Toledo vs Ohio Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Friday, March 10, 2023

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The No. 1 seed Toledo Rockets (26-6, 16-2 MAC) will square off in the MAC Tournament against the No. 5 seed Ohio Bobcats (19-13, 10-8 MAC) on Friday at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse, starting at 5:00 PM.

Friday’s matchup between the Rockets and the Bobcats features the Rockets as 5.5-point favorites. The over/under for the game is 162.5.

Toledo vs. Ohio Odds

Point Spread for Toledo vs. Ohio

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Toledo as the favorite.

Toledo vs. Ohio Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Toledo has -229 odds to pick up the win, while Ohio is listed at +188 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 162.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Arena: Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse

Toledo vs. Ohio Betting Trends

Against the spread, Toledo is 20-11-0 this season. The Rockets have come away with 23 wins in the 27 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Toledo’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 22 times in 31 opportunities (71%).

In Ohio’s 31 games this season, it has 19 wins against the spread. The Bobcats have put together a 3-8 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 27.3% of those games). Ohio’s games this year have gone over the point total 61.3% of the time (19 out of 31 games with a set point total).

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Toledo vs. Ohio Key Players to Watch

Toledo

JT Shumate is posting 16.5 points, 1.4 assists and 4.8 rebounds per contest. Setric Millner Jr. leads his squad in rebounds per contest (5.8), and also posts 16 points and 1.8 assists. Defensively, he delivers 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Dante Maddox Jr. is posting 11.4 points, 1.9 assists and 4 rebounds per game.

Ohio

Dwight Wilson tops the Bobcats in scoring (15.7 points per game) and rebounding (9.2), and averages 1.3 assists. He also averages 0.4 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Jaylin Hunter is the Bobcats’ top assist man (4.3 per game), and he delivers 12.7 points and 3.6 rebounds. Miles Brown is putting up 10.2 points, 3.1 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest, making 44.7% of his shots from the field and 45.5% from 3-point range, with 1.7 triples per game. The Bobcats receive 8 points, 4.7 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game from AJ Clayton.

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What you need to know about the Toledo Rockets

Toledo has won 13 games against the spread in conference action this season, while failing to cover six times. The Rockets have a top-25 offense this season, ranking second-best in college basketball with 85.9 points per game. Defensively, they rank 328th with 76 points allowed per contest. Toledo is averaging 31.1 rebounds per game (228th-ranked in college basketball). It is giving up 31 rebounds per contest (178th-ranked).

Toledo is making 8.8 three-pointers per game this year (44th-ranked in college basketball), and it owns a 40.4% three-point percentage (second-best). With 8.2 treys conceded per game, the Rockets are 291st in the nation. They are giving up a 36% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 309th in college basketball.

The Rockets are 8-2 against the spread and 10-0 overall over their past 10 contests. Seven of Toledo’s last 10 outings have hit the over. Toledo has seen an uptick in scoring recently, putting up 88 points per game in its last 10 outings, 2.1 points more than the 85.9 it has scored this season. Toledo’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (70.8) is 5.2 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (76).

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What you need to know about the Ohio Bobcats

Ohio and its opponents have combined to hit the over 12 out of 19 times this season in MAC action. With 79 points scored per game and 72.8 points conceded, the Bobcats are 28th in college basketball on offense and 264th on defense. Ohio grabs 34.1 rebounds per game and give up 30.9 boards, ranking 49th and 170th, respectively, in college basketball.

Ohio is 41st in the country in 3-pointers made (8.9 per game) and 30th in 3-point percentage (37.5%). In 2022-23, the Bobcats are 241st in the nation in 3-pointers conceded (7.7 per game) and 194th in defensive 3-point percentage (34%).

The Bobcats are 8-2 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their past 10 contests. Five of Ohio’s last 10 outings have gone over the total. Ohio has performed better offensively over its previous 10 games, putting up 81.3 points per contest, 2.3 more than its season average of 79. In their last 10 games, the Bobcats are giving up 70.8 points per game, two fewer points than their season average (72.8).

Toledo vs. Ohio Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Toledo, and we project that Ohio will cover the spread (Toledo -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 162.5 points.

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How to bet Toledo vs. Ohio

You can bet on Toledo vs. Ohio at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Toledo vs. Ohio picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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