Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Thursday, March 23, 2023

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This Sweet 16 matchup features the No. 4 seed Tennessee Volunteers (25-10) and the No. 9 seed Florida Atlantic Owls (33-3) on Thursday at Madison Square Garden. The NCAA Tournament contest begins at 9:30 PM.

Thursday’s matchup between the Volunteers and the Owls sees the Volunteers as 4.5-point favorites. The point total for the game is 129.5.

Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic Odds

Point Spread for Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Tennessee as the favorite.

Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tennessee has -211 odds to pick up the win, while Florida Atlantic is listed at +174 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 129.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 23, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: New York City, New York
  • Arena: Madison Square Garden

Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic Betting Trends

Tennessee has 18 wins against the spread in 35 games this season. The Volunteers have been victorious in 20, or 74.1%, of the 27 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Tennessee’s games this year have hit the over on 14 of 34 set point totals.

Florida Atlantic is 22-12-0 against the spread this year. The Owls have been the underdog on the moneyline six total times this season. They’ve gone 4-2 in those games. Florida Atlantic’s games this year have hit the over 18 times in 34 opportunities (52.9%).

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Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic Key Players to Watch


Santiago Vescovi leads his squad in both points (12.7) and assists (3.1) per contest, and also puts up 4.6 rebounds. Defensively, he delivers 1.8 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Zakai Zeigler averages a team-high 5.4 assists per game. He is also posting 10.7 points and 2.7 rebounds, shooting 37.5% from the floor and 31.1% from downtown with 1.7 made 3-pointers per contest. Olivier Nkamhoua leads the Volunteers at 5 rebounds per contest, while also averaging 2 assists and 11 points. Julian Phillips puts up 8.6 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. At the other end, he posts 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

Florida Atlantic

Johnell Davis is averaging team highs in points (13.9 per game) and assists (1.6). And he is delivering 5.4 rebounds, making 50% of his shots from the field and 38.8% from 3-point range, with 1.3 triples per game. Alijah Martin gives the Owls 13.1 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. He also delivers 1 steal and 0.2 blocked shots. Vladislav Goldin is the Owls’ top rebounder (6.4 per game), and he produces 10.4 points and 0.4 assists. Nicholas Boyd paces the Owls in assists (2.6 per game), and posts 8.8 points and 4.1 rebounds. He also delivers 0.8 steals and 0 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Tennessee Volunteers

The Volunteers sport a top-25 defense this year, ranking third-best in college basketball with 57.8 points allowed per game. On offense, they rank 187th with 71.2 points scored per contest. Tennessee is top-25 this year in rebounding, ranking 23rd-best in college basketball with 35.5 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 31st with 28.2 rebounds allowed per contest.

Tennessee is 134th in the country with 7.7 treys per game so far this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 241st with a 33% shooting percentage from three-point land. The Volunteers have been thriving when it comes to defending against three-point shooting this year, ranking 23rd-best in the nation in threes allowed per game (5.8) and best in three-point percentage allowed (26.4%).

The Volunteers have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their past 10 games. Four of Tennessee’s last 10 outings have hit the over. Tennessee has been scoring 67.9 points per game in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 71.2 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. Tennessee’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has given up 61.5 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 57.8 points per game its opponents average this season.

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What you need to know about the Florida Atlantic Owls

Offensively the Owls are the 32nd-ranked team in the country (78.4 points per game). Defensively they are 42nd (65.1 points allowed per game). In 2022-23, Florida Atlantic is 14th-best in the country in rebounds (35.9 per game) and 123rd in rebounds allowed (30.3).

Florida Atlantic is the 12th-best squad in college basketball in 3-pointers made (9.7 per game) and 49th in 3-point percentage (36.7%). Giving up 6.5 3-pointers per game and conceding 31.6% from downtown, the Owls are 83rd and 57th in the country, respectively, in those categories.

The Owls have gone 9-1 in their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. Five of Florida Atlantic’s past 10 contests have gone over the total. Florida Atlantic has fared better offensively over its past 10 games, compiling 79.5 points per contest, 1.1 more than its season average of 78.4. The Owls have played better defensively in their previous 10 games, ceding 64.2 points per contest, 0.9 fewer points than their season average of 65.1 allowed.

Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Tennessee, and we project that Florida Atlantic will cover the spread (Tennessee -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 129.5 points.

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How to bet Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic

You can bet on Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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