TCU vs Texas Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Wednesday, March 1, 2023

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The Texas Longhorns (22-7, 11-5 Big 12) will try to halt a three-game road losing streak at the TCU Horned Frogs (19-10, 8-8 Big 12) on Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET.

Wednesday’s game between the Horned Frogs and the Longhorns features the Horned Frogs as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under is 149.5 points for the game.

TCU vs. Texas Odds

Point Spread for TCU vs. Texas

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing TCU as the favorite.

TCU vs. Texas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, TCU has -169 odds to pick up the win, while Texas is listed at +143 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 149.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, March 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Fort Worth, Texas
  • Arena: Schollmaier Arena

TCU vs. Texas Betting Trends

In TCU’s 29 games this season, it has 15 wins against the spread. The Horned Frogs have come away with 12 wins in the 16 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. TCU’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 55.2% of the time (16 out of 29 games with a set point total).

Texas has played 29 games, with 12 wins, against the spread. The Longhorns have gone 1-4 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 20% of those games). Texas’ games this season have hit the over on 16 of 29 set point totals (55.2%).

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TCU vs. Texas Key Players to Watch


Damion Baugh leads his squad in assists per game (6), and also posts 12.6 points and 4.2 rebounds. At the other end, he posts 1.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Emanuel Miller leads the Horned Frogs at 6.4 rebounds per contest, while also posting 2 assists and 12.7 points. Mike Miles leads the Horned Frogs at 18 points per contest, while also averaging 2.8 assists and 2.8 rebounds. JaKobe Coles is posting 8.7 points, 1.2 assists and 4.1 rebounds per game.


Timmy Allen is the Longhorns’ top rebounder (5.6 per game), and he delivers 10.9 points and 3.4 assists. Jabari Rice is posting 12.1 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2 assists per game, making 46.6% of his shots from the floor and 37.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 treys per contest. Tyrese Hunter is averaging 10 points, 3 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game, making 38.7% of his shots from the field and 32.8% from 3-point range, with 1.4 treys per contest.

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What you need to know about the TCU Horned Frogs

So far this season, eight out of TCU’s 16 Big 12 games have hit the over. This year, the Horned Frogs are averaging 76.1 points per game (75th-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 67.6 points per contest (104th-ranked). TCU is averaging 33.2 boards per game (99th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 31.3 rebounds per contest (192nd-ranked).

The Horned Frogs put up 78.1 points per game in home games, compared to 73.6 points per game away from home, a difference of 4.5 points per contest. It’s been rough sledding for TCU in terms of three-pointers, as it is amassing just 5.1 made threes per game (12th-worst in college basketball) and is making just 29.1% of its attempted treys (fifth-worst). With 6.2 treys conceded per game, the Horned Frogs rank 51st in the nation. They are giving up a 30.7% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 31st in college basketball.

The Horned Frogs are 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their last 10 contests. Five of TCU’s past 10 games have hit the over. On the offensive side of the ball, TCU has had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 73.1 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 76.1 it has put up over the course of this year. TCU’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 72.8 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 67.6 points per game its opponents average this season.

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What you need to know about the Texas Longhorns

Texas has covered seven times in 16 matchups with a spread in conference play this year. With 79.2 points scored per game and 68.8 points conceded, the Longhorns are 27th in the nation on offense and 144th on defense. Texas grabs 31.6 rebounds per game and concede 30.5 boards, ranking 186th and 144th, respectively, in the country.

At home the Longhorns are putting up 85.4 points per game, 16.4 more than they are averaging away (69). With 7.4 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 34.7% from beyond the arc, Texas is 186th and 160th in the nation, respectively, in those categories. The Longhorns are 116th in the nation in 3-pointers conceded (6.7 per game) and 143rd in 3-point percentage defensively (33.2%).

The Longhorns have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their past 10 games. Six of Texas’ last 10 contests have gone over the total. In its last 10 games, Texas is scoring 77.5 points per contest, compared to its season average of 79.2. The Longhorns are surrendering 73.4 points per game over their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 68.8 points allowed.

TCU vs. Texas Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is TCU, and we expect that Texas will cover the spread (TCU -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 149.5 points.

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How to bet TCU vs. Texas

You can bet on TCU vs. Texas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s TCU vs. Texas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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