Tennessee vs Missouri Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Friday, March 10, 2023

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The No. 5 seed Tennessee Volunteers (23-9, 11-7 SEC) will meet the No. 4 seed Missouri Tigers (23-8, 11-7 SEC) in the SEC Tournament Friday at Bridgestone Arena, starting at 3:30 PM.

Friday’s game between the Volunteers and the Tigers sees the Volunteers as 5.5-point favorites. A 140.5-point total is set for the game.

Tennessee vs. Missouri Odds

Point Spread for Tennessee vs. Missouri

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Tennessee as the favorite.

Tennessee vs. Missouri Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tennessee has -237 odds to pick up the win, while Missouri is listed at +194 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 140.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Tennessee vs. Missouri Betting Trends

Tennessee has played 32 games, with 17 wins against the spread. The Volunteers have won in 19, or 76%, of the 25 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Tennessee’s games this year have hit the over on 13 of 30 set point totals.

Missouri is 15-14-1 against the spread this season. The Tigers have been the moneyline underdog 12 total times this season. They’ve gone 5-7 in those games. Missouri’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 16 times in 30 opportunities (53.3%).

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Tennessee vs. Missouri Key Players to Watch


Santiago Vescovi registers a team-best 12.8 points per game. He is also posting 4.7 rebounds and 3 assists, shooting 39.9% from the field and 35.8% from beyond the arc with 2.7 made 3-pointers per game. Zakai Zeigler paces the Volunteers at 5.4 assists per game, while also putting up 2.7 rebounds and 10.7 points. Olivier Nkamhoua is averaging 10.6 points, 2 assists and 4.9 rebounds per contest. Julian Phillips posts 9 points, 4.9 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. At the other end, he puts up 0.6 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.


Kobe Brown is posting team highs in points (15.9 per game) and rebounds (6.2). And he is contributing 2.5 assists, making 55.2% of his shots from the floor and 45.3% from 3-point range, with 1.4 triples per game. The Tigers get 14.3 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from D’Moi Hodge. The Tigers receive 9.5 points, 4 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Noah Carter. Nick Honor is posting a team-leading 2.8 assists per game. And he is delivering 8.2 points and 1.6 rebounds, making 41.9% of his shots from the field and 40.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 treys per contest.

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What you need to know about the Tennessee Volunteers

Tennessee’s SEC games have hit the over eight out of 19 times this season. The Volunteers are averaging 71.8 points per game this season (181st-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really provided a lift on defense, ceding just 57.4 points per contest (third-best). Tennessee is allowing 28.5 boards per game this year (44th-ranked in college basketball), but it has thrived by averaging 36 rebounds per game (11th-best).

Tennessee is sinking 7.7 three-pointers per game (140th-ranked in college basketball). It owns a 32.7% shooting percentage (259th-ranked) from downtown. The Volunteers are dominating when it comes to defending against three-pointers, as they rank 16th-best in college basketball in threes allowed (5.6 per game) and best in three-point percentage allowed (25.8%).

The Volunteers have gone 5-5 in their past 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Tennessee has gone over the total in four of its past 10 contests. In its last 10 games, Tennessee has been putting up 68.1 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 71.8 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Tennessee has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball lately, giving up 62.4 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 57.4 points per game its opponents average in the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Missouri Tigers

Missouri has compiled a 7-10-1 record against the spread in conference action this year. The Tigers are the 21st-best team in college basketball in points scored (80.1 per game) and 308th in points conceded (74.8). Missouri is the eighth-worst squad in the country in rebounds per game (27.8) and 23rd-worst in rebounds allowed (34.1).

In 2022-23 Missouri is 23rd-best in the nation in 3-point makes (9.4 per game), and it ranks No. 69 in 3-point percentage (36.2%). Defensively, the Tigers are 20th-worst in the country in 3-pointers conceded per game at 8.9. They are 286th in 3-point percentage conceded at 35.5%.

The Tigers have a 3-6-1 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Missouri has hit the over five times. Missouri is scoring 73.8 points per contest over its last 10 games, which is 6.3 fewer points than its average for the season (80.1). The Tigers are ceding 73.7 points per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 1.1 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (74.8).

Tennessee vs. Missouri Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Tennessee, and we predict that Tennessee will cover the spread (Tennessee -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 140.5 points.

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How to bet Tennessee vs. Missouri

You can bet on Tennessee vs. Missouri at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tennessee vs. Missouri picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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