Southern vs. Alabama State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Monday, February 12, 2024

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The Southern Jaguars (14-9, 8-2 SWAC) welcome in the Alabama State Hornets (11-12, 6-4 SWAC) after victories in nine straight home games. It begins at 6:30 PM ET on Monday, February 12, 2024.

Monday’s game between the Jaguars and the Hornets features the Jaguars as 4-point favorites. The matchup has an over/under of 137.

Southern vs. Alabama State Odds

Point Spread for Southern vs. Alabama State

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with bookmakers listing Southern as the favorite.

Southern vs. Alabama State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Southern has -185 odds to pick up the win, while Alabama State is listed at +154 to claim victory.

Southern vs. Alabama State Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 137 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, February 12, 2024
  • Game Time: 6:30 PM ET
  • Location: Baton Rouge, Louisiana
  • Arena: F. G. Clark Activity Center

Southern vs. Alabama State Betting Trends

Against the spread, Southern is 10-10-0 this season. The Jaguars have been favorites in eight games this season and have come away with the win seven times (87.5%) in those contests. Southern’s games this year have gone over the point total 35% of the time (seven out of 20 games with a set point total).

In Alabama State’s 20 games this season, it has 13 wins against the spread. The Hornets have won 25% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (2-6). Alabama State’s games this season have gone over the total in eight of 20 opportunities (40%).

Southern vs. Alabama State Key Players to Watch

Southern

Tidjiane Dioumassi is tops on his squad in assists per game (4.9), and also posts 9.1 points and 3.9 rebounds. Defensively, he averages 2.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Brandon Davis puts up 11.8 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game, shooting 39.4% from the floor and 34.9% from downtown with 2.0 made 3-pointers per contest. Tai’reon Joseph averages a team-high 20.7 points per game. He is also putting up 3.1 rebounds and 1.8 assists, shooting 43.2% from the field and 29.9% from beyond the arc with 2.8 made 3-pointers per contest. Derrick Tezeno paces his team in rebounds per game (5.2), and also averages 8.2 points and 0.8 assists. At the other end, he puts up 1.2 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

Alabama State

Antonio TJ Madlock is averaging team highs in points (15.8 per game) and assists (2.0). And he is delivering 4.7 rebounds, making 38.7% of his shots from the field. CJ Hines is posting a team-high 2.6 assists per game. He’s also delivering 10.7 points and 2.9 rebounds, hitting 38.6% of his shots from the field, and 39.4% from beyond the arc resulting in 1.7 triples per contest. Micah Octave is posting 5.3 points, 4.9 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game, making 38.8% of his shots from the field. The Hornets get 6.0 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Sean Smith.

What you need to know about the Southern Jaguars

Southern has compiled a 7-3-0 ATS record in conference games so far this year. So far this year, the Jaguars are averaging 74.5 points per game (168th-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 70.7 points per contest (146th-ranked). Southern has been shining when it comes to rebounding this season, ranking best in the nation in boards per game () and best in rebounds allowed per contest ().

The Jaguars put up 82.1 points per game in home games, compared to 69.6 points per game on the road, a difference of 12.5 points per contest. Southern is sinking 6.9 threes per game (233rd-ranked in college basketball). It sports a 31.4% shooting percentage (301st-ranked) from downtown. The Jaguars are 31st in the country with 5.5 threes allowed per game this season. Meanwhile, they rank 36th with a 30.6% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.

The Jaguars have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in their last 10 contests. In Southern’s past 10 games, it has hit the over twice. Southern’s offense has been worse over its last 10 games, scoring 72.4 points a contest compared to the 74.5 it has averaged this season. Southern’s defense has been more stingy lately, as the team has given up 65.1 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 70.7 points per game its opponents average on the season.

What you need to know about the Alabama State Hornets

So far this year, four out of Alabama State’s 10 SWAC games with an over/under have gone over the point total. Offensively the Hornets are the 282nd-ranked squad in college basketball (69.7 points per game). On defense they are 112th (69.4 points allowed per game). Alabama State is the best squad in college basketball in rebounds per game () and best in rebounds allowed ().

At home, the Hornets score 74.9 points per game. On the road, they score 65.5. Beyond the arc, Alabama State is 233rd in the nation in 3-pointers made per game (6.9). It is 10th-worst in 3-point percentage at 28.8%. The Hornets are 171st in the nation in 3-pointers conceded (6.9 per game) and 108th in 3-point percentage defensively (32.6%).

The Hornets have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests. Alabama State has gone over the total in four of its last 10 contests. Over its last 10 games, Alabama State is averaging 65.4 points per contest, 4.3 fewer points than its season average (69.7). The Hornets are surrendering 63.3 points per contest in their last 10 games, which is 6.1 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (69.4).

Southern vs. Alabama State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Southern, and we expect that Southern will cover the spread (Southern -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 137 points.

How to bet Southern vs. Alabama State

You can bet on Southern vs. Alabama State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Southern vs. Alabama State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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