Texas A&M vs Penn State Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Thursday, March 16, 2023

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A first-round NCAA Tournament matchup will see the 10th-seeded Penn State Nittany Lions (22-13) play against the No. 7 seed Texas A&M Aggies (25-9) on Thursday at Wells Fargo Arena. The contest tips off at 9:55 PM.

Texas A&M is a modest 2.5-point favorite against Penn State when the Aggies play the Nittany Lions on Thursday. A 136-point over/under is set for the game.

Texas A&M vs. Penn State Odds

Point Spread for Texas A&M vs. Penn State

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Texas A&M as the favorite.

Texas A&M vs. Penn State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Texas A&M has -148 odds to pick up the win, while Penn State is listed at +126 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 136 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:55 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Des Moines, Iowa
  • Arena: Wells Fargo Arena

Texas A&M vs. Penn State Betting Trends

Against the spread, Texas A&M is 23-11-0 this season. The Aggies have come away with 22 wins in the 26 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Texas A&M’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 16 times in 35 opportunities (45.7%).

Penn State has 20 wins against the spread in 35 games this year. The Nittany Lions have won seven of the 16 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (43.8%). Penn State’s games this season have hit the over on 20 of 35 set point totals (57.1%).

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Texas A&M vs. Penn State Key Players to Watch

Texas A&M

Tyrece Radford is posting 13.2 points, 2.4 assists and 5.4 rebounds per game. Dexter Dennis leads his squad in rebounds per contest (5.7), and also posts 9.2 points and 1.2 assists. At the other end, he posts 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
Henry Coleman III is tops on the Aggies at 5.7 rebounds per contest, while also averaging 0.9 assists and 9.2 points.

Penn State

Jalen Pickett tops the Nittany Lions in scoring (17.9 points per game), rebounding (7.3) and assists (6.7), shooting 51.6% from the floor and 38.3% from 3-point range with 1.3 triples per game. He also posts 1 steal and 0.5 blocked shots. Seth Lundy is averaging 14.4 points, 6.3 rebounds and 0.9 assists per contest, making 45.4% of his shots from the floor and 40.6% from beyond the arc, with 2.6 triples per game. Andrew Funk gives the Nittany Lions 12.1 points, 2.9 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game. He also delivers 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Camren Wynter is posting 8.9 points, 2.9 rebounds and 2 assists per contest, making 47.4% of his shots from the floor and 41.2% from beyond the arc, with 1 treys per contest.

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What you need to know about the Texas A&M Aggies

The Aggies rank 139th in college basketball with 73.2 points per game so far this year. At the other end of the court, they rank 65th with 66.2 points allowed per game. With 34 boards per game, Texas A&M ranks 53rd in college basketball. It surrenders 28.6 rebounds per contest, which ranks 42nd in college basketball.

So far this year, Texas A&M is sinking 6.1 three-pointers per game (310th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 32.8% (257th-ranked) from three-point land. The Aggies are giving up 8.1 three-pointers per game (287th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opponents to shoot 32.3% (89th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Aggies have gone 8-2 over their last 10 contests, with an 8-2 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 contests, Texas A&M has gone over the total three times. On the offensive side of the ball, Texas A&M has struggled over its last 10 games, scoring 68.8 points per contest over that span compared to the 73.2 it has put up over the course of this year. Texas A&M has been more stingy on the defensive side of the ball as of late, giving up 65 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 66.2 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Penn State Nittany Lions

Offensively the Nittany Lions are the 165th-ranked squad in the country (72.3 points per game). On defense they are 125th (68.4 points conceded per game). At 30.1 rebounds per game and 32.7 rebounds conceded, Penn State is 271st and 284th in the country, respectively.

Penn State is the fifth-best team in college basketball in 3-pointers made (10.4 per game) and 13th-best in 3-point percentage (38.5%). The Nittany Lions are 194th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (7.3 per game) and 144th in 3-point percentage defensively (33.3%).

The Nittany Lions are 7-2-1 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their past 10 contests. Six of Penn State’s last 10 games have hit the over. While Penn State is averaging 72.3 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that over its last 10 games, tallying 72.1 points per contest. Over their last 10 games, the Nittany Lions are surrendering 69 points per contest, 0.6 more points than their season average (68.4).

Texas A&M vs. Penn State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Texas A&M, and we project that Texas A&M will cover the spread (Texas A&M -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 136 points.

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How to bet Texas A&M vs. Penn State

You can bet on Texas A&M vs. Penn State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas A&M vs. Penn State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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