Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, January 14, 2023

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The Tennessee Volunteers (14-2, 4-0 SEC) welcome in the Kentucky Wildcats (10-6, 1-3 SEC) after winning nine straight home games. It starts at 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, January 14, 2023.

The Volunteers are currently double-digit 10.5-point favorites against the Wildcats. The game’s point total is 131.5.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Odds

Point Spread for Tennessee vs. Kentucky

The spread for this matchup is set at 10.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Tennessee as the favorite.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tennessee has -685 odds to pick up the win, while Kentucky is listed at +473 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 131.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 14, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • Location: Knoxville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Thompson-Boling Arena

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Betting Trends

Against the spread, Tennessee is 9-7-0 this year. The Volunteers have won in 10, or 90.9%, of the 11 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Tennessee’s games this year have hit the over on six of 16 set point totals.

Kentucky has four wins against the spread in 16 games this year. The Wildcats have been the underdog on the moneyline a total of three times this season, and they’ve lost each of those games. Kentucky’s games this season have hit the over on nine of 16 set point totals (56.2%).

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Key Players to Watch


Zakai Zeigler paces the Volunteers at 4.4 assists per game, while also averaging 3.2 rebounds and 10.0 points. Santiago Vescovi leads the Volunteers with 12.9 points per contest and 3.4 assists, while also putting up 4.3 rebounds. Olivier Nkamhoua is posting 11.6 points, 2.4 assists and 4.9 rebounds per game.
Julian Phillips is tops on the Volunteers at 5.4 rebounds per game, while also putting up 1.6 assists and 10.3 points.


Oscar Tshiebwe is the Wildcats’ top scorer (16.0 points per game) and rebounder (13.1, second in college basketball), and puts up 1.4 assists. The Wildcats receive 11.6 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game from Cason Wallace. Sahvir Wheeler is averaging a team-best 6.3 assists per contest. And he is delivering 9.5 points and 2.6 rebounds, making 41.5% of his shots from the field and 38.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.0 triples per contest. Jacob Toppin is posting 10.9 points, 6.1 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest, making 42.8% of his shots from the field.

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What you need to know about the Tennessee Volunteers

The Volunteers have been carried by their defense, as they rank second-best in the nation by surrendering just 53.4 points per game. They rank 104th in college basketball in points scored (75.5 per contest). Tennessee has been thriving in terms of rebounding this year, ranking fourth-best in college basketball in boards per game (38.1) and 17th-best in rebounds allowed per contest (27.6).

Tennessee is making 8.2 treys per game (99th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while putting up a 34.5% three-point percentage (164th-ranked). The Volunteers have been thriving in terms of defending against three-point shooting this year, ranking fourth-best in college basketball in three-pointers allowed per game (4.8) and best in three-point percentage allowed (20.9%).

The Volunteers are 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall in their last 10 contests. Four of Tennessee’s past 10 outings have hit the over. In its last 10 games, Tennessee has been racking up 77.8 points per game, an average that’s a little higher than the 75.5 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Tennessee has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 52.3 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 53.4 it has surrendered per game this year.

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What you need to know about the Kentucky Wildcats

On offense the Wildcats are the 86th-ranked squad in the nation (76.3 points per game). On defense they are 134th (67.5 points allowed per game). On the glass, Kentucky is 22nd-best in the country in rebounds (36.6 per game). It is 24th-best in rebounds conceded (27.8 per game).

Kentucky makes 7.5 3-pointers per game and shoots 37.9% from beyond the arc, ranking 178th and 37th, respectively, in the country. The Wildcats are 182nd in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (7.2 per game) and 290th in 3-point percentage defensively (35.4%).

The Wildcats have no wins against the spread and are 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Kentucky has hit the over five times. Kentucky is scoring 69.8 points per game in its previous 10 games, which is 6.5 fewer points than its average for the season (76.3). In their past 10 games, the Wildcats are giving up 67.2 points per game, 0.3 fewer points than their season average (67.5).

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Tennessee, and we expect that Tennessee will cover the spread (Tennessee -10.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 131.5 points.

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How to bet Tennessee vs. Kentucky

You can bet on Tennessee vs. Kentucky at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tennessee vs. Kentucky picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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