Tennessee vs Alabama Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, February 15, 2023

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The Alabama Crimson Tide (22-3, 12-0 SEC) aim to build on a four-game winning streak when visiting the Tennessee Volunteers (19-6, 8-4 SEC) at 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, February 15, 2023 at Thompson-Boling Arena. The game airs on ESPN2.

The Volunteers are currently moderate 3-point favorites against the Crimson Tide. The matchup’s over/under is 146.

Tennessee vs. Alabama Odds

Point Spread for Tennessee vs. Alabama

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with oddsmakers listing Tennessee as the favorite.

Tennessee vs. Alabama Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tennessee has -160 odds to pick up the win, while Alabama is listed at +135 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 146 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, February 15, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Knoxville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Thompson-Boling Arena

Tennessee vs. Alabama Betting Trends

In the Tennessee’s 25 games this season, it has 13 wins against the spread. The Volunteers have won in 15, or 75%, of the 20 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Tennessee’s games this year have hit the over on 10 of 25 set point totals.

Alabama is 16-9-0 against the spread this year. The Crimson Tide have been the moneyline underdog only two other times so far this season, and they won both games. Alabama’s games this season have hit the over 44% of the time (11 out of 25 games with a set point total).

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Tennessee vs. Alabama Key Players to Watch


Zakai Zeigler paces the Volunteers at 5.4 assists per game, while also putting up 3.1 rebounds and 10.8 points. Santiago Vescovi averages 12.2 points and 2.7 assists per game — both team highs. He is also averaging 4.3 rebounds, shooting 38.8% from the floor and 35.2% from beyond the arc with 2.5 made 3-pointers per contest. Olivier Nkamhoua paces his squad in rebounds per contest (5.0), and also averages 10.7 points and 2.0 assists. Defensively, he delivers 0.5 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Julian Phillips is posting 9.0 points, 1.6 assists and 4.8 rebounds per contest.


Brandon Miller is the Crimson Tide’s top scorer (18.8 points per game) and rebounder (8.2), and puts up 2.0 assists. Mark Sears is posting 14.0 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest, making 43.5% of his shots from the field and 39.3% from 3-point range, with 2.1 triples per game. Noah Clowney is posting 9.8 points, 8.0 rebounds and 0.8 assists per contest, making 49.1% of his shots from the field. Charles Bediako is putting up 5.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game, making 60.4% of his shots from the floor.

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What you need to know about the Tennessee Volunteers

Tennessee’s SEC games have gone over the point total five out of 12 times this season. The Volunteers have been lifted by their defense, as they rank third-best in the nation by surrendering just 56.3 points per game. They rank 160th in college basketball in points scored (72.5 per contest). Tennessee is allowing 28.4 boards per game this year (44th-ranked in college basketball), but it has provided a lift by averaging 37.2 rebounds per contest (seventh-best).

The Volunteers are scoring 76.8 points per game when playing at home. In away games, they are averaging 69.1 points per contest. With 7.8 threes per game, Tennessee ranks 135th in the nation. It sports a 32.9% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 249th in college basketball. In terms of defending three-pointers, it’s been a dominant stretch for the Volunteers, who are ceding 5.5 three-pointers per game (16th-best in college basketball) and a 24.2% shooting percentage from beyond the arc (best).

The Volunteers are 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 games. Tennessee has gone over the total in five of its last 10 games. Tennessee has seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 68.2 points per game in its last 10 outings, 4.3 points fewer than the 72.5 it has scored this year. The last 10 games have seen Tennessee concede 5.7 more points per game (62.0) than its season-long average (56.3).

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What you need to know about the Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama has put together a 10-2-0 ATS record so far this year in conference action. In 2022-23, the Crimson Tide are sixth-best in college basketball on offense (83.4 points scored per game) and ranked 148th defensively (68.7 points conceded). On the glass, Alabama is best in the country in rebounds (40.9 per game). It is 320th in rebounds allowed (33.7 per game).

At home, the Crimson Tide score 88.3 points per game. Away, they average 76.2. In 2022-23 Alabama is sixth-best in the nation in 3-point makes (10.4 per game), and it ranks No. 139 in 3-point percentage (35.1%). The Crimson Tide are the 12th-best squad in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (5.4 per game) and second-best in 3-point percentage defensively (26.3%).

The Crimson Tide have gone 9-1 over their past 10 games, with a 7-3 record against the spread during that span. Three of Alabama’s past 10 games have gone over the total. While Alabama is averaging 83.4 points per game in 2022-23, it has bettered that mark in its past 10 games, producing 84.2 a contest. The Crimson Tide have fared better defensively in their previous 10 games, allowing 67.2 points per contest, 1.5 fewer points than their season average of 68.7 allowed.

Tennessee vs. Alabama Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Tennessee, and we expect that Alabama will cover the spread (Tennessee -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 146 points.

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How to bet Tennessee vs. Alabama

You can bet on Tennessee vs. Alabama at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tennessee vs. Alabama picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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