3), rebounds (5.9) and assists (3.5) per contest, shooting 45.6% from the field and 33.3% from downtown with 2.2 made 3-pointers per game. At the other end, he delivers 1.5 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Ty Johnson is putting up 14.5 points, 2.4 assists and 4.5 rebounds per game. Christian Anigwe averages 11.8 points, 5.6 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game, shooting 48.6% from the floor. Kane Milling posts 7.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 39.7% from the field and 33.3% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per contest.

Long Beach State

Lassina Traore is averaging a team-best 10.3 rebounds per game. And he is contributing 12.7 points and 1.1 assists, making 54.2% of his shots from the field. Aboubacar Traore is the Beach’s top assist man (3.4 per game), and he posts 10 points and 8.8 rebounds. Marcus Tsohonis leads the Beach in scoring (15 points per game) and assists (2), and produces 3.5 rebounds. He also delivers 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. AJ George gets the Beach 8.1 points, 3.1 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the UC Davis Aggies

UC Davis has compiled an 8-10-0 ATS record in conference action so far this year. The Aggies rank 108th in the nation with 74.9 points per game so far this year. At the other end, they rank 191st with 70.5 points allowed per contest. UC Davis is grabbing 33.1 rebounds per game (102nd-ranked in college basketball). It is giving up 28.9 rebounds per contest (57th-ranked).

When playing at home, the Aggies are posting 8.3 more points per game (78.8) than they are on the road (70.5). UC Davis is sinking 6.9 threes per game (234th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while putting up a 35.3% three-point percentage (119th-ranked). The Aggies rank 53rd in the nation by allowing 6.2 three-pointers per contest, but they are allowing a 36.8% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 23rd-worst in college basketball.

The Aggies are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their last 10 contests. UC Davis has gone over the total in five of its last 10 outings. UC Davis has seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 73.4 points per game in its last 10 contests, 1.5 points fewer than the 74.9 it has scored this season. UC Davis has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 69.9 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 70.5 it has surrendered per game this year.

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What you need to know about the Long Beach State Beach

Long Beach State has compiled an 8-10-1 record against the spread in conference action this season. The Beach put up 76.3 points per game and give up 73.4, making them 72nd in the nation on offense and 282nd on defense. In 2022-23, Long Beach State is fifth-best in the country in rebounds (37.5 per game) and 191st in rebounds allowed (31.2).

At home, the Beach average 77.1 points per game. Away, they average 77.3. Long Beach State is the -3-worst squad in the country in 3-pointers made (4.3 per game) and ninth-worst in 3-point percentage (29.6%). The Beach are 314th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (8.4 per game) and 169th in 3-point percentage defensively (33.6%).

The Beach are 4-5-1 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 games. Five of Long Beach State’s past 10 games have hit the over. In its past 10 games, Long Beach State is compiling 75.3 points per contest, compared to its season average of 76.3. Over their previous 10 games, the Beach are surrendering 73.2 points per contest, 0.2 fewer points than their season average (73.4).

UC Davis vs. Long Beach State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is UC Davis, and we predict that UC Davis will cover the spread (UC Davis -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 157 points.

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How to bet UC Davis vs. Long Beach State

You can bet on UC Davis vs. Long Beach State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UC Davis vs. Long Beach State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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