Toledo vs Kent State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023

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The No. 2 seed Kent State Golden Flashes (27-6, 15-3 MAC) are taking the court in the MAC championship game against the No. 1 Toledo Rockets (27-6, 16-2 MAC). The title game is set for Saturday at 7:30 PM.

Toledo and Kent State are in a pick ’em matchup in Saturday’s game. The matchup has an over/under of 149.

Toledo vs. Kent State Odds

Point Spread for Toledo vs. Kent State

The spread for this matchup is set at a pick ’em.

Toledo vs. Kent State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Toledo has -109 odds to pick up the win, while Kent State is listed at -111 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 149 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Arena: Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse

Toledo vs. Kent State Betting Trends

Toledo is 21-11-0 against the spread this season. The Rockets have been chosen as favorites in 28 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (85.7%) in those games. Toledo’s games this year have hit the over on 22 of 32 set point totals.

Kent State has played 32 games, with 20 wins, against the spread. The Golden Flashes have been the underdog on the moneyline four total times this season. They’ve finished 1-3 in those games. Kent State has hit the over 34.4% of the time this year (11 of 32 games with a set point total).

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Toledo vs. Kent State Key Players to Watch


JT Shumate is posting 16.3 points, 1.4 assists and 4.8 rebounds per contest. Setric Millner Jr. posts a team-leading 5.8 rebounds per game. He is also putting up 15.8 points and 1.8 assists, shooting 49.3% from the floor and 42.6% from downtown with 1.7 made 3-pointers per game. Dante Maddox Jr. is averaging 11.6 points, 1.9 assists and 3.9 rebounds per contest.

Kent State

The Golden Flashes receive 12.8 points, 5 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game from Malique Jacobs. Miryne Thomas is averaging a team-best 5.4 rebounds per game. And he is delivering 10.5 points and 0.8 assists, making 40.9% of his shots from the field and 35.2% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 treys per contest. Chris Payton is posting 6.3 points, 4.8 rebounds and 0.4 assists per contest, making 73.3% of his shots from the field.

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What you need to know about the Toledo Rockets

Toledo has put together a 14-6-0 conference record against the spread this season. The Rockets are ceding 76 points per game this year (327th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really played well offensively, posting 85.8 points per game (second-best). This season, Toledo is grabbing 31 rebounds per game (232nd-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 31.3 rebounds per contest (192nd-ranked).

Toledo is draining 8.7 treys per game this year (53rd-ranked in college basketball), and it sports a 40.3% three-point percentage (second-best). With 8.2 threes conceded per game, the Rockets are 291st in the nation. They are allowing a 35.9% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 305th in college basketball.

The Rockets have an 8-2 record against the spread while going 10-0 overall over their past 10 games. Toledo has hit the over in seven of its past 10 outings. Toledo’s offense has been improved over its last 10 games, putting up 87.8 points per contest compared to the 85.8 it has averaged this season. Toledo has been more stingy on the defensive side of the ball as of late, giving up 72.4 points per game during its last 10 contests compared to the 76 points per game its opponents average over the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Kent State Golden Flashes

Kent State has covered 10 times in 20 games with a spread in conference action this year. At 76.1 points scored per game and 65.3 points allowed, the Golden Flashes are 76th in the country on offense and 47th defensively. Kent State collects 32.4 rebounds per game and give up 30.8 boards, ranking 139th and 159th, respectively, in college basketball.

Kent State makes 7.8 3-pointers per game and shoots 33.4% from beyond the arc, ranking 125th and 222nd, respectively, in college basketball. The Golden Flashes give up 7 3-pointers per game and concede 31.2% from beyond the arc, ranking 155th and 44th, respectively, in the nation.

The Golden Flashes have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span. Kent State has hit the over in five of its last 10 games. Kent State has performed better offensively over its previous 10 games, generating 79.7 points per contest, 3.6 more than its season average of 76.1. Over their last 10 games, the Golden Flashes are giving up 68.1 points per game, 2.8 more points than their season average (65.3).

Toledo vs. Kent State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Toledo, and we expect that Toledo will cover the spread (pick ’em). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 149 points.

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How to bet Toledo vs. Kent State

You can bet on Toledo vs. Kent State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Toledo vs. Kent State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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