The No. 7 seed Tarleton State Texans (16-15, 9-9 WAC) will square off in the WAC Tournament against the No. 10 seed UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (15-16, 6-12 WAC) on Tuesday at Michelob ULTRA Arena, beginning at 9:00 PM.
The Texans square off against the Vaqueros in a game that Tarleton State is currently a strong favorite by 7 points. A 146.5-point over/under has been set for the matchup.
Tarleton State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Odds
Point Spread for Tarleton State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley
The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with bookmakers listing Tarleton State as the favorite.
Tarleton State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Tarleton State has -319 odds to pick up the win, while UT Rio Grande Valley is listed at +258 to claim victory.
Finally, the total for the game is set at 146.5 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- Game Day: Tuesday, March 7, 2023
- Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Arena: Michelob ULTRA Arena
Tarleton State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Betting Trends
Tarleton State is 13-14-0 against the spread this year. The Texans have been victorious in six of the eight contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Tarleton State’s games this year have hit the over on 13 of 27 set point totals.
UT Rio Grande Valley is 13-14-0 against the spread this season. The Vaqueros have been the moneyline underdog 22 total times this season. They’ve gone 8-14 in those games. UT Rio Grande Valley’s games this season have eclipsed the over/under 16 times in 27 opportunities (59.3%).
Tarleton State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Key Players to Watch
Shamir Bogues puts up 9.5 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game. At the other end, he delivers 2 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. Shakur Daniel is tops on his squad in assists per game (2.9), and also puts up 8.1 points and 3.2 rebounds. At the other end, he puts up 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Freddy Hicks posts 15.7 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Lue Williams is tops on his team in both points (11.1) and assists (0.9) per game, and also averages 3.1 rebounds. Defensively, he puts up 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
UT Rio Grande Valley
Justin Johnson is the Vaqueros’ top scorer (20.6 points per game) and assist man (3.1), and delivers 5.2 rebounds. Will Johnston paces the Vaqueros in assists (3.7 per game), and produces 14.5 points and 2.2 rebounds. He also posts 0.3 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Daylen Williams is posting a team-leading 6.4 rebounds per game. And he is contributing 6.2 points and 2.8 assists, making 53.4% of his shots from the floor. Dima Zdor gives the Vaqueros 8.3 points, 4.6 rebounds and 0.7 assists per contest. He also delivers 0.5 steals and 1.3 blocked shots.
What you need to know about the Tarleton State Texans
Tarleton State and its WAC opponents have combined to hit the over seven out of 17 times this season. This year, the Texans are averaging 72.4 points per game (166th-ranked in college basketball) and ceding 67.5 points per contest (99th-ranked). Tarleton State has struggled to pile up rebounds this season, ranking 10th-worst in college basketball with 27.9 boards per game. It ranks 108th by allowing 30 boards per contest.
Tarleton State is sinking 4.9 three-pointers per game (sixth-worst in college basketball), and it owns a 33.9% three-point percentage (198th-ranked). The Texans are allowing 7.7 treys per game (240th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing a 35.3% three-point percentage (278th-ranked).
The Texans have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall over their last 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Tarleton State has hit the over five times. In its last 10 games, Tarleton State has been racking up 75.3 points per contest, an average that’s a little higher than the 72.4 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Tarleton State’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (66.8) is 0.7 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (67.5).
What you need to know about the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
UT Rio Grande Valley and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight out of 17 times this year in WAC action. In 2022-23, the Vaqueros are 29th in the nation on offense (79 points scored per game) and eighth-worst defensively (78.3 points allowed). UT Rio Grande Valley is 52nd in the nation in rebounds per game (34.1) and 138th in rebounds conceded (30.4).
Beyond the arc, UT Rio Grande Valley is 244th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (6.8). It is 198th in 3-point percentage at 33.9%. The Vaqueros are 228th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (7.6 per game) and 128th in 3-point percentage defensively (33.1%).
The Vaqueros have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall in their past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, UT Rio Grande Valley has gone over the total five times. In its last 10 games, UT Rio Grande Valley is putting up 76.7 points per game, 2.3 fewer points than its season average (79). Over their past 10 games, the Vaqueros are giving up 74.8 points per contest, 3.5 fewer points than their season average (78.3).
Tarleton State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Prediction & Pick
Our pick to win this contest is Tarleton State, and we project that UT Rio Grande Valley will cover the spread (Tarleton State -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 146.5 points.
How to bet Tarleton State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley
You can bet on Tarleton State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
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