Auburn vs Tennessee Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The Tennessee Volunteers (22-8, 11-6 SEC) will try to snap a four-game road losing streak at the Auburn Tigers (19-11, 9-8 SEC) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 2:00 PM ET.

The Tigers square off with the Volunteers in a game that Auburn is currently a small favorite by 2.5 points. A 130-point total has been set for the matchup.

Auburn vs. Tennessee Odds

Point Spread for Auburn vs. Tennessee

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Auburn as the favorite.

Auburn vs. Tennessee Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Auburn has -148 odds to pick up the win, while Tennessee is listed at +126 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 130 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Auburn, Alabama
  • Arena: Neville Arena

Auburn vs. Tennessee Betting Trends

Auburn has played 30 games, with 14 wins against the spread. The Tigers have been chosen as favorites in 24 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (79.2%) in those games. Auburn’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 56.7% of the time (17 out of 30 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, Tennessee is 16-14-0 this year. The Volunteers have been the moneyline underdog just two other times so far this season, and they lost both games. Tennessee’s games this year have hit the over 12 times in 30 opportunities (40%).

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Auburn vs. Tennessee Key Players to Watch


Johni Broome is tops on his team in both points (13.9) and rebounds (8.4) per game, and also averages 1.4 assists. Defensively, he posts 0.9 steals and 2.3 blocked shots. Wendell Green Jr. leads his team in assists per game (4.2), and also posts 13.6 points and 3.5 rebounds. At the other end, he averages 1.7 steals and 0 blocked shots. Jaylin Williams posts 11.2 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 47.4% from the field and 37.4% from downtown with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest. Allen Flanigan is posting 9.7 points, 1.4 assists and 4.8 rebounds per game.


Zakai Zeigler is the Volunteers’ top assist man (5.4 per game), and he contributes 10.7 points and 2.7 rebounds. Santiago Vescovi is putting up a team-best 12.4 points per contest. And he is delivering 4.6 rebounds and 3 assists, making 39.2% of his shots from the floor and 35.2% from beyond the arc, with 2.6 triples per contest. Olivier Nkamhoua leads the Volunteers in rebounding (5.1 per game), and puts up 10.7 points and 1.9 assists. He also averages 0.5 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. The Volunteers receive 9 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Julian Phillips.

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What you need to know about the Auburn Tigers

Auburn’s SEC games have hit the over nine out of 17 times this season. The Tigers rank 162nd in college basketball with 72.5 points per game this season. At the other end, they rank 80th with 66.7 points allowed per game. So far this season, Auburn is grabbing 33.5 boards per game (81st-ranked in college basketball) and ceding 31.7 rebounds per contest (221st-ranked).

At home, the Tigers are posting four more points per game (74.9) than they are away from home (70.9). This season, Auburn is draining 6.5 threes per game (274th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 31.2% (329th-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Tigers are playing well in terms of defending against three-pointers, as they rank 18th-best in college basketball in three-pointers allowed (5.6 per game) and third-best in three-point percentage allowed (28.3%).

The Tigers are 5-5 against the spread and 3-7 overall in their last 10 games. Auburn has gone over the total in five of its past 10 outings. Auburn has been scoring 73.2 points per game in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little higher than the 72.5 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. Auburn has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball lately, giving up 73.2 points per game during its past 10 outings compared to the 66.7 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Tennessee Volunteers

Tennessee’s conference games have gone over the point total seven out of 17 times this season. Offensively, the Volunteers are the 176th-ranked team in the country (71.9 points per game). On defense, they are third-best (56.7 points allowed per game). Tennessee is the 11th-best squad in college basketball in rebounds per game (36.2) and is ranked 56th in rebounds allowed (28.9).

At home, the Volunteers average 76.7 points per game. On the road, they score 66.8. Beyond the arc, Tennessee is 161st in the country in 3-pointers made per game (7.6). It is 288th in 3-point percentage at 32.3%. Defensively, the Volunteers are 14th-best in the country in 3-pointers conceded per game at 5.5. They are best in 3-point percentage conceded at 25.1%.

The Volunteers have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall in their past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Tennessee has hit the over four times. Tennessee has fared worse offensively in its last 10 games, generating 67.7 points per contest, 4.2 fewer points its than season average of 71.9. The Volunteers are allowing 62.8 points per contest over their last 10 games, which is 6.1 more points than they are allowing for the season (56.7).

Auburn vs. Tennessee Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Tennessee, and we predict that Tennessee will cover the spread (Auburn -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 130 points.

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How to bet Auburn vs. Tennessee

You can bet on Auburn vs. Tennessee at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Auburn vs. Tennessee picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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