Tennessee vs Ole Miss Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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The No. 5 seed Tennessee Volunteers (22-9, 11-7 SEC) play the No. 13 seed Ole Miss Rebels (12-20, 3-15 SEC) in the SEC Tournament Thursday at Bridgestone Arena, beginning at 3:30 PM. Both teams will attempt to get one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

Thursday’s matchup between the Volunteers and the Rebels features the Volunteers as double-digit 12-point favorites. The over/under for the matchup is 126.5.

Tennessee vs. Ole Miss Odds

Point Spread for Tennessee vs. Ole Miss

The spread for this matchup is set at 12 points, with oddsmakers listing Tennessee as the favorite.

Tennessee vs. Ole Miss Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tennessee has -795 odds to pick up the win, while Ole Miss is listed at +548 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 126.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Tennessee vs. Ole Miss Betting Trends

Against the spread, Tennessee is 16-15-0 this year. The Volunteers have been victorious in 18, or 75%, of the 24 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Tennessee’s games this year have gone over the total in 13 out of 32 opportunities (40.6%).

In Ole Miss’ 32 games this year, it has 11 wins against the spread. The Rebels have yet to win when playing as the moneyline underdog this season, going 0-3. Ole Miss’ games this season have hit the over on 17 of 32 set point totals (53.1%).

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Tennessee vs. Ole Miss Key Players to Watch


Zakai Zeigler is tops on the Volunteers at 5.4 assists per game, while also posting 2.7 rebounds and 10.7 points. Santiago Vescovi is tops on the Volunteers with 12.7 points per contest and 3 assists, while also averaging 4.6 rebounds. Olivier Nkamhoua leads his team in rebounds per game (5), and also averages 10.6 points and 1.9 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. Julian Phillips is averaging 9 points, 1.6 assists and 4.9 rebounds per game.

Ole Miss

Myles Burns is averaging a team-best 6.1 rebounds per game. And he is producing 7.8 points and 1.5 assists, making 41.2% of his shots from the floor. The Rebels receive 11.1 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Jaemyn Brakefield. Amaree Abram gets the Rebels 8.1 points, 2 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest. He also posts 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Tennessee Volunteers

Tennessee has won eight games against the spread in conference play this season, while failing to cover 10 times. The Volunteers are scoring 71.9 points per game this season (180th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really provided a lift defensively, giving up just 57.5 points per game (third-best). Tennessee is top-25 this year in rebounding, ranking 12th-best in college basketball with 36 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 55th with 28.9 rebounds allowed per contest.

Tennessee is 156th in college basketball with 7.6 three-pointers per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 268th with a 32.6% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. When it comes to defending three-pointers, it’s been a dominant stretch for the Volunteers, who are allowing 5.6 treys per game (16th-best in college basketball) and a 25.5% shooting percentage from downtown (best).

The Volunteers are 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall over their past 10 contests. Tennessee has gone over the total in four of its last 10 contests. Tennessee’s offense has been less effective over its last 10 games, putting up 66.5 points a contest compared to the 71.9 it has averaged this season. Tennessee’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (63.6) is 6.1 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (57.5).

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What you need to know about the Ole Miss Rebels

Ole Miss is 7-12-0 ATS in conference play this season. In 2022-23, the Rebels are 279th in college basketball on offense (67.9 points scored per game) and 143rd defensively (69 points conceded). Ole Miss is 122nd in the nation in rebounds per game (32.6) and 96th in rebounds conceded (29.8).

Ole Miss is 310th in college basketball in 3-pointers made (6.1 per game) and 13th-worst in 3-point percentage (30.1%). In 2022-23, the Rebels are 83rd in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (6.5 per game) and 178th in defensive 3-point percentage (33.7%).

The Rebels have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 3-7 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Ole Miss has hit the over seven times. Over its previous 10 games, Ole Miss is posting 69.6 points per contest, 1.7 more than its season average (67.9). While the Rebels are giving up 69 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their last 10 games, allowing 71.9 points per contest.

Tennessee vs. Ole Miss Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Tennessee, and we predict that Tennessee will cover the spread (Tennessee -12). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 126.5 points.

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How to bet Tennessee vs. Ole Miss

You can bet on Tennessee vs. Ole Miss at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tennessee vs. Ole Miss picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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