Texas A&M vs Arkansas Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Friday, March 10, 2023

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The No. 2 seed Texas A&M Aggies (23-8, 15-3 SEC) and the No. 10 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (20-12, 8-10 SEC) will try to move on in the SEC tournament on Friday as they meet at 7:00 PM.

The Aggies are currently slight 1-point favorites against the Razorbacks. The over/under is 137.5 points for the matchup.

Texas A&M vs. Arkansas Odds

Point Spread for Texas A&M vs. Arkansas

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with bookmakers listing Texas A&M as the favorite.

Texas A&M vs. Arkansas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Texas A&M has -115 odds to pick up the win, while Arkansas is listed at -105 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 137.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Texas A&M vs. Arkansas Betting Trends

Texas A&M has 21 wins against the spread in 31 games this year. The Aggies have been favorites in 24 games this season and have come away with the win 20 times (83.3%) in those contests. Texas A&M’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 15 times in 32 opportunities (46.9%).

Arkansas has played 32 games, with 15 wins, against the spread. The Razorbacks have compiled a 2-6 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 25% of those games). Arkansas has gone over the point total 43.8% of the time this season (14 of 32 games with a set point total).

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Texas A&M vs. Arkansas Key Players to Watch

Texas A&M

Tyrece Radford averages 13.3 points, 5.5 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Dexter Dennis is tops on his team in rebounds per contest (5.7), and also puts up 9 points and 1.2 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. Henry Coleman III puts up 9.4 points, 5.5 rebounds and 0.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he puts up 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.


Anthony Black is putting up a team-high 4.2 assists per game. And he is producing 13 points and 5.1 rebounds, making 46.7% of his shots from the floor. Ricky Council IV is putting up a team-best 16.3 points per game. And he is producing 3.4 rebounds and 2.3 assists, making 45.1% of his shots from the field and 27.9% from 3-point range, with 1 treys per game. The Razorbacks get 10.7 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game from Davonte Davis. Makhi Mitchell is the Razorbacks’ top rebounder (5.5 per game), and he contributes 6.9 points and 1.2 assists.

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What you need to know about the Texas A&M Aggies

Texas A&M has put together a 13-5-0 conference record against the spread this season. With 73.3 points per game on offense, the Aggies are 135th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 65.6 points per contest, which ranks 56th in college basketball. Texas A&M is pulling down 34.1 rebounds per game (50th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 28.4 rebounds per contest (37th-ranked).

Texas A&M ranks 300th in the country with 6.2 treys per game this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 276th with a 32.5% shooting percentage from three-point land. With 8.1 three-pointers conceded per game, the Aggies rank 286th in the nation. They are allowing a 32.2% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 83rd in college basketball.

The Aggies have gone 8-2 in their last 10 contests, with an 8-2 record against the spread during that span. Texas A&M has gone over the total in four of its last 10 outings. Texas A&M has seen a decrease in scoring lately, racking up 70.6 points per game in its last 10 outings, 2.7 points fewer than the 73.3 it has scored this season. Texas A&M’s defense has been more stingy lately, as the team has given up 64.8 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 65.6 points per game its opponents average on the season.

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What you need to know about the Arkansas Razorbacks

Arkansas has compiled a 7-11-1 record against the spread in conference action this year. In 2022-23, the Razorbacks are 108th in college basketball offensively (74.8 points scored per game) and 100th defensively (67.4 points allowed). In 2022-23, Arkansas is 122nd in college basketball in rebounds (32.6 per game) and 63rd in rebounds conceded (29.1).

Beyond the arc, Arkansas is 12th-worst in the country in 3-pointers made per game (5.1). It is ranked 299th in 3-point percentage at 32%. The Razorbacks are the 10th-best squad in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (5.3 per game) and 36th in 3-point percentage defensively (30.9%).

The Razorbacks are 4-5-1 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 games. Seven of Arkansas’ past 10 outings have gone over the total. While Arkansas is averaging 74.8 points per game in 2022-23, it has improved that mark in its past 10 games, producing 74.9 a contest. Over their previous 10 games, the Razorbacks are surrendering 72 points per game, 4.6 more points than their season average (67.4).

Texas A&M vs. Arkansas Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Arkansas, and we expect that Arkansas will cover the spread (Texas A&M -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 137.5 points.

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How to bet Texas A&M vs. Arkansas

You can bet on Texas A&M vs. Arkansas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas A&M vs. Arkansas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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