Toledo vs Miami (OH) Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Thursday, March 9, 2023

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetxSQ9bwO Betsperts Media & Technology

The No. 1 seed Toledo Rockets (25-6, 16-2 MAC) will square off in the MAC Tournament against the No. 8 seed Miami (OH) RedHawks (12-19, 6-12 MAC) on Thursday at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse, starting at 11:00 AM.

Thursday’s matchup between the Rockets and the RedHawks features the Rockets as double-digit 13.5-point favorites. The over/under is 153 points for the game.

Toledo vs. Miami (OH) Odds

Point Spread for Toledo vs. Miami (OH)

The spread for this matchup is set at 13.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Toledo as the favorite.

Toledo vs. Miami (OH) Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Toledo has -1045 odds to pick up the win, while Miami (OH) is listed at +671 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 153 points.

First Bet Offer on this game up to $1,000

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 11:00 AM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Arena: Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse

Toledo vs. Miami (OH) Betting Trends

Toledo has played 30 games, with 19 wins against the spread. The Rockets have won in 22, or 84.6%, of the 26 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Toledo’s games this year have hit the over on 21 of 28 set point totals.

In Miami (OH)’s 28 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread. The RedHawks have gone 5-15 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 25% of those games). Miami (OH)’s games this season have hit the over 50% of the time (14 out of 28 games with a set point total).

FanDuel NCAAB Promo
No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000

Toledo vs. Miami (OH) Key Players to Watch


JT Shumate posts 16.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, shooting 53.9% from the floor and 41.5% from downtown with 1.6 made 3-pointers per contest. Setric Millner Jr. leads the Rockets at 5.8 rebounds per contest, while also posting 1.8 assists and 15.9 points. Dante Maddox Jr. puts up 11.5 points, 4 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 50.7% from the floor and 46.3% from downtown with 1.8 made 3-pointers per game.

Miami (OH)

Anderson Mirambeaux gives the RedHawks 14.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. He also puts up 0.5 steals and 0.9 blocked shots. Morgan Safford is posting a team-leading 5.8 rebounds per contest. And he is producing 15.1 points and 2.5 assists, making 47.7% of his shots from the floor and 35.5% from 3-point range, with 1.5 triples per game. The RedHawks receive 8.6 points, 2 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game from Ryan Mabrey.

DraftKings NCAAB Promo
Bet $5, Win $150

What you need to know about the Toledo Rockets

Toledo has put together a 12-6-0 conference record against the spread this season. The Rockets own a top-25 offense this year, ranking second-best in college basketball with 85.7 points per game. Defensively, they rank 331st with 76.1 points allowed per contest. Toledo is pulling down 31.2 rebounds per game (220th-ranked in college basketball). It is giving up 31.1 rebounds per contest (186th-ranked).

Toledo ranks second-best in the country with a three-point shooting percentage of 40.5%. It ranks 43rd in college basketball by draining 8.8 threes per contest. The Rockets are ceding 8.3 threes per game (307th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing a 36.2% three-point percentage (316th-ranked).

The Rockets have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 10-0 overall over their past 10 games. Toledo has gone over the total in six of its past 10 contests. Toledo has seen an increase in scoring lately, putting up 87 points per game in its last 10 outings, 1.3 points more than the 85.7 it has scored this year. Toledo’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (71.1) is five fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (76.1).

Caesars NCAAB Promo
$1,250 bet on Caesars on this game

What you need to know about the Miami (OH) RedHawks

Miami (OH) has covered 10 times in 18 matchups with a spread in conference play this year. The RedHawks are 133rd in the nation in points scored (73.6 per game) and 294th in points allowed (74). On the boards, Miami (OH) is 320th in the country in rebounds (28.9 per game). It is 229th in rebounds allowed (31.8 per game).

Beyond the arc, Miami (OH) is 116th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (7.9). It is 185th in 3-point percentage at 34.1%. In 2022-23, the RedHawks are 164th in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (7.1 per game) and 220th in defensive 3-point percentage (34.4%).

The RedHawks have gone 5-5 over their past 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span. Three of Miami (OH)’s past 10 outings have hit the over. Miami (OH) is posting 72.7 points per contest in its past 10 games, which is 0.9 fewer points than its average for the season (73.6). The RedHawks are ceding 72 points per game in their previous 10 games, which is two fewer points than they are allowing for the season (74).

Toledo vs. Miami (OH) Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Toledo, and we project that Toledo will cover the spread (Toledo -13.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 153 points.

BetMGM First Bet Offer up to $1000
First Bet Offer

How to bet Toledo vs. Miami (OH)

You can bet on Toledo vs. Miami (OH) at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Toledo vs. Miami (OH) picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

Deals of the Day

See All