TCU vs Oklahoma Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The Oklahoma Sooners’ (14-16, 4-13 Big 12) Big 12 schedule includes Saturday’s game against the TCU Horned Frogs (20-10, 9-8 Big 12) at Lloyd Noble Center. It starts at 3:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

TCU is a slight 2-point favorite against Oklahoma when the Horned Frogs play the Sooners on Saturday. The matchup’s over/under is 144.5.

TCU vs. Oklahoma Odds

Point Spread for TCU vs. Oklahoma

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with sportsbooks listing TCU as the favorite.

TCU vs. Oklahoma Moneyline

As for the moneyline, TCU has -137 odds to pick up the win, while Oklahoma is listed at +115 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 144.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Norman, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Lloyd Noble Center

TCU vs. Oklahoma Betting Trends

In TCU’s 30 games this year, it has 15 wins against the spread. The Horned Frogs have been favorites in 17 games this season and have come away with the win 13 times (76.5%) in those contests. TCU’s games this year have hit the over 16 times in 30 opportunities (53.3%).

Oklahoma has 14 wins against the spread in 30 games this year. The Sooners have been the moneyline underdog 17 total times this season. They’ve finished 5-12 in those games. Oklahoma’s games this season have hit the over on 16 of 30 set point totals (53.3%).

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TCU vs. Oklahoma Key Players to Watch


Damion Baugh puts up a team-leading 6.1 assists per game. He is also putting up 13 points and 4.3 rebounds, shooting 44.1% from the floor. Emanuel Miller paces the Horned Frogs at 6.5 rebounds per contest, while also putting up 1.9 assists and 13 points. Mike Miles is tops on the Horned Frogs at 17.2 points per contest, while also posting 2.7 assists and 2.9 rebounds. JaKobe Coles posts 8.7 points, 4 rebounds and 1.1 assists per contest. At the other end, he puts up 0.7 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.


Tanner Groves is the Sooners’ top rebounder (6.9 per game), and he delivers 9.7 points and 1.5 assists. The Sooners receive 10 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game from Jalen Hill. The Sooners get 7.5 points, 2.6 rebounds and 3 assists per game from Milos Uzan.

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What you need to know about the TCU Horned Frogs

TCU is 8-9-0 ATS in conference play this season. Offensively, the Horned Frogs are averaging 76 points per game (78th-ranked in college basketball). They are ceding 67.8 points per contest at the other end (114th-ranked). With 33.5 rebounds per game, TCU is 81st in college basketball. It allows 31.2 rebounds per contest, which ranks 191st in college basketball.

The Horned Frogs are scoring 77.9 points per game when playing at home. In road games, they are averaging 73.6 points per contest. TCU has been struggling when it comes to threes this year, ranking 12th-worst in college basketball in threes made per game (5.1) and fifth-worst in three-point percentage (29.3%). The Horned Frogs rank 65th in college basketball with 6.3 three-pointers allowed per game so far this season. Meanwhile, they rank 33rd with a 30.9% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.

The Horned Frogs are 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, TCU has gone over the total five times. On offense, TCU has had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 72.7 points per contest over that span compared to the 76 it has racked up over the course of this year. TCU’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has allowed 74.9 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 67.8 points per game its opponents average on the season.

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What you need to know about the Oklahoma Sooners

So far this year, 10 out of Oklahoma’s 17 Big 12 games with an over/under have hit the over. The Sooners are 274th in the nation in points scored (68.1 per game) and 124th in points conceded (68.1). Oklahoma collects 29.4 rebounds per game and give up 29.8 boards, ranking 301st and 98th, respectively, in college basketball.

At home the Sooners are scoring 68.9 points per game, 2.6 more than they are averaging away (66.3). Oklahoma is 222nd in the country in 3-pointers made (7 per game) and 107th in 3-point percentage (35.5%). In 2022-23 the Sooners are 14th-best in the country in 3-pointers allowed (5.5 per game) and 47th in defensive 3-point percentage (31.3%).

The Sooners have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 3-7 overall over their last 10 contests. Eight of Oklahoma’s last 10 games have hit the over. Oklahoma is averaging 69.7 points per contest over its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 68.1. While the Sooners are giving up 68.1 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse in their past 10 games, allowing 75.2 points per contest.

TCU vs. Oklahoma Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is TCU, and we expect that TCU will cover the spread (TCU -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 144.5 points.

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How to bet TCU vs. Oklahoma

You can bet on TCU vs. Oklahoma at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s TCU vs. Oklahoma picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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