Southern vs Alabama State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 2, 2023

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The Alabama State Hornets (8-21, 6-10 SWAC) will try to turn around a four-game losing skid when visiting the Southern Jaguars (14-15, 10-6 SWAC) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at F. G. Clark Center. This matchup is at 9:00 PM ET.

Thursday’s game between the Jaguars and the Hornets sees the Jaguars as a strong, 9.5-point favorite. The game’s point total is 140.5.

Southern vs. Alabama State Odds

Point Spread for Southern vs. Alabama State

The spread for this matchup is set at 9.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Southern as the favorite.

Southern vs. Alabama State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Southern has -547 odds to pick up the win, while Alabama State is listed at +406 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 140.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Location: Baton Rouge, Louisiana
  • Arena: F. G. Clark Center

Southern vs. Alabama State Betting Trends

Southern is 16-11-0 against the spread this year. The Jaguars have come away with nine wins in the 16 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Southern has hit the over in 44.8% of its opportunities this year (13 times in 29 games with a set point total).

Alabama State is 14-15-0 against the spread this season. The Hornets have been the underdog on the moneyline 20 total times this season. They’ve gone 4-16 in those games. Alabama State’s games this year have hit the over on nine of 29 set point totals (31%).

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Southern vs. Alabama State Key Players to Watch


P.J. Byrd puts up a team-high 5.5 assists per contest. He is also posting 9.3 points and 2.5 rebounds, shooting 48% from the floor. Bryson Etienne averages 10.7 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. Defensively, he delivers 1.5 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Brion Whitley paces the Jaguars at 11.6 points per game, while also posting 1 assists and 3 rebounds. Tyrone Lyons is posting 9.2 points, 1.1 assists and 4.2 rebounds per game.

Alabama State

The Hornets receive points, 0 rebounds and assists per game from Ashton McClelland. Antonio Madlock gives the Hornets 11.3 points, 6.2 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game. He also delivers 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. JordanĀ O’Neal is the Hornets’ top rebounder (7.2 per game), and he contributes 8.2 points and 0.6 assists. Alex Anderson is the Hornets’ top assist man (3.4 per game), and he contributes 10.4 points and 4.7 rebounds.

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What you need to know about the Southern Jaguars

Southern has covered nine times in 16 games with a spread in conference action this season. With 72.6 points per game on offense, the Jaguars are 158th in the nation. At the other end of the court, they allow 71.8 points per contest, which ranks 236th in college basketball. Southern is pulling down 31 boards per game (232nd-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 33.4 rebounds per contest (311th-ranked).

Offensively, the Jaguars have fared better in home games this year, putting up 86.3 points per game, compared to 65.4 per game on the road. Southern is sinking 8 three-pointers per game (111th-ranked in college basketball). It sports a 34.3% shooting percentage (183rd-ranked) from beyond the arc. With 7.4 threes conceded per game, the Jaguars are 204th in the nation. They are giving up a 32.6% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 104th in college basketball.

The Jaguars have gone 5-5 over their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Southern has hit the over in four of its last 10 outings. Southern has been scoring 68.8 points per contest in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 72.6 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. The last 10 games have seen Southern give up 3.2 fewer points per game (68.6) than its season-long average (71.8).

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What you need to know about the Alabama State Hornets

Alabama State has put together a 7-9-0 ATS record so far this year in conference play. On offense, the Hornets are the 20th-worst team in the nation (64.2 points per game). Defensively, they are 266th (73 points allowed per game). On the glass, Alabama State is 116th in college basketball in rebounds (32.8 per game). It is fourth-worst in rebounds conceded (35.5 per game).

At home the Hornets are scoring 66.3 points per game, 3.4 more than they are averaging on the road (62.9). Alabama State makes 6 3-pointers per game and shoots 31.2% from beyond the arc, ranking 316th and 329th, respectively, in the country. Defensively, the Hornets are 169th in the country in 3-pointers allowed per game at 7.1. They are 192nd in 3-point percentage conceded at 34%.

Over their past 10 contests, the Hornets have two wins against the spread, and are 2-8 overall. Alabama State has hit the over twice in its past 10 contests. Alabama State is scoring 63.1 points per game over its previous 10 games, which is 1.1 fewer points than its average for the season (64.2). In their last 10 games, the Hornets are allowing 67.5 points per game, compared to their season average of 73 points allowed.

Southern vs. Alabama State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Southern, and we expect that Southern will cover the spread (Southern -9.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 140.5 points.

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How to bet Southern vs. Alabama State

You can bet on Southern vs. Alabama State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Southern vs. Alabama State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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