Texas vs TCU Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 10, 2023

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetuMSWBHJ Betsperts Media & Technology

The No. 2 seed Texas Longhorns (24-8, 12-6 Big 12) will play the No. 6 seed TCU Horned Frogs (21-11, 9-9 Big 12) in the Big 12 Tournament Friday at T-Mobile Center, starting at 9:30 PM.

Friday’s matchup between the Longhorns and the Horned Frogs features a close line of Texas -1.5. The over/under is 148 points for the matchup.

Texas vs. TCU Odds

Point Spread for Texas vs. TCU

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Texas as the favorite.

Texas vs. TCU Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Texas has -128 odds to pick up the win, while TCU is listed at +108 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 148 points.

First Bet Offer on this game up to $1,000

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Arena: T-Mobile Center

Texas vs. TCU Betting Trends

Texas has played 32 games, with 15 wins against the spread. The Longhorns have been chosen as favorites in 23 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (87%) in those games. Texas has eclipsed the over/under in 50% of its opportunities this year (16 times over 32 games with a set point total).

In TCU’s 32 games this year, it has 16 wins against the spread. The Horned Frogs have compiled a 5-6 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45.5% of those games). TCU has eclipsed the over/under 50% of the time this year (16 of 32 games with a set point total).

FanDuel NCAAB Promo
10x your first bet. Up to $200 in bonus bets.

Texas vs. TCU Key Players to Watch


Timmy Allen registers a team-leading 5.5 rebounds per contest. In addition, he’s recording 10.5 points and 3.5 assists, shooting 48.2% from the field. Jabari Rice is putting up 12.7 points, 2.1 assists and 3.6 rebounds per game. Tyrese Hunter is averaging 10.5 points, 2.5 assists and 2.9 rebounds per contest.


Damion Baugh is No. 1 on the Horned Frogs in assists (5.9 per game), and posts 12.8 points and 4.3 rebounds. He also averages 1.9 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Emanuel Miller is averaging a team-best 6.5 rebounds per game. And he is contributing 12.6 points and 1.8 assists, making 51.9% of his shots from the floor. Mike Miles is putting up team highs in points (17.4 per game) and assists (2.6). And he is delivering 2.8 rebounds, making 50% of his shots from the field and 34.4% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 triples per contest. JaKobe Coles gives the Horned Frogs 8.6 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game. He also posts 0.7 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.

DraftKings NCAAB Promo
Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets

What you need to know about the Texas Longhorns

A total of nine out of Texas’ 19 Big 12 games this season have hit the over. This year, the Longhorns are scoring 78.3 points per game (35th-ranked in college basketball) and surrendering 68 points per contest (119th-ranked). Texas is grabbing 31.6 rebounds per game (187th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 31.1 rebounds per contest (183rd-ranked).

Texas is sinking 7.4 treys per game (181st-ranked in college basketball) this year, while putting up a 34.5% three-point percentage (166th-ranked). This season, the Longhorns are allowing 6.5 three-pointers per game (82nd-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 32.7% (111th-ranked) from three-point land.

The Longhorns have gone 6-4 in their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. Texas has hit the over in four of its last 10 outings. Texas has been putting up 74.7 points per contest in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 78.3 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. Texas’ defense has been more porous lately, as the team has given up 68.7 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 68 points per game its opponents average on the season.

Caesars NCAAB Promo
$1,250 bet on Caesars on this game

What you need to know about the TCU Horned Frogs

TCU has covered nine times in 19 games with a spread in conference play this season. The Horned Frogs are 85th in the nation in points scored (75.7 per game) and 119th in points allowed (68). In 2022-23, TCU is 93rd in the country in rebounds (33.2 per game) and 210th in rebounds allowed (31.6).

TCU is the 18th-worst team in college basketball in 3-pointers made (5.4 per game) and 13th-worst in 3-point percentage (30.2%). The Horned Frogs are 63rd in the country in 3-pointers allowed (6.3 per game) and 31st in 3-point percentage defensively (30.7%).

The Horned Frogs have a 3-7 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall over their last 10 games. In its past 10 games, TCU has gone over the total three times. In its last 10 games, TCU is putting up 71.7 points per game, four fewer points than its season average (75.7). In their past 10 games, the Horned Frogs are allowing 73.7 points per contest, 5.7 more points than their season average (68).

Texas vs. TCU Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Texas, and we project that Texas will cover the spread (Texas -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 148 points.

BetMGM First Bet Offer up to $1000
First Bet Offer

How to bet Texas vs. TCU

You can bet on Texas vs. TCU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas vs. TCU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

Deals of the Day

See All