Texas vs Xavier Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Friday, March 24, 2023

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This Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament matchup between the No. 2 Texas Longhorns (28-8) and No. 3 Xavier Musketeers (27-9) will determine which of the squads is heading to the Midwest Region bracket final when it tips off on Friday at T-Mobile Center, starting at 9:45 PM, airing on CBS.

Friday’s game between the Longhorns and the Musketeers features the Longhorns as 4-point favorites. The over/under for the game is 148.

Texas vs. Xavier Odds

Point Spread for Texas vs. Xavier

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with sportsbooks listing Texas as the favorite.

Texas vs. Xavier Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Texas has -196 odds to pick up the win, while Xavier is listed at +167 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 148 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 24, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:45 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Arena: T-Mobile Center

Texas vs. Xavier Betting Trends

Against the spread, Texas is 18-17-0 this season. The Longhorns have come away with 22 wins in the 25 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Texas’ games this year have gone over the total in 16 out of 36 opportunities (44.4%).

Against the spread, Xavier is 19-16-1 this season. The Musketeers have won five of the 11 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (45.5%). Xavier’s games this year have hit the over 61.1% of the time (22 out of 36 games with a set point total).

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Texas vs. Xavier Key Players to Watch


Jabari Rice averages 12.9 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2 assists per contest, shooting 45.7% from the floor and 36.4% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made 3-pointers per contest. Timmy Allen leads the Longhorns at 5.6 rebounds per contest, while also averaging 3.5 assists and 10.3 points. Dylan Disu is putting up 9.1 points, 1 assists and 4.5 rebounds per game.


Jack Nunge is putting up a team-high 7.7 rebounds per game. And he is contributing 14.1 points and 2.1 assists, making 52.6% of his shots from the floor and 40.2% from 3-point range, with 1.1 triples per game. Colby Jones tops the Musketeers in assists (4.3 per game), and averages 15 points and 5.7 rebounds. He also posts 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. The Musketeers receive 15.2 points, 8.1 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game from Zach Freemantle.

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What you need to know about the Texas Longhorns

This season, the Longhorns are posting 77.7 points per game (40th-ranked in college basketball) and giving up 67.2 points per contest (88th-ranked). Texas is averaging 32 boards per game (163rd-ranked in college basketball). It is ceding 31 rebounds per contest (170th-ranked).

Texas is draining 7.1 threes per game (209th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while sporting a 34% three-point percentage (182nd-ranked). The Longhorns are ceding 6.4 treys per game (73rd-ranked in college basketball) this year, while allowing a 32.3% three-point percentage (89th-ranked).

The Longhorns have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests. Texas has gone over the total twice in its past 10 contests. On offense, Texas has struggled over its last 10 games, scoring 73.1 points per contest over that span compared to the 77.7 it has put up over the course of this season. Texas’ points-allowed average over its last 10 games (64.2) is three fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (67.2).

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What you need to know about the Xavier Musketeers

On offense, the Musketeers are the 10th-best squad in college basketball (81.2 points per game). On defense, they are 285th (73.8 points conceded per game). Xavier grabs 34.8 rebounds per game and give up 29.3 boards, ranking 35th and 66th, respectively, in college basketball.

Beyond the arc, Xavier is 182nd in the nation in 3-pointers made per game (7.4). It is fourth-best in 3-point percentage at 38.9%. In 2022-23, the Musketeers are 203rd in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (7.4 per game) and 288th in defensive 3-point percentage (35.5%).

The Musketeers have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall over their last 10 contests. Xavier has gone over the total in five of its last 10 games. In its previous 10 games, Xavier is compiling 77.7 points per contest, compared to its season average of 81.2. While the Musketeers are allowing 73.8 points per game in 2022-23, they have improved that mark in their previous 10 games, allowing 69.6 points per contest.

Texas vs. Xavier Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Texas, and we expect that Texas will cover the spread (Texas -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 148 points.

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How to bet Texas vs. Xavier

You can bet on Texas vs. Xavier at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas vs. Xavier picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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