Tennessee vs Arkansas Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Tuesday, February 28, 2023

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The Tennessee Volunteers (21-8, 10-6 SEC) battle the Arkansas Razorbacks (19-10, 8-8 SEC) at 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday in SEC play. The matchup airs on ESPN2.

The Volunteers are currently 5.5-point favorites over the Razorbacks. The over/under is 134 points for the game.

Tennessee vs. Arkansas Odds

Point Spread for Tennessee vs. Arkansas

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with bookmakers listing Tennessee as the favorite.

Tennessee vs. Arkansas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tennessee has -252 odds to pick up the win, while Arkansas is listed at +207 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 134 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, February 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Knoxville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Thompson-Boling Arena

Tennessee vs. Arkansas Betting Trends

Tennessee has played 29 games, with 15 wins against the spread. The Volunteers have been favorites in 23 games this season and have come away with the win 17 times (73.9%) in those contests. Tennessee’s games this year have hit the over on 12 of 29 set point totals.

Arkansas is 15-13-1 against the spread this year. The Razorbacks have won two of the seven games they were the moneyline underdog this season (28.6%). Arkansas’ games this year have eclipsed the over/under 41.4% of the time (12 out of 29 games with a set point total).

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Tennessee vs. Arkansas Key Players to Watch


Zakai Zeigler is tops on the Volunteers at 5.5 assists per game, while also averaging 2.8 rebounds and 11 points. Santiago Vescovi is tops on his team in points per contest (12.3), and also posts 4.6 rebounds and 2.9 assists. At the other end, he posts 2 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Olivier Nkamhoua is posting 10.6 points, 2 assists and 5 rebounds per contest. Julian Phillips posts 9 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. Defensively, he delivers 0.7 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.


Anthony Black is putting up a team-leading 4.3 assists per game. And he is delivering 12.7 points and 5 rebounds, making 46.2% of his shots from the field. Ricky Council IV tops the Razorbacks in scoring (16.8 points per game), and puts up 3.4 rebounds and 2.5 assists. He also puts up 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Davonte Davis is posting 10.9 points, 4 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest, making 41.5% of his shots from the floor and 34% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 triples per game. Makhi Mitchell is averaging a team-high 5.8 rebounds per contest. And he is producing 7 points and 1.1 assists, making 66.1% of his shots from the floor.

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What you need to know about the Tennessee Volunteers

Tennessee has compiled a 7-9-0 conference record against the spread this season. The Volunteers are putting up 71.8 points per game this season (180th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really played well on defense, allowing only 56.7 points per contest (third-best). Tennessee is top-25 this season in rebounding, ranking 12th-best in college basketball with 36.3 boards per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 61st with 29 rebounds allowed per contest.

The Volunteers average 76.8 points per game at home, compared to 66.8 points per game in road games, a difference of 10 points per contest. Tennessee is making 7.8 three-pointers per game (137th-ranked in college basketball). It sports a 32.4% shooting percentage (277th-ranked) from three-point land. The Volunteers are dominating in terms of defending against three-pointers, as they rank 11th-best in college basketball in three-pointers allowed (5.4 per game) and best in three-point percentage allowed (24.7%).

The Volunteers have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall over their last 10 games. Four of Tennessee’s past 10 outings have hit the over. On the offensive side of the ball, Tennessee has struggled over its last 10 games, scoring 67.2 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 71.8 it has put up over the course of this year. Tennessee has been more porous on defense lately, allowing 61.2 points per game during its last 10 contests compared to the 56.7 points per game its opponents average on the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Arkansas Razorbacks

A total of eight Arkansas conference games this season have hit the over. Offensively the Razorbacks are the 103rd-ranked squad in the country (75.3 points per game). On defense they are 71st (66.2 points conceded per game). Arkansas is 117th in the nation in rebounds per game (32.8) and 61st in rebounds conceded (29).

At home, the Razorbacks score 76.1 points per game. Away, they average 70.2. In 2022-23 Arkansas is 10th-worst in the nation in 3-point makes (5 per game) and rank 303rd in 3-point percentage (31.9%). The Razorbacks are the ninth-best team in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (5.3 per game) and 47th in 3-point percentage defensively (31.2%).

The Razorbacks are 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Arkansas has hit the over six times. Arkansas has played worse offensively in its past 10 games, posting 74.2 points per contest, 1.1 fewer points its than season average of 75.3. The Razorbacks have fared better defensively in their previous 10 games, ceding 66.1 points per contest, 0.1 fewer points than their season average of 66.2 allowed.

Tennessee vs. Arkansas Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Tennessee, and we expect that Tennessee will cover the spread (Tennessee -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 134 points.

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How to bet Tennessee vs. Arkansas

You can bet on Tennessee vs. Arkansas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tennessee vs. Arkansas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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