Tennessee vs Mississippi State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Tuesday, January 3, 2023

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The Tennessee Volunteers (11-2, 1-0 SEC) will be looking to build on a seven-game home winning run when squaring off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-2, 0-1 SEC) on Tuesday, January 3, 2023 at Thompson-Boling Arena. It airs at 7:00 PM ET.

Tuesday’s matchup between the Volunteers and the Bulldogs sees the Volunteers as a solid, 9.5-point favorite. The over/under for the matchup is set at 122.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Odds

Point Spread for Tennessee vs. Mississippi State

The spread for this matchup is set at 9.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Tennessee as the favorite.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tennessee has -543 odds to pick up the win, while Mississippi State is listed at +396 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 122 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, January 3, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: Knoxville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Thompson-Boling Arena

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Betting Trends

In the Tennessee’s 13 games this year, it has seven wins against the spread. The Volunteers have come away with seven wins in the eight contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Tennessee’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 30.8% of the time (four out of 13 games with a set point total).

In Mississippi State’s 13 games this year, it has five wins against the spread. The Bulldogs have been listed as the moneyline underdog only one other time so far this season, a game they lost. Mississippi State’s games this year have gone over the total in only two of 13 opportunities (15.4%).

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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Key Players to Watch


Olivier Nkamhoua puts up 11.5 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest. At the other end, he delivers 0.5 steals and 0.9 blocked shots. Zakai Zeigler averages 10.7 points, 3.1 rebounds and 3.3 assists per contest, shooting 36.5% from the field and 30.2% from beyond the arc with 1.5 made 3-pointers per game. Julian Phillips puts up 10.1 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.

Mississippi State

Tolu Smith leads the Bulldogs in scoring (14.8 points per game) and rebounding (8.5), and posts 1.8 assists. He also posts 0.6 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. D.J. Jeffries is averaging 9.7 points, 6.3 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game, making 35.7% of his shots from the floor and 31.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 treys per contest. Cameron Matthews is putting up 6.9 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game, making 46.4% of his shots from the floor. Shakeel Moore gets the Bulldogs 7.0 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. He also averages 2.5 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Tennessee Volunteers

Tennessee’s conference games went over the point total nine out of 21 times last season. The Volunteers are putting up 73.8 points per game this season (148th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really provided a lift on defense, allowing just 53.2 points per contest (third-best). Tennessee ranks 11th-best in the country by averaging 38.0 rebounds per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranks 80th in college basketball (29.3 allowed per contest).

Tennessee is 157th in the country with 7.8 threes per game this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 264th with a 32.3% shooting percentage from downtown. The Volunteers are thriving when it comes to defending against three-pointers, as they rank fourth-best in college basketball in threes allowed (4.8 per game) and best in three-point percentage allowed (21.2%).

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What you need to know about the Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mississippi State went 10-10-0 ATS last season in conference action. In 2022-23, the Bulldogs are 279th in college basketball offensively (68.2 points scored per game) and fourth-best on defense (54.5 points conceded). On the glass, Mississippi State is 12th-best in the country in rebounds (37.8 per game). It is 89th in rebounds conceded (29.5 per game).

With 6.8 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 31.1% from downtown, Mississippi State is 250th and 305th in the country, respectively, in those categories. Giving up 7.0 3-pointers per game and conceding 29.4% from beyond the arc, the Bulldogs are 172nd and 43rd in college basketball, respectively, in those categories.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Tennessee, and we predict that Mississippi State will cover the spread (Tennessee -9.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 122 points.

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How to bet Tennessee vs. Mississippi State

You can bet on Tennessee vs. Mississippi State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tennessee vs. Mississippi State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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