Texas vs Miami (FL) Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, March 26, 2023

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The No. 2 seed Texas Longhorns (29-8) and No. 5 seed Miami Hurricanes (28-7) will compete for a spot in the NCAA Tournament Final Four on Sunday at T-Mobile Center, beginning at 5:05 PM.

The Longhorns take on the Hurricanes in a game that Texas is currently a moderate favorite by 3.5 points. The point total for the game is 147.5.

Texas vs. Miami (FL) Odds

Point Spread for Texas vs. Miami (FL)

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with bookmakers listing Texas as the favorite.

Texas vs. Miami (FL) Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Texas has -178 odds to pick up the win, while Miami (FL) is listed at +150 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 147.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 26, 2023
  • Game Time: 5:05 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Arena: T-Mobile Center

Texas vs. Miami (FL) Betting Trends

Texas is 19-17-0 against the spread this season. The Longhorns have won in 23, or 88.5%, of the 26 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Texas’ games this year have eclipsed the over/under 48.6% of the time (17 out of 35 games with a set point total).

Miami (FL) has 21 wins against the spread in 35 games this year. The Hurricanes have compiled a 6-4 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games). Miami (FL) has gone over the point total 45.7% of the time this season (16 of 35 games with a set point total).

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Texas vs. Miami (FL) Key Players to Watch


Jabari Rice is averaging 12.9 points, 2.1 assists and 3.6 rebounds per contest. Timmy Allen puts up a team-high 5.6 rebounds per game. He is also posting 10.3 points and 3.5 assists, shooting 48.4% from the field. Tyrese Hunter is posting 10.4 points, 2.5 assists and 3 rebounds per contest.

Miami (FL)

Norchad Omier paces the Hurricanes in rebounding (10.1 per game), and averages 13.3 points and 1.3 assists. He also posts 1.1 steals and 1.2 blocked shots. The Hurricanes receive 15.1 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game from Jordan Miller. Nijel Pack is averaging 13.8 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest, making 44.3% of his shots from the floor and 40.5% from 3-point range, with 2.5 treys per contest.

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What you need to know about the Texas Longhorns

So far this year, the Longhorns are posting 77.9 points per game (38th-ranked in college basketball) and surrendering 67.3 points per contest (94th-ranked). Texas is grabbing 32 rebounds per game (163rd-ranked in college basketball). It is allowing 31 rebounds per contest (170th-ranked).

Texas ranks 210th in the country with 7.1 threes per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 167th with a 34.4% shooting percentage from three-point land. The Longhorns are allowing 6.4 threes per game (73rd-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing a 32.5% three-point percentage (102nd-ranked).

The Longhorns have an 8-2 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall over their last 10 games. In its past 10 games, Texas has hit the over three times. Texas has seen a downturn in scoring lately, putting up 72.9 points per game in its last 10 contests, five points fewer than the 77.9 it has scored this season. Texas’ points-allowed average over its last 10 games (63) is 4.3 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (67.3).

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What you need to know about the Miami Hurricanes

In 2022-23, the Hurricanes are 21st-best in the nation offensively (79.4 points scored per game) and ranked 232nd on defense (71.7 points allowed). Miami (FL) is 126th in college basketball in rebounds per game (32.5) and 65th in rebounds conceded (29.3).

In 2022-23, Miami (FL) is 134th in the nation in 3-point makes (7.7 per game) and 36th in 3-point percentage (37%). In 2022-23, the Hurricanes are 230th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (7.6 per game) and 137th in defensive 3-point percentage (33.2%).

The Hurricanes are 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their past 10 contests. Miami (FL) has hit the over in five of its last 10 contests. Miami (FL) is averaging 80.3 points per game in its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 79.4. While the Hurricanes are giving up 71.7 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their last 10 games, allowing 74.7 points per contest.

Texas vs. Miami (FL) Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Texas, and we expect that Texas will cover the spread (Texas -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 147.5 points.

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How to bet Texas vs. Miami (FL)

You can bet on Texas vs. Miami (FL) at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas vs. Miami (FL) picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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