Tennessee vs Texas Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, January 28, 2023

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The Tennessee Volunteers (17-3) will attempt to build on a three-game winning run when hosting the Texas Longhorns (17-3) on Saturday, January 28, 2023 at Thompson-Boling Arena. This game is at 6:00 PM ET.

Tennessee is a 5.5-point favorite against Texas when the Volunteers face off against the Longhorns on Saturday. A 133-point over/under has been set for the game.

Tennessee vs. Texas Odds

Point Spread for Tennessee vs. Texas

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Tennessee as the favorite.

Tennessee vs. Texas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tennessee has -244 odds to pick up the win, while Texas is listed at +197 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 133 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Location: Knoxville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Thompson-Boling Arena

Tennessee vs. Texas Betting Trends

Tennessee has 12 wins against the spread in 20 games this season. The Volunteers have won in 13, or 86.7%, of the 15 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Tennessee’s games this year have hit the over 40% of the time (eight out of 20 games with a set point total).

Texas is 8-12-0 against the spread this season. The Longhorns have been the moneyline underdog only two other times so far this season, and they split the games. Texas’ games this season have hit the over 55% of the time (11 out of 20 games with a set point total).

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Tennessee vs. Texas Key Players to Watch


Zakai Zeigler paces the Volunteers at 4.9 assists per contest, while also averaging 3.1 rebounds and 10.7 points. Santiago Vescovi puts up a team-best 12.2 points per contest. He is also averaging 4.1 rebounds and 3.2 assists, shooting 40.1% from the floor and 35.2% from downtown with 2.6 made 3-pointers per game. Julian Phillips paces his squad in rebounds per contest (5.3), and also posts 10.0 points and 1.8 assists. At the other end, he delivers 0.8 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. Olivier Nkamhoua is averaging 10.3 points, 2.1 assists and 5.0 rebounds per game.


Timmy Allen is No. 1 on the Longhorns in rebounding (5.3 per game), and puts up 10.7 points and 3.4 assists. He also posts 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. The Longhorns get 10.3 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game from Tyrese Hunter. The Longhorns get 10.0 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Jabari Rice.

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What you need to know about the Tennessee Volunteers

The Volunteers have a top-25 defense this year, ranking best in college basketball with 53.7 points allowed per game. On offense, they rank 133rd with 74.1 points scored per contest. Tennessee is allowing 28.4 boards per game this season (51st-ranked in college basketball), but it has provided a lift by averaging 37.2 rebounds per contest (seventh-best).

The Volunteers are averaging 78.6 points per game at home. In road games, they are averaging 73.0 points per contest. This season, Tennessee is sinking 8.1 three-pointers per game (102nd-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 33.9% (192nd-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Volunteers are dominating when it comes to defending against three-pointers, as they rank fourth-best in college basketball in threes allowed (4.8 per game) and best in three-point percentage allowed (21.6%).

The Volunteers have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. Five of Tennessee’s past 10 games have hit the over. Tennessee has averaged 74.1 points per game over its last 10 contests, the same amount it has put up on average this season. Tennessee has been less stingy on defense as of late, giving up 56.0 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 53.7 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Texas Longhorns

The Longhorns are the 22nd-best squad in the country in points scored (80.5 per game) and 108th in points conceded (66.8). Texas is 126th in the nation in rebounds per game (33.2) and 108th in rebounds allowed (29.9).

In 2022-23 the Longhorns are scoring 21.0 more points per game at home (86.5) than on the road (65.5). Texas is 222nd in college basketball in 3-pointers made (7.1 per game) and 225th in 3-point percentage (33.4%). Defensively, the Longhorns are 140th in the nation in 3-pointers conceded per game at 6.9. They are 151st in 3-point percentage allowed at 32.9%.

The Longhorns have gone 8-2 in their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Texas has hit the over in seven of its past 10 contests. Over its last 10 games, Texas is tallying 80.2 points per game, compared to its season average of 80.5. While the Longhorns are surrendering 66.8 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their past 10 games, allowing 73.4 points per contest.

Tennessee vs. Texas Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Tennessee, and we project that Tennessee will cover the spread (Tennessee -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 133 points.

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How to bet Tennessee vs. Texas

You can bet on Tennessee vs. Texas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tennessee vs. Texas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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