Texas A&M-Commerce vs McNeese Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, March 5, 2023

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The No. 5 seed Texas A&M-Commerce Lions (13-19, 9-9 Southland) will play in the Southland Tournament against the No. 8 seed McNeese Cowboys (9-22, 6-12 Southland). The teams will square off Sunday at 6:00 PM live on ESPN+.

Sunday’s matchup between the Lions and the Cowboys features a tight line of Texas A&M-Commerce -1. The over/under for the game is 136.5.

Texas A&M-Commerce vs. McNeese Odds

Point Spread for Texas A&M-Commerce vs. McNeese

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with bookmakers listing Texas A&M-Commerce as the favorite.

Texas A&M-Commerce vs. McNeese Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Texas A&M-Commerce has -116 odds to pick up the win, while McNeese is listed at -104 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 136.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 5, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Lake Charles, Louisiana
  • Arena: The Legacy Center

Texas A&M-Commerce vs. McNeese Betting Trends

Texas A&M-Commerce is 14-15-2 against the spread this season. The Lions have come away with five wins in the nine contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Texas A&M-Commerce’s games this year have gone over the point total 60% of the time (18 out of 30 games with a set point total).

McNeese has played 30 games, with 13 wins, against the spread. The Cowboys have been the underdog on the moneyline 15 total times this season. They’ve finished 3-12 in those games. McNeese’s games this year have gone over the total in 16 of 30 opportunities (53.3%).

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Texas A&M-Commerce vs. McNeese Key Players to Watch

Texas A&M-Commerce

Demarcus Demonia is tops on the Lions with 15.2 points per contest and 5.4 rebounds, while also putting up 1.7 assists. Kalen Williams leads the Lions at 2.5 assists per contest, while also averaging 3.3 rebounds and 9.4 points. Jerome Brewer Jr. puts up 7.9 points, 3.7 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game. At the other end, he posts 0.6 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. JJ Romer Rosario puts up 8.6 points, 3.5 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game. At the other end, he puts up 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.


Christian Shumate is putting up team highs in points (13.9 per game) and rebounds (9.3). And he is delivering 0.9 assists, making 54.8% of his shots from the field. Johnathan Massie is averaging 10.4 points, 4.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest, making 38% of his shots from the floor. Zach Scott is posting 12.1 points, 3.3 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game, making 37.9% of his shots from the floor and 33.2% from 3-point range, with 2.2 triples per contest. Trae English is No. 1 on the Cowboys in assists (3.6 per game), and produces 10.8 points and 1.9 rebounds. He also delivers 1.7 steals and 0 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Texas A&M-Commerce Lions

Texas A&M-Commerce is 7-10-1 ATS in conference action this season. With 71.4 points per game on offense, the Lions are 185th in college basketball. At the other end of the court, they cede 73.2 points per contest, which ranks 273rd in college basketball. Texas A&M-Commerce is 306th in the country with 29.2 rebounds per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 165th with 30.8 rebounds allowed per game.

With 8.4 three-pointers per game, Texas A&M-Commerce ranks 71st in the country. It has a 31.8% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 310th in college basketball. With 6.8 treys conceded per game, the Lions rank 126th in the nation. They are ceding a 34.4% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 213th in college basketball.

The Lions have gone 4-6 in their past 10 contests, with a 3-6-1 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 games, Texas A&M-Commerce has hit the over seven times. Texas A&M-Commerce has been racking up 75.6 points per contest in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little higher than the 71.4 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. The past 10 games have seen Texas A&M-Commerce allow 4.7 more points per game (77.9) than its season-long average (73.2).

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What you need to know about the McNeese Cowboys

So far this year, 11 out of McNeese’s 19 Southland games with an over/under have gone over the point total. In 2022-23, the Cowboys are 256th in the nation offensively (68.8 points scored per game) and 320th defensively (75.4 points allowed). McNeese collects 31.5 rebounds per game and give up 32.1 boards, ranking 194th and 250th, respectively, in the nation.

McNeese makes 7.9 3-pointers per game and shoots 32.4% from beyond the arc, ranking 119th and 284th, respectively, in the country. Defensively, the Cowboys are 330th in the country in 3-pointers allowed per game at 8.7. They are -2-worst in 3-point percentage conceded at 39.3%.

The Cowboys have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, McNeese has gone over the total six times. While McNeese is posting 68.8 points per game in 2022-23, it has bettered that mark over its last 10 games, amassing 70.8 a contest. While the Cowboys are surrendering 75.4 points per game in 2022-23, they have bettered that mark over their past 10 games, allowing 74.6 points per contest.

Texas A&M-Commerce vs. McNeese Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Texas A&M-Commerce, and we expect that Texas A&M-Commerce will cover the spread (Texas A&M-Commerce -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 136.5 points.

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How to bet Texas A&M-Commerce vs. McNeese

You can bet on Texas A&M-Commerce vs. McNeese at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas A&M-Commerce vs. McNeese picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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