Toledo vs Ball State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 3, 2023

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetfRPRSw5 Betsperts Media & Technology

The Ball State Cardinals (20-10, 11-6 MAC) will try to extend a four-game home winning streak when hosting the Toledo Rockets (24-6, 15-2 MAC) on Friday, March 3, 2023 at John E. Worthen Arena, airing at 6:00 PM ET on CBS Sports Network.

Friday’s matchup between the Rockets and the Cardinals features the Rockets as 4-point favorites. The game’s over/under is 160.5.

Toledo vs. Ball State Odds

Point Spread for Toledo vs. Ball State

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with bookmakers listing Toledo as the favorite.

Toledo vs. Ball State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Toledo has -177 odds to pick up the win, while Ball State is listed at +149 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 160.5 points.

First Bet Offer on this game up to $1,000

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 3, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Muncie, Indiana
  • Arena: John E. Worthen Arena

Toledo vs. Ball State Betting Trends

Toledo has 18 wins against the spread in 29 games this year. The Rockets have been victorious in 21, or 84%, of the 25 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Toledo’s games this year have gone over the total in 20 out of 28 opportunities (71.4%).

Ball State has 15 wins against the spread in 28 games this season. The Cardinals have gone 3-6 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 33.3% of those games). Ball State’s games this year have gone over the point total 57.1% of the time (16 out of 28 games with a set point total).

FanDuel NCAAB Promo
No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000

Toledo vs. Ball State Key Players to Watch


JT Shumate posts 16.7 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, shooting 54% from the field and 41% from beyond the arc with 1.7 made 3-pointers per contest. Setric Millner Jr. leads his squad in rebounds per game (5.8), and also averages 16 points and 1.7 assists. Defensively, he delivers 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Dante Maddox Jr. averages 11.4 points, 4 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he posts 1 steal and 0.2 blocked shots.

Ball State

Payton Sparks tops the Cardinals in rebounding (8.6 per game), and averages 12.6 points and 2 assists. He also delivers 0.5 steals and 0.9 blocked shots. Demarius Jacobs gets the Cardinals 12.2 points, 3.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per contest. He also posts 1.4 steals and 1.2 blocked shots. The Cardinals receive 13.7 points, 3.7 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game from Jaylin Sellers.

DraftKings NCAAB Promo
Bet $5, Win $150

What you need to know about the Toledo Rockets

Toledo has put together an 11-6-0 conference record against the spread this season. The Rockets sport a top-25 offense this year, ranking second-best in college basketball with 85.7 points per game. At the other end of the court, they rank 328th with 75.9 points allowed per contest. With 31.4 boards per game, Toledo ranks 204th in college basketball. It allows 31.3 rebounds per contest, which ranks 197th in college basketball.

When playing at home, the Rockets are averaging 8.6 more points per game (90.5) than they are away from home (81.9). Toledo ranks third-best in the nation with a three-point shooting percentage of 39.9%. It ranks 51st in college basketball by making 8.7 three-pointers per contest. So far this season, the Rockets are giving up 8.4 three-pointers per game (314th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 36.5% (328th-ranked) from three-point land.

The Rockets have gone 10-0 in their last 10 games, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 contests, Toledo has gone over the total six times. Toledo has seen an uptick in scoring lately, putting up 87.4 points per game in its last 10 contests, 1.7 points more than the 85.7 it has scored this year. Toledo’s defense has been tougher lately, as the team has allowed 70.7 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 75.9 points per game its opponents average this season.

Caesars NCAAB Promo
$1,250 bet on Caesars on this game

What you need to know about the Ball State Cardinals

Ball State has put together a 9-8-0 record against the spread in conference games this season. On offense the Cardinals are the 64th-ranked squad in the nation (76.5 points per game). Defensively they are 193rd (70.5 points allowed per game). At 33 rebounds per game and 29.7 rebounds conceded, Ball State is 109th and 92nd in the country, respectively.

At home the Cardinals are putting up 80.4 points per game, 6.5 more than they are averaging away (73.9). Beyond the arc, Ball State is 159th in the nation in 3-pointers made per game (7.6). It is 32nd in 3-point percentage at 37.6%. In 2022-23 the Cardinals are 183rd in the country in 3-pointers allowed (7.2 per game) and 15th-worst in defensive 3-point percentage (37.3%).

The Cardinals have gone 7-3 over their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, Ball State has gone over the total seven times. Over its last 10 games, Ball State is averaging 79.3 points per contest, 2.8 more than its season average (76.5). The Cardinals are allowing 72.9 points per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 2.4 more points than they are allowing for the season (70.5).

Toledo vs. Ball State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Toledo, and we project that Toledo will cover the spread (Toledo -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 160.5 points.

BetMGM First Bet Offer up to $1000
First Bet Offer

How to bet Toledo vs. Ball State

You can bet on Toledo vs. Ball State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Toledo vs. Ball State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

Deals of the Day

See All