St. Thomas vs Western Illinois Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, March 5, 2023

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The No. 5 seed Saint Thomas Tommies (18-13, 9-9 Summit) are squaring off against the No. 4 seed Western Illinois Leathernecks (16-13, 9-9 Summit) in the Summit Tournament on Sunday at Denny Sanford Premier Center. The game is scheduled for 7:00 PM.

Sunday’s game between the Tommies and the Leathernecks features the Tommies as 3.5-point favorites. The point total for the game is set at 147.5.

St. Thomas vs. Western Illinois Odds

Point Spread for St. Thomas vs. Western Illinois

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with bookmakers listing St. Thomas as the favorite.

St. Thomas vs. Western Illinois Moneyline

As for the moneyline, St. Thomas has -169 odds to pick up the win, while Western Illinois is listed at +142 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 147.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 5, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
  • Arena: Denny Sanford Premier Center

St. Thomas vs. Western Illinois Betting Trends

St. Thomas is 18-10-1 against the spread this year. The Tommies have been victorious in 14, or 87.5%, of the 16 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. St. Thomas’ games this year have hit the over on 15 of 26 set point totals.

Against the spread, Western Illinois is 15-11-0 this year. The Leathernecks have gone 5-9 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 35.7% of those games). Western Illinois’ games this season have hit the over on 14 of 26 set point totals (53.8%).

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St. Thomas vs. Western Illinois Key Players to Watch

St. Thomas

Brooks Allen averages 8.7 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. At the other end, he puts up 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Riley Miller is posting 12.5 points, 1.4 assists and 2.2 rebounds per game.
Parker Bjorklund paces the Tommies at 5.1 rebounds per game, while also posting 1.2 assists and 14.7 points.

Western Illinois

Jesiah West tops the Leathernecks in rebounding (7.4 per game), and averages 9.6 points and 2.2 assists. He also delivers 1 steal and 1.7 blocked shots. Alec Rosner gets the Leathernecks 13.7 points, 3 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. He also averages 1 steal and 0.1 blocked shots. Vuk Stevanic gives the Leathernecks 10.6 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Saint Thomas Tommies

St. Thomas is 10-7-1 ATS in conference games this season. The Tommies rank 113th in the nation with 74.7 points per game so far this season. At the other end of the court, they rank 190th with 70.5 points allowed per contest. St. Thomas is pulling down 28.5 rebounds per game (328th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 31.6 rebounds per contest (214th-ranked).

With 9 threes per game, St. Thomas is 34th in the nation. It owns a 35.3% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 123rd in college basketball. So far this season, the Tommies are allowing 6.8 treys per game (125th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 34.1% (197th-ranked) from three-point land.

The Tommies have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, St. Thomas has hit the over five times. St. Thomas’ offense has been less productive over its last 10 games, putting up 72.1 points a contest compared to the 74.7 it has averaged this year. The last 10 games have seen St. Thomas concede 0.8 fewer points per game (69.7) than its season-long average (70.5).

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What you need to know about the Western Illinois Leathernecks

Western Illinois is 11-7-0 ATS in conference games this season. The Leathernecks are 136th in college basketball in points scored (73.5 per game) and 254th in points allowed (72.6). On the boards, Western Illinois is 248th in the nation in rebounds (30.7 per game). It is 200th in rebounds allowed (31.5 per game).

Beyond the arc, Western Illinois is 223rd in the country in 3-pointers made per game (7). It is 298th in 3-point percentage at 32.1%. Giving up 6.3 3-pointers per game and conceding 32.2% from beyond the arc, the Leathernecks are 65th and 82nd in college basketball, respectively, in those categories.

The Leathernecks are 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Western Illinois has gone over the total seven times. Western Illinois is averaging 72.3 points per game in its last 10 games, which is 1.2 fewer points than its average for the season (73.5). The Leathernecks have performed worse defensively in their last 10 games, giving up 75.2 points per contest, 2.6 more points their than season average of 72.6.

St. Thomas vs. Western Illinois Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is St. Thomas, and we predict that St. Thomas will cover the spread (St. Thomas -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 147.5 points.

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How to bet St. Thomas vs. Western Illinois

You can bet on St. Thomas vs. Western Illinois at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s St. Thomas vs. Western Illinois picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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